Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.51 · now $8.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EIKN has typically landed between $5.95 and $11.77 — a range of −30.1% to +38.3% from the issuance price $8.51.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
133 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-02-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EIKN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.51 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.23 (-3.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.97–$9.48
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.95–$11.77
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-03-06 | −38.9% | −38.9% | +3.7% |
| 2026-03-09 | −36.3% | −41.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-10 | −35.7% | −37.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-02 | +30.6% | −12.9% | +35.9% |
| 2026-07-29 | +27.9% | +0.0% | +39.3% |
| 2026-06-03 | +27.6% | −11.3% | +38.4% |
133 overlapping windows · 2026-02-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 89,200 @ $11.56 | $1.0M | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 89,200 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,437,323 @ $18.00 | $25.9M | +50.0% of holding | −1.4% | −45.4% | 4,312,139 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 630,881 @ $18.00 | $11.4M | +91.7% of holding | −1.4% | −45.4% | 1,319,164 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 49,556 @ $18.00 | $892K | +49.9% of holding | −1.4% | −45.4% | 148,840 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Wolfe Josh | director | Purchase | 138,888 @ $18.00 | $2.5M | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,888 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 138,888 @ $18.00 | $2.5M | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,888 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | FRAZIER KENNETH C | director | Purchase | 111,111 @ $18.00 | $2.0M | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 111,111 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Foresite Capital Management IV, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 55,555 @ $18.00 | $1000K | +4.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,318,983 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
282 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | PERLMUTTER ROGER M | director | Award / grant | 268,176 | 268,176 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Bowie Alfred Lloyd Jr. | officer | Award / grant | 67,044 | 67,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Thorner Benjamin Bruno | officer | Award / grant | 67,044 | 67,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | FRAZIER KENNETH C | director | Award / grant | 25,873 | 25,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Klobuchar Michael A | director | Award / grant | 87,157 | 87,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Huffines Robert Luther | director | Award / grant | 25,873 | 25,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Baynes Roy D. | director | Award / grant | 134,088 | 134,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 357,216 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 827,278 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 28,229 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 5,133,076 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Wolfe Josh | director | Conversion | 530,920 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 1,296,629 | 1,360,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 1,403,568 | 2,763,888 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 110,928 | 2,874,816 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 44,249 | 47,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 47,898 | 95,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 3,785 | 99,284 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 688,283 | 688,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 9,670,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 330,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 10,467,526 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,387,705 | 2,387,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,502,252 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 1,151,540 | 1,290,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 2,155,765 | 2,294,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 10,000,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 7,807,026 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 796,380 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 530,920 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 5,289,322 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 3,526,215 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 303,360 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 1,450,614 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Lux Venture Partners V, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 10,266,152 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 1,296,629 | 1,360,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 1,403,568 | 2,763,888 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 110,928 | 2,874,816 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 44,249 | 47,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Column Group IV GP, LP | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 47,898 | 95,499 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.