Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.91 · now $1.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ENGN has typically landed between $1.27 and $2.80 — a range of −33.3% to +46.6% from the issuance price $1.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
696 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-11-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ENGN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.9 (-0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.62–$2.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.27–$2.8
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-06 | −81.4% | −83.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-20 | −81.1% | −83.1% | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-17 | −81.0% | −82.2% | +9.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-02-13 | +121.1% | +0.0% | +121.1% |
| 2024-02-07 | +117.5% | +0.0% | +117.5% |
| 2024-02-12 | +116.1% | −1.3% | +117.5% |
696 overlapping windows · 2023-11-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
36 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Astley-Sparke Philip | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | BRUNK GERALD A | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Glickman Richard M | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Grossman William | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Grossman William | director | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | HASTINGS PAUL J | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Heffernan Michael Thomas | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Joustra Wouter | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Zoth Lota S. | director | Award / grant | 31,000 | 31,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Connolly Joan | officer | Award / grant | 195,000 | 195,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | CHEUNG ANTHONY TZEYEW | officer | Award / grant | 195,000 | 195,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Cooper Ronald Harold Wilfred | director | Award / grant | 801,000 | 801,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Nichols Alexander Julian | officer | Award / grant | 195,000 | 195,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Boyd Matthew Ross | officer | Award / grant | 195,000 | 195,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Buck Jill | officer | Award / grant | 195,000 | 195,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Giguere Lee | officer | Award / grant | 195,000 | 195,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Daws D. Ryan | officer | Award / grant | 220,000 | 220,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-30 | Sweiti Hussein | officer | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Grossman William | director | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Buck Jill | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Heffernan Michael Thomas | director | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Boyd Matthew Ross | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Astley-Sparke Philip | director | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | HASTINGS PAUL J | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Glickman Richard M | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Bos Jasper | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Pott Amy | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Zoth Lota S. | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | BRUNK GERALD A | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Joustra Wouter | director | Award / grant | 22,500 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | Cooper Ronald Harold Wilfred | director | Award / grant | 850,000 | 850,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | Daws D. Ryan | officer | Award / grant | 280,000 | 280,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | CHEUNG ANTHONY TZEYEW | officer | Award / grant | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | Giguere Lee | officer | Award / grant | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | Nichols Alexander Julian | officer | Award / grant | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-29 | Pruthi Raj Som | officer | Award / grant | 280,000 | 280,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.