EGEverest Group, Ltd.Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsuranceas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $377.77 · now $377.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EG has typically landed between $340.31 and $415.12 — a range of −9.9% to +9.9% from the issuance price $377.77.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($377.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $377.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$340.31worst · -9.9%$415.12best · +9.9%
  • now $377.77 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $381.1 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $366.17–$396.02
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $340.31–$415.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−40.3%−40.3%+0.0%
2020-02-13−37.0%−37.0%+0.0%
2020-02-25−36.8%−37.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-06+38.6%−1.7%+38.6%
2020-05-14+35.1%+0.0%+44.0%
2020-05-07+33.9%−7.0%+33.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$15.2B
market cap
$49.17
EPS (TTM)
7.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$17.3B
'20'25
Net income$1.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr10.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.23
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $377.77$311.68$939.86
  • DCF (intrinsic)$896.53
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$805.51
  • Analyst target · range $355.00–$484.00$383.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$377.77

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
−0.7%
n=18
Feb
79%
+3.0%
n=19
Mar
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.1%
n=19
May
42%
−0.6%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.2%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.0%
n=19
Aug
74%
+1.2%
n=19
Sep
58%
+1.1%
n=19
Oct
56%
+1.7%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.6%
n=18
Dec
50%
−0.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$399$2992026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $273K — Keen Jason2025-10-29: 2 insider purchases, $4.4M — GALTNEY WILLIAM F JR, Levine Allan2025-10: 2 open-market purchases, $4.4M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $273K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Keen Jason — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GALTNEY WILLIAM F JR — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Levine Allan — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-07Keen JasonofficerSale775 @ $351.84$273K−8.7% of holding−7.0%not yet — horizon still open8,170Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-29GALTNEY WILLIAM F JRdirectorPurchase11,385 @ $307.38$3.5M+33.4% of holding+2.8%+10.3%45,491Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Levine AllandirectorPurchase3,100 @ $306.08$949K+294.4% of holding+2.8%+10.3%4,153Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLANdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $337.97$338K+4.1% of holding−2.5%−19.7%25,618Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18Losquadro GeraldinedirectorSale1,500 @ $360.63$541K−10.9% of holding+2.7%−24.3%12,279Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Van Beveren GailofficerSale830 @ $350.42$291K−6.4% of holding+2.9%−21.7%12,213Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

117 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Levine AllandirectorAward / grant865,387Form 4
2026-07-01Howard John MdirectorAward / grant862,343Form 4
2026-07-01HARTZBAND MERYL DdirectorAward / grant8612,589Form 4
2026-05-12Habayeb Elias F.officerAward / grant13,97013,970Form 4
2026-05-12Habayeb Elias F.officerAward / grant7,12821,098Form 4
2026-04-01HARTZBAND MERYL DdirectorAward / grant9612,503Form 4
2026-04-01Page Alan DarryldirectorAward / grant962,013Form 4
2026-04-01Levine AllandirectorAward / grant965,301Form 4
2026-04-01Howard John MdirectorAward / grant962,257Form 4
2026-03-13KOCIANCIC MARKofficerAward / grant1,36935,796Form 4
2026-03-13WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLANdirectorAward / grant1,12930,270Form 4
2026-03-13KOCIANCIC MARKofficerWithheld for tax70135,095Form 4
2026-03-13Beggs JilldirectorAward / grant6848,663Form 4
2026-03-13WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLANdirectorWithheld for tax63429,636Form 4
2026-03-13Beggs JilldirectorWithheld for tax3508,313Form 4
2026-03-02WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLANdirectorWithheld for tax2,06029,141Form 4
2026-03-02KOCIANCIC MARKofficerWithheld for tax1,44234,427Form 4
2026-03-02KOCIANCIC MARKofficerWithheld for tax73735,869Form 4
2026-03-02WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLANdirectorWithheld for tax67331,201Form 4
2026-03-02Anzaldua RicardoofficerWithheld for tax2563,458Form 4
2026-03-02Beggs JilldirectorWithheld for tax2478,192Form 4
2026-03-02Beggs JilldirectorWithheld for tax2137,979Form 4
2026-03-02Anzaldua RicardoofficerWithheld for tax1843,274Form 4
2026-03-02Freiling Robert JofficerWithheld for tax876,987Form 4
2026-03-02Freiling Robert JofficerWithheld for tax817,074Form 4
2026-02-26WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLANdirectorAward / grant7,75131,874Form 4
2026-02-26Vidovich AnthonyofficerAward / grant5,3157,161Form 4
2026-02-26KOCIANCIC MARKofficerAward / grant3,69136,606Form 4
2026-02-26Vidovich AnthonyofficerAward / grant1,8461,846Form 4
2026-02-26Beggs JilldirectorAward / grant1,4778,439Form 4
2026-02-26GRAF JOHN AdirectorAward / grant96017,538Form 4
2026-02-26Levine AllandirectorAward / grant9605,205Form 4
2026-02-26Losquadro GeraldinedirectorAward / grant96013,239Form 4
2026-02-26McNeilage HazeldirectorAward / grant9604,161Form 4
2026-02-26Hay Laura JdirectorAward / grant9601,914Form 4
2026-02-26Howard John MdirectorAward / grant9602,161Form 4
2026-02-26GALTNEY WILLIAM F JRdirectorAward / grant96022,140Form 4
2026-02-26Amore John JdirectorAward / grant96025,082Form 4
2026-02-26Page Alan DarryldirectorAward / grant9601,917Form 4
2026-02-26HARTZBAND MERYL DdirectorAward / grant96012,407Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-07-16$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-02-062025-01-17$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.