EHC · TickerCove

EHCEncompass Health Corporationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $123.91 · now $123.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EHC has typically landed between $110.88 and $139.09 — a range of −10.5% to +12.2% from the issuance price $123.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($123.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$123.91 · 92% of range

$93.47 low$126.46 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.0%

typical move · IQR 10.1%

−10.5%worst (p90)+12.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

6 buys · 8 sells · 4 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where EHC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $123.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $123.91 (+0.0%)
typical $126.33 (+2.0%)
middle 50% $120.1–$132.57
90% range $110.88–$139.09

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−56.2%	−56.2%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−48.2%	−48.2%	+0.0%
2008-09-24	−47.3%	−47.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-04-22	+43.4%	+0.0%	+43.4%
2009-04-24	+43.0%	+0.0%	+43.0%
2009-04-21	+41.9%	−0.6%	+41.9%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

61%

+2.8%

n=18

Feb

58%

+0.2%

n=19

Mar

79%

+3.3%

n=19

Apr

89%

+6.3%

n=19

May

53%

+1.3%

n=19

Jun

47%

+0.7%

n=19

Jul

53%

+2.8%

n=19

Aug

53%

+0.3%

n=19

Sep

63%

−0.6%

n=19

Oct

33%

−3.4%

n=18

Nov

72%

+4.1%

n=18

Dec

44%

+0.1%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-31	Price Andrew L	officer	Sale	5,211 @ $120.93	$630K	−7.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	69,483	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31	Darby John Patrick	officer	Sale	4,858 @ $121.09	$588K	−6.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	75,041	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	171,569 @ $125.46	$21.5M	−38.9% of holding	−2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	269,393	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Sale	18,869 @ $125.38	$2.4M	−27.2% of holding	−2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	50,508	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Darby John Patrick	officer	Sale	8,906 @ $125.95	$1.1M	−10.6% of holding	−2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	75,041	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	1,579 @ $126.06	$199K	−0.6% of holding	−2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	267,814	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-15	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Sale	27,693 @ $106.83	$3.0M	−28.5% of holding	−7.9%	not yet — horizon still open	69,378	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Sale	1 @ $107.28	$107	−0.0% of holding	−7.9%	not yet — horizon still open	69,377	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-11	Tuer Patrick William	officer	Sale	682 @ $104.56	$71K	−2.7% of holding	+0.5%	not yet — horizon still open	24,755	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09	Fay Edmund	officer	Sale	11,937 @ $107.00	$1.3M	−11.8% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	89,325	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	87,745 @ $113.09	$9.9M	−18.9% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	377,283	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	16,216 @ $108.03	$1.8M	−3.1% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	510,854	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	15,584 @ $110.07	$1.7M	−3.1% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	482,039	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	13,231 @ $108.80	$1.4M	−2.6% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	497,623	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	10,954 @ $110.92	$1.2M	−2.3% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	471,085	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	6,057 @ $111.89	$678K	−1.3% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	465,028	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	213 @ $113.58	$24K	−0.1% of holding	−7.2%	−5.1%	377,070	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10	Tuer Patrick William	officer	Sale	2,804 @ $107.62	$302K	−14.9% of holding	−4.2%	−0.4%	16,042	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-27	Tuer Patrick William	officer	Sale	1,020 @ $123.59	$126K	−5.1% of holding	−0.1%	−19.1%	18,846	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-20	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	118,290 @ $121.53	$14.4M	−18.3% of holding	−2.6%	−19.2%	527,070	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-20	Tarr Mark J	director	Sale	94 @ $120.94	$11K	−0.0% of holding	−2.6%	−19.2%	645,360	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-06	Charbonneau Elissa Joy	officer	Sale	4,279 @ $116.61	$499K	−26.4% of holding	−2.5%	−21.1%	11,958	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Sale	26,239 @ $114.78	$3.0M	−25.3% of holding	−2.9%	−15.4%	77,671	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Sale	13,402 @ $115.51	$1.5M	−17.3% of holding	−2.9%	−15.4%	64,269	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29	Darby John Patrick	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $114.79	$1.1M	−11.1% of holding	−2.9%	−15.4%	79,710	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Sale	3,934 @ $116.36	$458K	−6.1% of holding	−2.9%	−15.4%	60,335	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-13	Price Andrew L	officer	Sale	5,042 @ $98.29	$496K	−6.8% of holding	+4.6%	+14.4%	69,164	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

