EIGEmployers Holdings, Inc.Financial Services · Insurance - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.02 · now $50.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EIG has typically landed between $45.44 and $54.97 — a range of −9.2% to +9.9% from the issuance price $50.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,917 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-01-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EIG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$45.44worst · -9.2%$54.97best · +9.9%
  • now $50.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $50.27 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $48.56–$51.97
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.44–$54.97
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,917 windows spanning 2007-01-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−39.3%−39.3%+0.8%
2008-09-30−38.8%−39.8%+0.0%
2008-09-10−37.5%−37.5%+0.1%
3 best
2008-10-29+53.8%+0.0%+53.8%
2009-05-05+53.4%+0.0%+53.4%
2009-04-27+51.7%+0.0%+52.8%

4,917 overlapping windows · 2007-01-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
37%
−4.5%
n=19
Feb
45%
−0.2%
n=20
Mar
70%
+4.6%
n=20
Apr
40%
−2.3%
n=20
May
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Jun
80%
+2.4%
n=20
Jul
60%
+0.3%
n=20
Aug
50%
−0.5%
n=20
Sep
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Oct
58%
+2.2%
n=19
Nov
79%
+4.6%
n=19
Dec
58%
+1.9%
n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$52$352026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $179K — Ozuna Christina M.2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $196K — Smith Ann Marie2026-02-24: 1 insider purchase, $79K — Pedraja Michael2025-11-04: 1 insider purchase, $204K — Pedraja Michael2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $200K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $204K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $79K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $376K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Ozuna Christina M. — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Smith Ann Marie — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pedraja Michael — Purchase on 2026-02-24, filed same dayofficer Pedraja Michael — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-10Ozuna Christina M.officerSale4,500 @ $39.88$179K−23.1% of holding+6.5%+12.0%15,008Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Smith Ann MarieofficerSale5,000 @ $39.29$196K−36.5% of holding+7.2%+12.2%8,704Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24Pedraja MichaelofficerPurchase2,000 @ $39.73$79K+11.2% of holding+4.5%+12.2%19,830Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-04Pedraja MichaelofficerPurchase5,500 @ $37.09$204K+44.6% of holding+5.0%+4.7%17,830Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05Pedraja MichaelofficerPurchase5,000 @ $40.04$200K+68.2% of holding+3.9%+3.4%12,330Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-27Mutschink John M.officerSale2,000 @ $49.12$98K−9.2% of holding−9.1%−33.3%19,789Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-06Pedraja MichaelofficerPurchase3,050 @ $48.59$148K+71.3% of holding−8.2%−43.0%7,330Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03KRONER JAMES RdirectorSale1,000 @ $52.00$52K−4.3% of holding+2.7%−26.8%22,458Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-28Smith Ann MarieofficerSale1,385 @ $51.24$71K−13.6% of holding+3.9%−24.0%8,801Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-28KRONER JAMES RdirectorSale1,000 @ $51.50$52K−4.1% of holding+3.9%−24.0%23,458Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-26KRONER JAMES RdirectorSale1,000 @ $50.50$51K−3.9% of holding+5.0%−22.3%24,458Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-25KRONER JAMES RdirectorSale2,000 @ $50.90$102K−7.3% of holding+3.9%−23.0%25,458Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

96 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Perez-Tenessa AlejandrodirectorAward / grant63469Form 4
2026-08-26McColgan Michael JdirectorAward / grant862,191Form 4
2026-08-26Sorenson Steven PdirectorAward / grant32113Form 4
2026-08-26de Figueiredo Joao MdirectorAward / grant2892Form 4
2026-08-17Pollak Matthew RobertofficerWithheld for tax1554,011Form 4
2026-07-30Lisenby Jeffrey PattonofficerAward / grant3,3923,392Form 4
2026-07-30BUSH STEPHANIE CdirectorAward / grant1,8411,841Form 4
2026-05-28MOCKARD JEANNE LdirectorAward / grant2,19618,834Form 4
2026-05-28McColgan Michael JdirectorAward / grant2,19618,956Form 4
2026-05-28de Figueiredo Joao MdirectorAward / grant2,19617,275Form 4
2026-05-28Sorenson Steven PdirectorAward / grant2,1966,743Form 4
2026-05-28Higgins Barbara AdirectorAward / grant2,19618,073Form 4
2026-05-28Perez-Tenessa AlejandrodirectorAward / grant2,19610,991Form 4
2026-05-28Pestcoe MarvindirectorAward / grant2,1964,599Form 4
2026-05-27Sorenson Steven PdirectorAward / grant2081Form 4
2026-05-27de Figueiredo Joao MdirectorAward / grant1664Form 4
2026-05-27McColgan Michael JdirectorAward / grant962,105Form 4
2026-05-27Perez-Tenessa AlejandrodirectorAward / grant55406Form 4
2026-03-18Antonello Katherine H.directorWithheld for tax5,258154,987Form 4
2026-03-18Mutschink John M.officerWithheld for tax63526,288Form 4
2026-03-18Smith Ann MarieofficerWithheld for tax4848,220Form 4
2026-03-18Ozuna Christina M.officerWithheld for tax31914,689Form 4
2026-03-18Pedraja MichaelofficerWithheld for tax31425,316Form 4
2026-03-18Champlin Christopher CraigofficerWithheld for tax3066,644Form 4
2026-03-18Kage Kelley F.officerWithheld for tax1796,706Form 4
2026-03-18Perez-Tenessa AlejandrodirectorAward / grant58351Form 4
2026-03-18Sorenson Steven PdirectorAward / grant2161Form 4
2026-03-18McColgan Michael JdirectorAward / grant1002,009Form 4
2026-03-18de Figueiredo Joao MdirectorAward / grant1748Form 4
2026-03-09Pollak Matthew RobertofficerAward / grant1,5203,646Form 4
2026-03-09Smith Ann MarieofficerAward / grant3,32013,704Form 4
2026-03-09Champlin Christopher CraigofficerAward / grant2,9006,950Form 4
2026-03-09Ozuna Christina M.officerAward / grant2,90019,508Form 4
2026-03-09Kage Kelley F.officerAward / grant4,1406,885Form 4
2026-03-09Antonello Katherine H.directorAward / grant19,900160,245Form 4
2026-03-09Pedraja MichaelofficerAward / grant5,80025,630Form 4
2026-03-09Mutschink John M.officerAward / grant4,14026,923Form 4
2026-02-23Antonello Katherine H.directorWithheld for tax5,688140,345Form 4
2026-02-23Mutschink John M.officerWithheld for tax1,18522,783Form 4
2026-02-23Smith Ann MarieofficerWithheld for tax85710,384Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.