EEExcelerate Energy, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.71 · now $37.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EE has typically landed between $32.25 and $45.47 — a range of −14.5% to +20.6% from the issuance price $37.71.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,089 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-04-132026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.25worst · -14.5%$45.47best · +20.6%
  • now $37.71 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.74 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.89$40.58
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.25$45.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,089 windows spanning 2022-04-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-06-03−34.3%−35.9%+0.0%
2022-06-01−33.5%−33.5%+3.8%
2022-06-02−30.2%−34.8%+1.7%
3 best
2026-01-12+33.8%+0.0%+33.8%
2025-12-30+33.4%+0.0%+33.4%
2024-10-24+32.4%+0.0%+32.4%

1,089 overlapping windows · 2022-04-132026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
25%
+6.0%
n=4
Feb
75%
+1.4%
n=4
Mar
50%
−4.6%
n=4
Apr
50%
−1.0%
n=4
May
40%
−0.9%
n=5
Jun
80%
+1.5%
n=5
Jul
80%
+3.1%
n=5
Aug
40%
−1.8%
n=5
Sep
40%
+0.4%
n=5
Oct
75%
+3.2%
n=4
Nov
100%
+14.8%
n=4
Dec
0%
−5.4%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$43$232026-03-20: 1 insider sale, $205K — Simpson Oliver2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $205K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Simpson Oliver — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-20Simpson OliverofficerSale6,000 @ $34.15$205K−10.4% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open51,719Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

63 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-03-31Armstrong Dana AdirectorWithheld for tax1,97275,545Form 4
2026-03-31Newman Hood AlisaofficerWithheld for tax1,25639,096Form 4
2026-03-31Broussard Amy ThompsonofficerWithheld for tax69932,152Form 4
2026-03-31Bent Michael AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax57631,332Form 4
2026-03-31Simpson OliverofficerWithheld for tax54651,173Form 4
2026-03-05Armstrong Dana AdirectorWithheld for tax5,40860,807Form 4
2026-03-05Simpson OliverofficerWithheld for tax4,65742,646Form 4
2026-03-05Newman Hood AlisaofficerWithheld for tax3,46929,502Form 4
2026-03-05Liner David A.officerWithheld for tax1,92243,281Form 4
2026-03-05Broussard Amy ThompsonofficerWithheld for tax1,79125,574Form 4
2026-03-05Bent Michael AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax1,78226,125Form 4
2026-03-05Broussard Amy ThompsonofficerAward / grant7,27732,851Form 4
2026-03-05Liner David A.officerAward / grant15,59358,874Form 4
2026-03-05HANRAHAN PAUL TdirectorAward / grant3,63932,322Form 4
2026-03-05Simpson OliverofficerAward / grant15,07357,719Form 4
2026-03-05Bent Michael AnthonyofficerAward / grant5,78331,908Form 4
2026-03-05Kobos Steven MdirectorAward / grant51,976533,604Form 4
2026-03-05Biswal NishadirectorAward / grant3,6397,851Form 4
2026-03-05Byers Deborah LdirectorAward / grant3,63932,704Form 4
2026-03-05Armstrong Dana AdirectorAward / grant16,71077,517Form 4
2026-03-05Newman Hood AlisaofficerAward / grant10,85040,352Form 4
2026-02-18Armstrong Dana AdirectorWithheld for tax6,35466,215Form 4
2026-02-18Newman Hood AlisaofficerWithheld for tax3,82032,971Form 4
2026-02-18Broussard Amy ThompsonofficerWithheld for tax2,54527,365Form 4
2026-02-18Bent Michael AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax2,13527,907Form 4
2026-02-18Simpson OliverofficerWithheld for tax71447,303Form 4
2026-02-18Newman Hood AlisaofficerAward / grant8,59936,791Form 4
2026-02-18Bent Michael AnthonyofficerAward / grant5,29330,042Form 4
2026-02-18Kobos Steven MdirectorAward / grant66,144224,696Form 4
2026-02-18Simpson OliverofficerAward / grant1,67248,017Form 4
2026-02-18Armstrong Dana AdirectorAward / grant17,19872,569Form 4
2026-02-18Broussard Amy ThompsonofficerAward / grant7,41029,910Form 4
2026-02-18Liner David A.officerAward / grant10,58246,086Form 4
2025-11-01Simpson OliverofficerWithheld for tax67846,345Form 4
2025-03-31Armstrong Dana AdirectorWithheld for tax1,21955,371Form 4
2025-03-31Newman Hood AlisaofficerWithheld for tax85428,192Form 4
2025-03-31Broussard Amy ThompsonofficerWithheld for tax52522,500Form 4
2025-03-31Bent Michael AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax37524,749Form 4
2025-03-31Simpson OliverofficerWithheld for tax35547,023Form 4
2025-03-05Armstrong Dana AdirectorWithheld for tax2,24637,817Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.