Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.71 · now $2.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EDIT has typically landed between $1.87 and $3.90 — a range of −31.0% to +44.0% from the issuance price $2.71.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,648 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-02-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EDIT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.71 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.54 (-6.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.13–$2.96
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.87–$3.9
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-11-13 | −51.4% | −51.4% | +0.0% |
| 2024-11-22 | −50.4% | −50.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-09-02 | −48.9% | −48.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-11-19 | +198.5% | +0.0% | +198.5% |
| 2020-11-24 | +187.8% | +0.0% | +188.3% |
| 2020-11-25 | +186.4% | +0.0% | +186.4% |
2,648 overlapping windows · 2016-02-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 5,124 @ $3.04 | $16K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 243,189 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 709 @ $3.04 | $2K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 61,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 453 @ $3.04 | $1K | −3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 13,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 678 @ $2.58 | $2K | −4.5% of holding | +15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,292 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-28 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 4,928 @ $2.67 | $13K | −7.3% of holding | +18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,369 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 15,380 @ $2.70 | $42K | −5.8% of holding | +31.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 248,313 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 731 @ $2.70 | $2K | −1.1% of holding | +31.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,297 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 464 @ $2.70 | $1K | −3.0% of holding | +31.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,970 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 5,394 @ $2.02 | $11K | −2.0% of holding | +31.4% | +37.9% | 263,693 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 749 @ $2.02 | $2K | −1.1% of holding | +31.4% | +37.9% | 68,028 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 474 @ $2.02 | $957 | −3.0% of holding | +31.4% | +37.9% | 15,434 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 5,603 @ $2.15 | $12K | −2.0% of holding | −16.9% | +5.9% | 269,087 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 713 @ $2.15 | $2K | −1.0% of holding | −16.9% | +5.9% | 68,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 461 @ $2.15 | $993 | −2.8% of holding | −16.9% | +5.9% | 15,908 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 5,592 @ $2.60 | $15K | −2.0% of holding | +51.4% | −30.4% | 274,690 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 710 @ $2.60 | $2K | −1.0% of holding | +51.4% | −30.4% | 69,490 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 458 @ $2.60 | $1K | −2.7% of holding | +51.4% | −30.4% | 16,369 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 679 @ $2.58 | $2K | −3.9% of holding | +9.4% | −36.8% | 16,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 5,121 @ $2.49 | $13K | −7.4% of holding | +0.3% | −30.8% | 64,398 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 15,192 @ $1.72 | $26K | −5.1% of holding | +36.0% | +0.9% | 280,282 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 726 @ $1.72 | $1K | −1.0% of holding | +36.0% | +0.9% | 69,519 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Parison Amy | officer | Sale | 446 @ $1.72 | $769 | −2.5% of holding | +36.0% | +0.9% | 17,506 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 16,632 @ $1.71 | $28K | −5.3% of holding | −31.1% | +29.8% | 295,474 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Lucera Erick | director | Sale | 4,109 @ $1.71 | $7K | −3.5% of holding | −31.1% | +29.8% | 112,720 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Burkly Linda | officer | Sale | 2,891 @ $1.71 | $5K | −4.0% of holding | −31.1% | +29.8% | 70,245 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Sale | 1,618 @ $2.08 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | −30.7% | −2.5% | 312,106 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | Mei Baisong | officer | Sale | 541 @ $2.08 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | −30.7% | −2.5% | 133,354 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
22 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Ory Daniel Scott | officer | Award / grant | 950,000 | 950,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Ellinor Patrick Thomas II | director | Award / grant | 103,400 | 103,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hopfield Jessica | director | Award / grant | 51,700 | 51,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Scadden David | director | Award / grant | 51,700 | 51,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hirsch Andrew | director | Award / grant | 51,700 | 51,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Levy Elliott M. | director | Award / grant | 51,700 | 51,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Connaughton Bernadette | director | Award / grant | 51,700 | 51,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Parison Amy | officer | Award / grant | 292,856 | 292,856 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Award / grant | 1,015,200 | 1,015,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Burkly Linda | officer | Award / grant | 292,856 | 292,856 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Hirsch Andrew | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Levy Elliott M. | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Connaughton Bernadette | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Hopfield Jessica | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Scadden David | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-08 | Parison Amy | officer | Award / grant | 34,672 | 34,672 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-08 | Burkly Linda | officer | Award / grant | 275,100 | 275,100 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-08 | Burkly Linda | officer | Award / grant | 70,000 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-08 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Award / grant | 828,000 | 828,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-08 | O'Neill Gilmore Neil | director | Award / grant | 175,000 | 175,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-08 | Lucera Erick | director | Award / grant | 275,100 | 275,100 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-08 | Lucera Erick | director | Award / grant | 70,000 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.