EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $105.42 · now $105.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ED has typically landed between $98.08 and $115.16 — a range of −7.0% to +9.2% from the issuance price $105.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($105.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ED has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $105.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$98.08worst · -7.0%$115.16best · +9.2%
  • now $105.42 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $106.46 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $102.6–$110.32
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $98.08–$115.16
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−27.5%−27.5%+4.1%
2020-02-20−23.3%−23.3%+0.0%
2020-02-24−20.7%−26.5%+5.6%
3 best
2020-03-23+28.7%+0.0%+37.0%
2009-03-09+18.4%+0.0%+21.2%
2009-03-05+16.7%−2.8%+17.8%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$41.6B
market cap
$5.94
EPS (TTM)
19.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$16.9B
'20'25
Net income$2.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$36M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr12.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.19
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $105.42$80.06$138.09
  • DCF (intrinsic)$84.07
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$134.09
  • Analyst target · range $94.00–$117.00$105.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$105.42

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+1.3%
n=18
Feb
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Mar
79%
+3.7%
n=19
Apr
79%
+1.7%
n=19
May
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.4%
n=19
Jul
74%
+2.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.4%
n=19
Sep
53%
+0.1%
n=19
Oct
67%
+1.7%
n=18
Nov
50%
+0.6%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$115$932026-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $111 — Miller Joseph2026-06-15: 1 insider purchase, $110 — Miller Joseph2026-03-16: 1 insider purchase, $109 — Miller Joseph2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $219K — Donnley Deneen L2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $893K — MULROW WILLIAM J2025-12-15: 1 insider purchase, $104 — Miller Joseph2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $221K — KILLIAN JOHN F2025-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $103 — Miller Joseph2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $1032025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $1042025-12: 1 open-market sale, $221K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $893K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $1092026-03: 1 open-market sale, $219K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $1102026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $111↑ buys↓ salesofficer Miller Joseph — Purchase on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Miller Joseph — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Miller Joseph — Purchase on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Donnley Deneen L — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MULROW WILLIAM J — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Miller Joseph — Purchase on 2025-12-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector KILLIAN JOHN F — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Miller Joseph — Purchase on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $105.81$111+0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open5,266Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $106.87$110+0.0% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open5,217Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $115.55$109+0.0% of holding−9.4%−21.9%5,176Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12Donnley Deneen LdirectorSale1,922 @ $113.94$219K−5.6% of holding−4.4%−20.5%32,453Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27MULROW WILLIAM JdirectorSale7,912 @ $112.81$893K−41.9% of holding+8.4%−16.4%10,957Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-15Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $97.68$104+0.0% of holding+1.2%−0.0%3,665Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11KILLIAN JOHN FdirectorSale2,276 @ $96.89$221K−5.6% of holding+3.8%+4.3%38,661Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $97.46$103+0.0% of holding+4.6%+18.3%3,647Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $103.96$102+0.0% of holding−5.5%−14.2%3,629Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-14Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $103.90$101+0.0% of holding+9.4%−25.4%3,619Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-16Miller JosephofficerPurchase1 @ $92.58$98+0.1% of holding+3.8%+13.7%1,220Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

242 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-08Andrews Kirkland BofficerWithheld for tax8,52433,616Form 4
2026-07-01Farhadian Weinstein TalidirectorAward / grant1,2771,277Form 4
2026-06-30RANGER MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant441101,879Form 4
2026-05-19McBride Dwight AdirectorAward / grant1,59610,876Form 4
2026-05-19MULROW WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant1,59612,598Form 4
2026-05-19SUTHERLAND L FREDERICKdirectorAward / grant1,59693,043Form 4
2026-05-19Stanley DeirdredirectorAward / grant1,59630,449Form 4
2026-05-19Zoi CatherinedirectorAward / grant1,5965,582Form 4
2026-05-19KILLIAN JOHN FdirectorAward / grant1,59640,533Form 4
2026-05-19Mason Karol VdirectorAward / grant1,59611,948Form 4
2026-05-19RANGER MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant1,596100,613Form 4
2026-05-19SANFORD LINDA SdirectorAward / grant1,59629,711Form 4
2026-05-19Cavanagh Brendan ThomasdirectorAward / grant1,5962,606Form 4
2026-03-31RANGER MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant43199,017Form 4
2026-02-18Cawley TimothydirectorDisposition33,773126,709Form 4
2026-02-18Ketschke MatthewofficerDisposition8,21742,425Form 4
2026-02-18Donnley Deneen LdirectorDisposition6,40534,354Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerDisposition5,37021,746Form 4
2026-02-18Hensley JenniferofficerDisposition2,0872,523Form 4
2026-02-18Nachmias StuartofficerDisposition2,0069,742Form 4
2026-02-18O'Connell MicheleofficerDisposition1,81219,456Form 4
2026-02-18Miller JosephofficerOption exercise8415,173Form 4
2026-02-18Hensley JenniferofficerWithheld for tax2642,259Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerOption exercise5,3700Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerAward / grant8,9008,900Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerAward / grant3,8003,800Form 4
2026-02-18O'Connell MicheleofficerOption exercise1,81221,268Form 4
2026-02-18O'Connell MicheleofficerOption exercise1,8120Form 4
2026-02-18O'Connell MicheleofficerAward / grant7,4007,400Form 4
2026-02-18O'Connell MicheleofficerAward / grant3,1003,100Form 4
2026-02-18Miller JosephofficerOption exercise8410Form 4
2026-02-18Miller JosephofficerAward / grant1,5001,500Form 4
2026-02-18Miller JosephofficerAward / grant600600Form 4
2026-02-18Donnley Deneen LdirectorOption exercise6,40540,759Form 4
2026-02-18Donnley Deneen LdirectorOption exercise6,4050Form 4
2026-02-18Donnley Deneen LdirectorAward / grant10,60010,600Form 4
2026-02-18Donnley Deneen LdirectorAward / grant4,5004,500Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerOption exercise5,37027,116Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerOption exercise5,3700Form 4
2026-02-18Sanchez RobertofficerAward / grant8,9008,900Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousepurchase2023-04-172023-03-06$15–50K
Thomas SuozziHousepurchase2021-09-232017-08-17$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousesale2021-09-232018-07-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2021-01-152020-12-31$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousesale2021-01-092020-12-18$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousepurchase2020-10-092020-09-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-08-172020-07-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-06-172020-05-20$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-06-172020-05-20$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-05-132020-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-05-132020-04-07$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.