192 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-31	Darby John Patrick	officer	Option exercise	4,858	79,899	Form 4
2026-08-31	Darby John Patrick	officer	Option exercise	4,858	0	Form 4
2026-07-16	Reidy Christopher R	director	Award / grant	319	17,777	Form 4
2026-07-16	Christie Edward M III	director	Award / grant	248	9,345	Form 4
2026-07-15	HERMAN JOAN E	director	Award / grant	85	49,643	Form 4
2026-07-15	CARMICHAEL GREG D	director	Award / grant	29	20,349	Form 4
2026-07-15	Christie Edward M III	director	Award / grant	11	9,097	Form 4
2026-07-15	Hayes Cain A	director	Award / grant	4	2,096	Form 4
2026-07-15	KATZ LESLYE G	director	Award / grant	85	49,643	Form 4
2026-07-15	O'Connor Kevin J.	director	Award / grant	19	11,582	Form 4
2026-07-15	SCHLICHTING NANCY M	director	Award / grant	40	22,972	Form 4
2026-07-15	Williams Terrance	director	Award / grant	29	16,859	Form 4
2026-07-15	Reidy Christopher R	director	Award / grant	21	17,458	Form 4
2026-05-15	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Option exercise	27,694	97,071	Form 4
2026-05-15	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Option exercise	27,694	0	Form 4
2026-05-07	O'Connor Kevin J.	director	Award / grant	1,634	11,563	Form 4
2026-05-07	Reidy Christopher R	director	Award / grant	1,634	17,437	Form 4
2026-05-07	SCHLICHTING NANCY M	director	Award / grant	1,634	22,932	Form 4
2026-05-07	Williams Terrance	director	Award / grant	1,634	16,830	Form 4
2026-05-07	CARMICHAEL GREG D	director	Award / grant	1,634	20,320	Form 4
2026-05-07	HERMAN JOAN E	director	Award / grant	1,634	49,558	Form 4
2026-05-07	Hayes Cain A	director	Award / grant	1,634	2,092	Form 4
2026-05-07	KATZ LESLYE G	director	Award / grant	1,634	49,558	Form 4
2026-05-07	Christie Edward M III	director	Award / grant	1,634	9,086	Form 4
2026-04-16	Reidy Christopher R	director	Award / grant	334	15,803	Form 4
2026-04-16	Christie Edward M III	director	Award / grant	261	7,452	Form 4
2026-04-15	Reidy Christopher R	director	Award / grant	19	15,469	Form 4
2026-04-15	O'Connor Kevin J.	director	Award / grant	17	9,929	Form 4
2026-04-15	Christie Edward M III	director	Award / grant	9	7,191	Form 4
2026-04-15	KATZ LESLYE G	director	Award / grant	85	47,924	Form 4
2026-04-15	SCHLICHTING NANCY M	director	Award / grant	39	21,298	Form 4
2026-04-15	Williams Terrance	director	Award / grant	27	15,196	Form 4
2026-04-15	HERMAN JOAN E	director	Award / grant	85	47,924	Form 4
2026-04-15	CARMICHAEL GREG D	director	Award / grant	27	18,686	Form 4
2026-04-15	Hayes Cain A	director	Award / grant	1	458	Form 4
2026-03-09	Fay Edmund	officer	Gift	3,000	86,325	Form 4
2026-03-02	Tarr Mark J	director	Award / grant	35,461	35,461	Form 4
2026-03-02	COLTHARP DOUGLAS E	director	Award / grant	12,275	12,275	Form 4
2026-03-02	Tuer Patrick William	officer	Award / grant	10,502	10,502	Form 4
2026-03-02	Darby John Patrick	officer	Award / grant	5,967	5,967	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Lisa Mcclain	House	sale	2025-11-21	2025-10-31	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	purchase	2025-11-21	2025-10-30	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	sale	2025-11-21	2025-10-30	$1–15K
Lisa Mcclain	House	purchase	2025-08-13	2025-07-22	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2023-04-07	2023-03-14	$1–15K
Mr. Peter Meijer	House	sale	2021-03-16	2021-02-16	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2020-10-21	2020-09-23	$1–15K
Susie Lee	House	sale	2020-10-07	2020-08-27	$1–15K
Susie Lee	House	purchase	2020-06-15	2020-05-19	$1–15K
Susie Lee	House	sale	2019-08-29	2019-07-31	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2019-07-11	2019-06-03	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2019-06-11	2019-05-28	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2019-05-10	2019-04-23	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2019-04-11	2019-03-26	$1–15K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i