Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.39 · now $5.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EGAN has typically landed between $4.34 and $6.57 — a range of −19.6% to +21.8% from the issuance price $5.39.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,000 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EGAN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.39 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.33 (-1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.93–$5.74
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.34–$6.57
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-09 | −56.3% | −56.3% | +5.0% |
| 2007-11-08 | −50.0% | −50.0% | +0.0% |
| 2008-11-24 | −49.0% | −49.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-22 | +176.0% | +0.0% | +196.0% |
| 2010-09-15 | +169.6% | +0.0% | +169.6% |
| 2010-09-14 | +132.7% | +0.0% | +132.7% |
5,000 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Chandrasekhar Rao Jadcherla | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $5.15 | $31K | −81.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,358 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.25 | $51K | −3.7% of holding | −7.5% | −41.1% | 129,187 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.24 | $51K | −3.7% of holding | −8.3% | −48.9% | 129,187 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.61 | $106K | −80.0% of holding | +2.4% | −37.6% | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Sale | 500 @ $10.73 | $5K | −16.7% of holding | +2.4% | −37.6% | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.07 | $50K | −3.7% of holding | +6.5% | −33.1% | 129,187 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $14.44 | $72K | −3.7% of holding | −32.7% | −60.4% | 129,187 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.00 | $50K | −3.5% of holding | +53.7% | −20.5% | 139,187 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.00 | $50K | −3.6% of holding | +53.7% | −20.5% | 134,187 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.00 | $50K | −3.7% of holding | +53.7% | −20.5% | 129,187 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Chandrasekhar Rao Jadcherla | officer | Option exercise | 6,000 | 7,358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Chandrasekhar Rao Jadcherla | officer | Option exercise | 6,000 | 55,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 134,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 23,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 134,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Option exercise | 10,000 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Option exercise | 10,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 134,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 134,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 38,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Option exercise | 500 | 3,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Option exercise | 500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | SINHA GUNJAN | director | Option exercise | 500 | 819,795 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | SINHA GUNJAN | director | Option exercise | 500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 139,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 134,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 144,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 43,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 53,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 48,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Chandrasekhar Rao Jadcherla | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | ROY ASHUTOSH | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-15 | Chandrasekhar Rao Jadcherla | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | Darukhanavala Phiroz P | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | NARANG PROMOD | other | Award / grant | 115,000 | 115,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | CHRISTINE RUSSELL | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | ROY ASHUTOSH | director | Award / grant | 300,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | SHOCKLEY BRETT A | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | SMIT ERIC | officer | Award / grant | 160,000 | 160,000 | Form 4 |
| 2021-09-30 | SINHA GUNJAN | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.