Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.75 · now $20.75 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ENR has typically landed between $17.69 and $23.96 — a range of −14.8% to +15.5% from the issuance price $20.75.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,811 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ENR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $20.75 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $20.65 (-0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.42–$21.89
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.69–$23.96
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,811 windows spanning 2015-06-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −44.8% | −44.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-05 | −41.5% | −41.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-04 | −39.8% | −40.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-04-03 | +42.0% | +0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2025-07-07 | +41.7% | +0.0% | +41.7% |
| 2025-07-08 | +36.6% | −0.7% | +37.3% |
2,811 overlapping windows · 2015-06-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+3.7%
n=11
Feb
27%
−1.5%
n=11
Mar
45%
−3.5%
n=11
Apr
55%
+4.7%
n=11
May
36%
−1.7%
n=11
Jun
55%
+0.3%
n=11
Jul
75%
+4.1%
n=12
Aug
42%
+0.6%
n=12
Sep
25%
−3.9%
n=12
Oct
45%
−0.3%
n=11
Nov
55%
+0.6%
n=11
Dec
73%
+1.5%
n=11
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $21.09 | $422K | +0.3% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,980,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.93 | $419K | +0.3% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,000,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.93 | $419K | +0.3% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,960,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.37 | $407K | +0.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,920,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.29 | $406K | +0.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,940,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.08 | $402K | +0.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,900,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.96 | $419K | +0.3% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,860,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.67 | $413K | +0.3% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,880,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.62 | $412K | +0.3% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,840,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $19.84 | $397K | +0.3% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,800,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $19.77 | $395K | +0.3% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,780,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $19.67 | $393K | +0.3% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,820,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.09 | $402K | +0.3% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,720,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.05 | $401K | +0.3% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,760,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $19.94 | $399K | +0.3% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,740,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.51 | $410K | +0.3% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,680,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.46 | $409K | +0.3% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,700,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.86 | $417K | +0.3% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,660,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.85 | $417K | +0.3% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,640,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.64 | $413K | +0.3% of holding | +6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,620,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.54 | $411K | +0.3% of holding | +6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,600,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.42 | $408K | +0.3% of holding | +8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,580,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.13 | $403K | +0.3% of holding | +8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,540,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.07 | $401K | +0.3% of holding | +8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,560,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.25 | $405K | +0.3% of holding | +6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,520,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.18 | $404K | +0.3% of holding | +6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $20.67 | $827K | +0.5% of holding | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,480,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $20.34 | $407K | +0.3% of holding | +8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,440,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $20.25 | $810K | +0.5% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,420,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $20.81 | $832K | +0.5% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,380,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $21.10 | $422K | +0.3% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,320,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $21.09 | $422K | +0.3% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,340,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $21.54 | $431K | +0.3% of holding | −6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,280,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $21.54 | $431K | +0.3% of holding | −6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,300,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 14,000 @ $20.00 | $280K | +0.2% of holding | +1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,249,686 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,314 @ $20.22 | $209K | +0.1% of holding | +1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,260,000 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 35,686 @ $18.44 | $658K | +0.5% of holding | +14.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,235,686 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 38,006 @ $18.21 | $692K | +0.5% of holding | +20.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 11,790 @ $17.90 | $211K | +0.2% of holding | +25.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,161,994 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 43,380 @ $16.81 | $729K | +0.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,150,204 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 81,609 @ $16.18 | $1.3M | +1.2% of holding | +26.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,106,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,200 @ $18.85 | $79K | +0.1% of holding | −20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,025,215 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,643 @ $18.90 | $31K | +0.0% of holding | −17.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,021,015 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 14,372 @ $17.47 | $251K | +0.2% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,019,372 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Aqua Capital, Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $22.47 | $112K | +0.1% of holding | −12.8% | −12.5% | 7,005,000 | Form 4 · filed 29 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Mulligan Donal L | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $17.40 | $261K | +150.0% of holding | +16.6% | +2.8% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | LaVigne Mark Stephen | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $17.11 | $171K | +2.2% of holding | +16.6% | +2.8% | 464,889 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Angelette Benjamin J | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $17.14 | $17K | +2.5% of holding | +16.6% | +2.8% | 40,896 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-21 | VITALE ROBERT V | director | Purchase | 21,009 @ $23.55 | $495K | +913.4% of holding | −14.8% | −34.4% | 23,309 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Mulligan Donal L | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $23.66 | $237K | ownership Δ n/a | −15.5% | −10.2% | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Drabik John J | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $23.86 | $24K | +2.2% of holding | −13.7% | −11.4% | 47,002 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | BRINKLEY CYNTHIA J | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $23.12 | $92K | +30.1% of holding | −11.1% | −9.3% | 17,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | MOORE PATRICK J | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $23.10 | $231K | +200.0% of holding | −6.6% | −11.0% | 15,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $22.85 | $114K | +14.4% of holding | −6.6% | −11.0% | 39,843 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | LaVigne Mark Stephen | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $21.67 | $87K | +1.5% of holding | −1.5% | −6.4% | 277,645 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Drabik John J | director | Gift | 5,000 | 84,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | VITALE ROBERT V | director | Award / grant | 1,399 | 31,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | VITALE ROBERT V | director | Award / grant | 1,827 | 30,211 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Steele Delaney | director | Award / grant | 6,316 | 6,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Steele Delaney | director | Award / grant | 6,316 | 6,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Mulligan Donal L | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Frankiewicz Rebecca | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Frankiewicz Rebecca | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Option exercise | 4,335 | 44,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Option exercise | 4,335 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | BRINKLEY CYNTHIA J | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | VITALE ROBERT V | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | VITALE ROBERT V | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Option exercise | 4,335 | 44,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | HUNT KEVIN J | director | Option exercise | 4,335 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | BRINKLEY CYNTHIA J | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Johnson James C | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Rimmer Nneka Louise | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Johnson James C | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | MOORE PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | MOORE PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Mulligan Donal L | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Rimmer Nneka Louise | director | Award / grant | 7,534 | 7,534 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | VITALE ROBERT V | director | Award / grant | 1,508 | 28,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Frankiewicz Rebecca | director | Award / grant | 1,257 | 17,091 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-25 | Drabik John J | director | Gift | 5,000 | 89,946 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Hampton Sara B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 190 | 8,194 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Hampton Sara B. | officer | Option exercise | 645 | 8,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Hampton Sara B. | officer | Option exercise | 645 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | LaVigne Mark Stephen | director | Withheld for tax | 111,969 | 454,889 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Drabik John J | director | Withheld for tax | 30,288 | 94,946 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Vauth Robin | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,169 | 37,870 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Lampman Michael A | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,356 | 49,186 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Shambro Lori | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,521 | 54,512 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Angelette Benjamin J | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,685 | 39,896 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | LaVigne Mark Stephen | director | Award / grant | 158,271 | 158,271 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Shambro Lori | officer | Award / grant | 18,367 | 18,367 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Angelette Benjamin J | officer | Award / grant | 33,337 | 54,581 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.