Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.26 · now $25.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EML has typically landed between $21.70 and $29.81 — a range of −14.1% to +18.0% from the issuance price $25.26.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EML has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $25.26 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $25.23 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $23.74–$26.73
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $21.7–$29.81
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2007-07-06 | −35.8% | −35.8% | +0.0% |
| 2007-07-09 | −35.7% | −35.7% | +0.0% |
| 2007-07-11 | −35.5% | −35.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2007-01-09 | +44.8% | +0.0% | +44.8% |
| 2024-02-27 | +41.1% | −2.3% | +41.1% |
| 2023-11-13 | +39.8% | −2.9% | +39.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+1.6%
n=20
Feb
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
+2.5%
n=20
Apr
50%
+3.5%
n=20
May
35%
−2.7%
n=20
Jun
40%
+1.9%
n=20
Jul
60%
+0.2%
n=20
Aug
50%
+1.7%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Oct
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Nov
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Dec
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $21.25 | $21K | +1.0% of holding | +17.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,424 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $20.96 | $21K | +1.0% of holding | +17.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 103,356 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $21.25 | $21K | +1.0% of holding | +18.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 102,356 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 288 @ $21.50 | $6K | +0.3% of holding | +16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,356 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 213 @ $21.50 | $5K | +0.2% of holding | +21.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,068 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $20.11 | $40K | +0.3% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 644,342 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 1,717 @ $20.93 | $36K | +4.0% of holding | +3.9% | +9.8% | 44,511 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | EVERETS JOHN | director | Purchase | 1,339 @ $20.93 | $28K | +1.0% of holding | +3.9% | +9.8% | 141,194 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | MARDY MICHAEL J | director | Purchase | 1,099 @ $20.93 | $23K | +6.5% of holding | +3.9% | +9.8% | 18,065 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Scott Peggy | director | Purchase | 1,064 @ $20.93 | $22K | +4.4% of holding | +3.9% | +9.8% | 25,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | HENRY CHARLES W | director | Purchase | 989 @ $20.93 | $21K | +1.3% of holding | +3.9% | +9.8% | 79,194 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Galbato Chan | director | Purchase | 962 @ $20.93 | $20K | +42.5% of holding | +3.9% | +9.8% | 3,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 101 @ $18.99 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | +12.6% | +18.9% | 99,790 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 2,342 @ $18.74 | $44K | +0.4% of holding | +11.2% | +24.3% | 642,342 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 5,067 @ $18.29 | $93K | +0.8% of holding | +13.9% | +36.4% | 640,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $18.39 | $18K | +1.0% of holding | +13.9% | +36.4% | 99,689 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 1,839 @ $19.55 | $36K | +4.5% of holding | −8.7% | +11.1% | 42,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | EVERETS JOHN | director | Purchase | 1,435 @ $19.55 | $28K | +1.0% of holding | −8.7% | +11.1% | 139,855 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | MARDY MICHAEL J | director | Purchase | 1,177 @ $19.55 | $23K | +7.5% of holding | −8.7% | +11.1% | 16,966 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Scott Peggy | director | Purchase | 1,140 @ $19.55 | $22K | +5.0% of holding | −8.7% | +11.1% | 24,022 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | HENRY CHARLES W | director | Purchase | 1,059 @ $19.55 | $21K | +1.4% of holding | −8.7% | +11.1% | 78,205 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Galbato Chan | director | Purchase | 1,029 @ $19.55 | $20K | +83.3% of holding | −8.7% | +11.1% | 2,265 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 2,433 @ $20.14 | $49K | +0.4% of holding | −10.6% | −0.8% | 634,933 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 111 @ $19.00 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | −9.1% | +3.7% | 97,550 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 88 @ $18.85 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | +3.5% | +4.2% | 97,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 500 @ $18.98 | $9K | +0.5% of holding | +3.8% | +2.9% | 97,351 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 2,925 @ $18.82 | $55K | +3.1% of holding | +4.3% | +0.0% | 96,851 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-18 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $19.12 | $19K | +1.1% of holding | +4.1% | +1.5% | 93,926 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $19.39 | $19K | +1.1% of holding | +1.6% | −2.3% | 92,926 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 762 @ $19.47 | $15K | +0.8% of holding | −0.3% | −3.4% | 91,926 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-13 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 933 @ $19.79 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −1.9% | −6.1% | 632,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,809 @ $19.49 | $35K | +2.0% of holding | +3.0% | −5.9% | 91,164 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Purchase | 1,467 @ $19.54 | $29K | +0.2% of holding | +3.0% | −5.9% | 631,567 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 600 @ $23.00 | $14K | +0.7% of holding | +7.8% | −26.0% | 88,463 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 414 @ $22.98 | $10K | +0.5% of