EIXEdison InternationalUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $54.81 · now $54.81 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EIX has typically landed between $48.61 and $60.77 — a range of −11.3% to +10.9% from the issuance price $54.81.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($54.81) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $54.81 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$48.61worst · -11.3%$60.77best · +10.9%
  • now $54.81 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.76 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.17–$58.35
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $48.61–$60.77
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−42.7%−42.7%+0.0%
2020-02-13−40.4%−40.4%+0.2%
2020-02-20−39.4%−40.3%+0.3%
3 best
2020-03-23+34.2%+0.0%+41.2%
2020-03-18+28.0%−9.3%+28.0%
2020-03-16+26.9%−3.6%+32.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$30.7B
market cap
$9.20
EPS (TTM)
8.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$19.3B
'20'25
Net income$4.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$715M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr23.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr25.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.42
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $54.81$12.92$620.39
  • DCF (intrinsic)$578.49
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$207.68
  • Analyst target · range $62.00–$79.00$77.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$54.81

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
−1.5%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Mar
74%
+3.5%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.4%
n=19
May
53%
−1.4%
n=19
Jun
53%
+0.8%
n=19
Jul
63%
+2.6%
n=19
Aug
37%
−1.7%
n=19
Sep
53%
−0.8%
n=19
Oct
67%
+1.8%
n=18
Nov
61%
+0.9%
n=18
Dec
78%
+1.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$80$502026-07-13: 1 insider sale, $38K — Taylor Peter J.2026-04-13: 1 insider sale, $38K — Taylor Peter J.2026-03-02: 2 insider sales, $195K — Anderson Jill Charlotte, Taylor Peter J.2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $357K — Anderson Jill Charlotte2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $94K — Bowman Erica S2025-10-30: 1 insider sale, $99K — Taylor Peter J.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $648K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $99K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $451K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $195K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $38K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $38K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Taylor Peter J. — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Taylor Peter J. — Sale on 2026-04-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Anderson Jill Charlotte — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Taylor Peter J. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same dayofficer Anderson Jill Charlotte — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Bowman Erica S — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Taylor Peter J. — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-13Taylor Peter J.directorSale500 @ $75.40$38K−1.5% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open33,712Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-13Taylor Peter J.directorSale500 @ $75.30$38K−1.4% of holding−9.1%not yet — horizon still open34,212Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerSale2,111 @ $74.55$157K−10.2% of holding+3.3%−38.1%18,592Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Taylor Peter J.directorSale500 @ $74.54$37K−1.4% of holding+3.3%−38.1%34,712Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerSale4,774 @ $74.72$357K−20.4% of holding+3.7%−16.6%18,592Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-23Bowman Erica SofficerSale1,276 @ $73.88$94K−28.4% of holding−0.5%−11.0%3,217Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-30Taylor Peter J.directorSale1,800 @ $55.27$99K−4.9% of holding+4.4%+21.1%35,212Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04Murphy J AndrewofficerSale11,900 @ $54.42$648K−43.1% of holding−1.8%+4.8%15,687Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-06Beliveau-Dunn JeannedirectorSale3,288 @ $54.34$179K−100.0% of holding+10.9%−11.7%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

280 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-23Reed Marcy L.directorAward / grant2,73714,647Form 4
2026-04-23STUNTZ LINDA GdirectorAward / grant2,73727,222Form 4
2026-04-23Beliveau-Dunn JeannedirectorAward / grant2,73717,333Form 4
2026-04-23O'TOOLE TIMOTHYdirectorAward / grant2,73728,439Form 4
2026-04-23Morris James TdirectorAward / grant2,73730,109Form 4
2026-04-23Smith Carey A.directorAward / grant2,7376,593Form 4
2026-04-23Granholm Jennifer MdirectorAward / grant2,7372,737Form 4
2026-04-23Hardwick M SusandirectorAward / grant2,7372,737Form 4
2026-04-23Camunez Michael CdirectorAward / grant2,73729,010Form 4
2026-04-23Taylor Peter J.directorAward / grant2,8442,844Form 4
2026-04-23Trent KeithdirectorAward / grant2,7376,742Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerWithheld for tax9,22320,703Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerOption exercise10,29629,926Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerWithheld for tax7,68219,630Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerOption exercise8,72027,312Form 4
2026-03-02Powell Steven DofficerAward / grant9,0719,071Form 4
2026-03-02Schilling Natalie KofficerAward / grant19,45719,457Form 4
2026-03-02Schilling Natalie KofficerAward / grant3,1463,146Form 4
2026-03-02Bowman Erica SofficerAward / grant996996Form 4
2026-03-02Bowman Erica SofficerAward / grant6,1576,157Form 4
2026-03-02Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant5,9505,950Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerOption exercise10,2960Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerOption exercise8,7200Form 4
2026-03-02Choi CarolineofficerAward / grant23,69123,691Form 4
2026-03-02Choi CarolineofficerAward / grant3,8303,830Form 4
2026-03-02Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant36,80436,804Form 4
2026-03-02Ryan Kara GostenhoferofficerAward / grant1,4491,449Form 4
2026-03-02Ryan Kara GostenhoferofficerAward / grant8,9648,964Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerAward / grant24,93824,938Form 4
2026-03-02Powell Steven DofficerAward / grant56,11056,110Form 4
2026-03-02Rigatti Maria C.officerAward / grant8,8698,869Form 4
2026-03-02Rigatti Maria C.officerAward / grant54,86354,863Form 4
2026-03-02Murphy J AndrewofficerAward / grant6,2256,225Form 4
2026-03-02PIZARRO PEDROdirectorAward / grant34,09834,098Form 4
2026-03-02PIZARRO PEDROdirectorAward / grant210,932210,932Form 4
2026-03-02Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerAward / grant4,0324,032Form 4
2026-02-27Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerWithheld for tax16,97822,085Form 4
2026-02-27Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerOption exercise20,47139,063Form 4
2026-02-27Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerWithheld for tax12,10523,366Form 4
2026-02-27Anderson Jill CharlotteofficerOption exercise13,38635,471Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-11-182025-10-09$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousepurchase2025-08-202024-09-26$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousepurchase2025-03-122025-02-12$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-02-112025-01-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-09$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-02-062025-01-09$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousesale2023-08-132023-07-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-07-112023-06-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-06-122023-05-01$1–15K
Pete SessionsHousesale2022-02-112022-01-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-21$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.