Issued 2026-09-16 at $197.87 · now $197.87 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EGP has typically landed between $180.12 and $218.39 — a range of −9.0% to +10.4% from the issuance price $197.87.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($197.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EGP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $197.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $197.87 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $199.43 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $191.38–$207.48
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $180.12–$218.39
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −45.5% | −45.5% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-30 | −42.1% | −45.4% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −40.2% | −40.2% | +2.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-11-20 | +50.2% | +0.0% | +53.0% |
| 2009-03-06 | +47.9% | −1.9% | +49.1% |
| 2009-03-20 | +46.2% | +0.0% | +50.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Fields David Michael | director | Sale | 504 @ $195.77 | $99K | −12.5% of holding | +10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,531 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Dunbar Richard Reid | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $175.00 | $350K | −8.8% of holding | +1.7% | +9.9% | 20,630 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
80 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | ALOIAN D PIKE | director | Award / grant | 707 | 28,694 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | BOLTON H ERIC JR | director | Award / grant | 707 | 16,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Colleran Donald F | director | Award / grant | 707 | 7,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | McCormick Mary E | director | Award / grant | 707 | 24,841 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fields David Michael | director | Award / grant | 707 | 4,035 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA | director | Award / grant | 122 | 222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA | director | Award / grant | 707 | 929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Traynor James J. | officer | Award / grant | 1,612 | 1,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Rayner Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 202 | 5,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Tyler Staci H. | officer | Award / grant | 930 | 15,309 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Dunbar Richard Reid | officer | Award / grant | 1,695 | 26,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | WOOD BRENT | officer | Award / grant | 1,603 | 121,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | COLEMAN JOHN F | officer | Award / grant | 266 | 101,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Collins Ryan M | officer | Award / grant | 796 | 22,305 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | LOEB MARSHALL A | director | Award / grant | 5,888 | 167,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | LOEB MARSHALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 8,656 | 161,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | WOOD BRENT | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,168 | 119,739 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | COLEMAN JOHN F | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,105 | 101,223 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Collins Ryan M | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,938 | 21,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dunbar Richard Reid | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,704 | 24,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tyler Staci H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 936 | 14,379 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dunbar Richard Reid | officer | Award / grant | 2,089 | 26,047 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tyler Staci H. | officer | Award / grant | 2,128 | 14,065 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tyler Staci H. | officer | Award / grant | 1,250 | 15,315 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dunbar Richard Reid | officer | Award / grant | 4,491 | 23,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Collins Ryan M | officer | Award / grant | 4,066 | 21,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Collins Ryan M | officer | Award / grant | 1,604 | 23,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | COLEMAN JOHN F | officer | Award / grant | 2,040 | 103,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | COLEMAN JOHN F | officer | Award / grant | 5,011 | 101,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | LOEB MARSHALL A | director | Award / grant | 7,328 | 170,402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | LOEB MARSHALL A | director | Award / grant | 21,275 | 163,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | WOOD BRENT | officer | Award / grant | 7,754 | 119,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | WOOD BRENT | officer | Award / grant | 3,130 | 122,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | LOEB MARSHALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 4,754 | 141,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | WOOD BRENT | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,018 | 112,023 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | COLEMAN JOHN F | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,411 | 96,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Collins Ryan M | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,174 | 17,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Dunbar Richard Reid | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,163 | 19,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Tyler Staci H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 689 | 11,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Rayner Michelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 341 | 4,978 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.