holding | +4.8% | −28.0% | 87,863 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.83 | $23K | +1.2% of holding | +17.4% | −22.6% | 87,449 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-18 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $22.58 | $68K | +3.6% of holding | +9.5% | −24.7% | 86,449 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $23.00 | $23K | +1.2% of holding | +15.4% | −19.7% | 83,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.99 | $23K | +1.2% of holding | +4.2% | −28.6% | 82,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 200 @ $22.50 | $5K | +0.2% of holding | +4.6% | −24.0% | 81,449 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-08 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 96 @ $22.49 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | +6.0% | −25.1% | 81,249 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 16 @ $23.00 | $368 | +0.0% of holding | −6.6% | −28.2% | 81,153 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-13 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $23.25 | $23K | +1.3% of holding | −5.1% | −27.7% | 80,158 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-12 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 66 @ $23.40 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | −4.2% | −27.0% | 79,158 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.25 | $22K | +1.3% of holding | +3.2% | −28.4% | 79,092 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $22.75 | $23K | +1.3% of holding | −0.9% | −27.8% | 78,092 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-03 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 46 @ $22.67 | $1K | +0.1% of holding | −1.2% | −31.3% | 77,092 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,923 @ $22.20 | $43K | +2.6% of holding | +1.9% | −28.8% | 75,046 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-30 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $22.87 | $46K | +2.7% of holding | −2.0% | −28.5% | 75,123 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,116 @ $23.22 | $26K | +1.5% of holding | −3.3% | −32.3% | 73,123 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 1,280 @ $23.50 | $30K | +1.8% of holding | −1.2% | −31.4% | 72,007 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Purchase | 654 @ $28.62 | $19K | +1.0% of holding | −0.6% | −18.0% | 68,162 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
43 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Award / grant | 1,068 | 104,424 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Award / grant | 1,065 | 100,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 6,730 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 6,730 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Award / grant | 1,139 | 98,689 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 1,438 | 40,955 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | EVERETS JOHN | director | Award / grant | 1,122 | 138,420 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | MARDY MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 921 | 15,789 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | Scott Peggy | director | Award / grant | 892 | 22,882 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | HENRY CHARLES W | director | Award / grant | 829 | 77,146 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-17 | Galbato Chan | director | Award / grant | 806 | 1,236 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-15 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Award / grant | 892 | 89,355 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 1,563 | 39,517 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | EVERETS JOHN | director | Award / grant | 1,224 | 137,298 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | MARDY MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 1,009 | 14,868 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Scott Peggy | director | Award / grant | 954 | 21,990 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | HENRY CHARLES W | director | Award / grant | 911 | 76,317 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Galbato Chan | director | Award / grant | 430 | 430 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Award / grant | 979 | 81,137 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 1,350 | 37,954 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | EVERETS JOHN | director | Award / grant | 1,337 | 136,074 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | MARDY MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 864 | 13,859 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | Scott Peggy | director | Award / grant | 837 | 21,036 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | HENRY CHARLES W | director | Award / grant | 777 | 75,406 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | DiSanto Frederick D. | director | Award / grant | 837 | 69,685 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 408 | 2,314 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 1,407 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 5,492 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 408 | 4,585 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 5,492 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 408 | 2,314 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 907 | 1,407 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vlahos Nicholas Alec | officer | Option exercise | 408 | 4,585 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | MITAROTONDA JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 1,096 | 36,604 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | MARDY MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 707 | 12,995 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | EVERETS JOHN | director | Award / grant | 686 | 134,737 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | Scott Peggy | director | Award / grant | 685 | 20,199 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | HENRY CHARLES W | director | Award / grant | 638 | 74,629 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.