Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.80 · now $1.80 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EGHT has typically landed between $1.28 and $2.48 — a range of −29.0% to +37.6% from the issuance price $1.80.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.80) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EGHT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.8 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.8 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.73 (-4.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.46–$1.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.28–$2.48
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −51.5% | −51.5% | +0.0% |
| 2024-07-16 | −46.6% | −46.6% | +8.8% |
| 2020-02-11 | −46.4% | −46.4% | +0.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-06 | +84.8% | −2.2% | +84.8% |
| 2020-11-24 | +77.7% | +0.0% | +77.7% |
| 2020-11-23 | +77.3% | +0.0% | +77.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Burton Andrew F. | director | Sale | 107,085 @ $1.81 | $194K | −41.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,615 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Denny Laurence | officer | Sale | 9,433 @ $1.82 | $17K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 604,281 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 34,329 @ $2.32 | $80K | −3.5% of holding | −19.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 958,324 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Theophille Elizabeth Harriet | director | Sale | 20,207 @ $1.81 | $37K | −10.8% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 167,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Denny Laurence | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $2.55 | $13K | −1.3% of holding | −20.6% | −32.0% | 376,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Sale | 85,044 @ $2.50 | $213K | −11.5% of holding | +5.3% | −19.2% | 652,943 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | Denny Laurence | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $1.95 | $10K | −1.3% of holding | +2.1% | −5.3% | 391,613 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-28 | Theophille Elizabeth Harriet | director | Sale | 24,271 @ $2.05 | $50K | −11.5% of holding | −14.0% | −30.0% | 187,293 | Form 4 · filed 23 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Burton Andrew F. | director | Sale | 6,644 @ $1.85 | $12K | −5.0% of holding | +0.4% | +3.8% | 126,665 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Sale | 103,826 @ $1.79 | $186K | −0.7% of holding | +3.3% | +4.5% | 13,781,823 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Sale | 200,000 @ $1.84 | $368K | −1.4% of holding | +3.0% | +4.3% | 13,885,649 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $1.81 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | −5.9% | −5.6% | 441,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-15 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $1.67 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +0.5% | −9.2% | 442,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-24 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Sale | 101,678 @ $2.23 | $227K | −0.7% of holding | −19.6% | −13.1% | 14,085,649 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-21 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $2.14 | $107K | −0.4% of holding | −18.0% | −18.0% | 14,187,327 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Sale | 52,149 @ $2.19 | $114K | −0.4% of holding | −15.9% | −21.1% | 14,237,327 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $2.23 | $223K | −0.7% of holding | −22.6% | −18.8% | 14,289,476 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $2.19 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | −21.2% | −26.1% | 443,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-18 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $3.34 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −20.5% | −44.9% | 457,017 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Denny Laurence | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $3.00 | $30K | −4.1% of holding | −20.4% | −41.5% | 233,791 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-15 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $2.60 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +11.9% | −35.5% | 458,641 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $2.65 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −2.5% | −33.6% | 459,641 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Burton Andrew F. | director | Sale | 1,980 @ $3.14 | $6K | −1.5% of holding | −11.2% | −40.5% | 133,309 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,080 | 2,552,626 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,480 | 939,192 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,632 | 875,832 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Denny Laurence | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,101 | 600,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | MARTIN-GARCIA COLLEEN M | officer | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,055 | 2,571,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,652 | 947,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,226 | 883,464 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Denny Laurence | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,350 | 613,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Burton Andrew F. | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 258,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ford Todd R | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 316,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Pagliuca John | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 137,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Bonner Monique | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 239,801 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Theophille Elizabeth Harriet | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 232,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gleeson Alison | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 296,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Singh Jaswinder Pal | director | Award / grant | 65,533 | 304,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Pagliuca John | director | Disposition | 66,502 | 72,413 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Bonner Monique | director | Disposition | 66,502 | 174,268 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Bonner Monique | director | Option exercise | 66,502 | 240,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Bonner Monique | director | Option exercise | 66,502 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Pagliuca John | director | Option exercise | 66,502 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Pagliuca John | director | Option exercise | 66,502 | 138,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 40,068 | 2,597,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,854 | 992,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,112 | 893,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Denny Laurence | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,747 | 610,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Seandel Suzy M | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,793 | 430,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 104,221 | 2,637,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Withheld for tax | 42,612 | 1,010,507 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Withheld for tax | 40,907 | 909,802 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Seandel Suzy M | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,567 | 436,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Denny Laurence | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,404 | 618,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Denny Laurence | officer | Award / grant | 234,500 | 643,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Award / grant | 804,000 | 2,742,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Award / grant | 251,250 | 950,709 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Award / grant | 351,750 | 1,053,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 84,715 | 1,883,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wilson Samuel C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 56,980 | 1,938,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kraus Kevin | officer | Withheld for tax | 37,651 | 678,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Middleton Hunter | officer | Withheld for tax | 33,886 | 677,867 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.