Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.71 · now $37.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EE has typically landed between $32.25 and $45.47 — a range of −14.5% to +20.6% from the issuance price $37.71.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,089 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-04-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $37.71 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.74 (+0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.89–$40.58
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.25–$45.47
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-06-03 | −34.3% | −35.9% | +0.0% |
| 2022-06-01 | −33.5% | −33.5% | +3.8% |
| 2022-06-02 | −30.2% | −34.8% | +1.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-01-12 | +33.8% | +0.0% | +33.8% |
| 2025-12-30 | +33.4% | +0.0% | +33.4% |
| 2024-10-24 | +32.4% | +0.0% | +32.4% |
1,089 overlapping windows · 2022-04-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $34.15 | $205K | −10.4% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,719 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
63 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Withheld for tax | 1,972 | 75,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Newman Hood Alisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,256 | 39,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Broussard Amy Thompson | officer | Withheld for tax | 699 | 32,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bent Michael Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 576 | 31,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Withheld for tax | 546 | 51,173 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Withheld for tax | 5,408 | 60,807 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,657 | 42,646 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Newman Hood Alisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,469 | 29,502 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Liner David A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,922 | 43,281 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Broussard Amy Thompson | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,791 | 25,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Bent Michael Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,782 | 26,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Broussard Amy Thompson | officer | Award / grant | 7,277 | 32,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Liner David A. | officer | Award / grant | 15,593 | 58,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | HANRAHAN PAUL T | director | Award / grant | 3,639 | 32,322 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Award / grant | 15,073 | 57,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Bent Michael Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 5,783 | 31,908 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Kobos Steven M | director | Award / grant | 51,976 | 533,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Biswal Nisha | director | Award / grant | 3,639 | 7,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Byers Deborah L | director | Award / grant | 3,639 | 32,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Award / grant | 16,710 | 77,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Newman Hood Alisa | officer | Award / grant | 10,850 | 40,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Withheld for tax | 6,354 | 66,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Newman Hood Alisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,820 | 32,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Broussard Amy Thompson | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,545 | 27,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Bent Michael Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,135 | 27,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Withheld for tax | 714 | 47,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Newman Hood Alisa | officer | Award / grant | 8,599 | 36,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Bent Michael Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 5,293 | 30,042 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kobos Steven M | director | Award / grant | 66,144 | 224,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Award / grant | 1,672 | 48,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Award / grant | 17,198 | 72,569 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Broussard Amy Thompson | officer | Award / grant | 7,410 | 29,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Liner David A. | officer | Award / grant | 10,582 | 46,086 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Withheld for tax | 678 | 46,345 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Withheld for tax | 1,219 | 55,371 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Newman Hood Alisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 854 | 28,192 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Broussard Amy Thompson | officer | Withheld for tax | 525 | 22,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Bent Michael Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 375 | 24,749 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Simpson Oliver | officer | Withheld for tax | 355 | 47,023 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Armstrong Dana A | director | Withheld for tax | 2,246 | 37,817 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.