EAElectronic Arts Inc.Technology · Electronic Gaming & Multimediaas of 2026-08-20
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $209.70 · now $209.70 (2026-08-10, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EA has typically landed between $189.34 and $232.56 — a range of −9.7% to +10.9% from the issuance price $209.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,659 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-07-10 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($209.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $209.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$189.34worst · -9.7%$232.56best · +10.9%
  • now $209.7 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $211.37 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $204.27–$218.46
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $189.34–$232.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,659 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-08-10. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−42.5%−42.5%+0.0%
2008-10-20−40.7%−40.7%+0.0%
2008-10-21−39.3%−39.3%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+35.4%+0.0%+35.4%
2013-05-01+32.9%+0.0%+35.0%
2013-04-30+32.6%−1.8%+32.6%

4,659 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-10 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$52.4B
market cap
$3.51
EPS (TTM)
59.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$7.5B
'21'26
Net income$887M
'21'26
Free cash flow$2.3B
'21'26
Net margin · by yr11.8%
'21'26
ROE · by yr13.1%
'21'26
Debt / equity · by yr0.27
'21'26

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $209.70$109.37$217.45
  • DCF (intrinsic)$116.82
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$120.06
  • Analyst target · range $118.00–$210.00$167.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-08-10$209.70

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+2.3%
n=18
Feb
53%
+1.1%
n=19
Mar
79%
+3.4%
n=19
Apr
47%
+0.8%
n=19
May
68%
+8.0%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.6%
n=19
Jul
58%
+1.3%
n=19
Aug
58%
+1.1%
n=19
Sep
44%
−1.4%
n=18
Oct
44%
−2.1%
n=18
Nov
50%
−1.0%
n=18
Dec
50%
−0.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-082025-07$210$1472026-07-15: 6 insider sales, $1.8M — Wilson Andrew, Miele Laura, Singh Vijayanthimala …2026-06-15: 3 insider sales, $1.8M — Wilson Andrew, Miele Laura, Singh Vijayanthimala2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $602K — Kelly Eric Charles2026-05-21: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Wilson Andrew2026-05-20: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — Schatz Jacob J., Canfield Stuart2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $450K — Wilson Andrew2026-05-15: 3 insider sales, $1.7M — Wilson Andrew, Miele Laura, Singh Vijayanthimala2025-07: 9 open-market sales, $1.5M2025-08: 13 open-market sales, $2.1M2025-09: 10 open-market sales, $3.9M2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $2.0M2025-11: 7 open-market sales, $22.2M2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-02: 6 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $1.7M2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-05: 8 open-market sales, $5.1M2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-07: 6 open-market sales, $1.8M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Wilson Andrew — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wilson Andrew — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miele Laura — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miele Laura — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Singh Vijayanthimala — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Singh Vijayanthimala — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wilson Andrew — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miele Laura — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Singh Vijayanthimala — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kelly Eric Charles — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wilson Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schatz Jacob J. — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Canfield Stuart — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wilson Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wilson Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Miele Laura — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Singh Vijayanthimala — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-15Wilson AndrewdirectorSale3,200 @ $207.26$663K−4.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open75,974Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Wilson AndrewdirectorSale1,800 @ $206.55$372K−2.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open79,174Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Miele LauradirectorSale1,400 @ $206.78$289K−1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open72,113Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Miele LauradirectorSale1,100 @ $207.30$228K−1.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open71,013Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Singh VijayanthimalaofficerSale600 @ $207.29$124K−2.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open25,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Singh VijayanthimalaofficerSale600 @ $206.68$124K−2.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open25,760Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Wilson AndrewdirectorSale5,000 @ $203.12$1.0M−5.8% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open80,974Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Miele LauradirectorSale2,500 @ $203.10$508K−3.3% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open73,513Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Singh VijayanthimalaofficerSale1,200 @ $203.00$244K−4.4% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open26,360Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28Kelly Eric CharlesofficerSale3,000 @ $200.83$602K−25.6% of holding+3.5%not yet — horizon still open8,739Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-21Wilson AndrewdirectorSale5,066 @ $201.66$1.0M−5.6% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open85,974Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20Schatz Jacob J.officerSale5,000 @ $201.19$1.0M−10.6% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open42,287Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Canfield StuartofficerSale1,500 @ $201.36$302K−5.5% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open25,991Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18Wilson AndrewdirectorSale2,240 @ $201.11$450K−5.3% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open39,951Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Wilson AndrewdirectorSale5,000 @ $200.54$1.0M−21.0% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open18,858Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15Miele LauradirectorSale2,500 @ $200.54$501K−5.8% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open40,843Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15Singh VijayanthimalaofficerSale1,200 @ $200.81$241K−4.2% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open27,560Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

283 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Simonson Richard AdirectorDisposition83,2510Form 4
2026-08-04Wilson AndrewdirectorDisposition75,9740Form 4
2026-08-04Miele LauradirectorDisposition71,0130Form 4
2026-08-04Schatz Jacob J.officerDisposition42,2870Form 4
2026-08-04Wilson AndrewdirectorDisposition41,0450Form 4
2026-08-04Canfield StuartofficerDisposition27,5980Form 4
2026-08-04Hoskins Roche L TalbottdirectorDisposition27,3370Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition25,1600Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition19,1300Form 4
2026-08-04Ueberroth HeididirectorDisposition12,8480Form 4
2026-08-04Kelly Eric CharlesofficerDisposition8,7390Form 4
2026-08-04Gonzalez Rachel AdirectorDisposition7,8540Form 4
2026-08-04Bruce Kofi AdirectorDisposition7,7460Form 4
2026-08-04Huber JeffdirectorDisposition2,1840Form 4
2026-08-04Simonson Richard AdirectorDisposition3,4080Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition40,9240Form 4
2026-08-04Kelly Eric CharlesofficerDisposition2,4260Form 4
2026-08-04Miele LauradirectorDisposition17,6480Form 4
2026-08-04Canfield StuartofficerDisposition14,1190Form 4
2026-08-04Schatz Jacob J.officerDisposition32,0660Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition13,2360Form 4
2026-08-04Miele LauradirectorDisposition66,1830Form 4
2026-08-04Kelly Eric CharlesofficerDisposition1,4540Form 4
2026-08-04Ueberroth HeididirectorDisposition2,7300Form 4
2026-08-04Canfield StuartofficerDisposition60,3090Form 4
2026-08-04Kelly Eric CharlesofficerDisposition1,4540Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition32,0660Form 4
2026-08-04Huber JeffdirectorDisposition1,4520Form 4
2026-08-04Gonzalez Rachel AdirectorDisposition1,4520Form 4
2026-08-04Miele LauradirectorDisposition9,6950Form 4
2026-08-04Schatz Jacob J.officerDisposition7,2710Form 4
2026-08-04Miele LauradirectorDisposition60,3090Form 4
2026-08-04Ueberroth HeididirectorDisposition1,8700Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition33,0910Form 4
2026-08-04Ueberroth HeididirectorDisposition1,4520Form 4
2026-08-04Singh VijayanthimalaofficerDisposition32,0660Form 4
2026-08-04Hoskins Roche L TalbottdirectorDisposition1,4520Form 4
2026-08-04Canfield StuartofficerDisposition7,7560Form 4
2026-08-04Miele LauradirectorDisposition60,3090Form 4
2026-08-04Wilson AndrewdirectorDisposition24,2370Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-08-20 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-30$1–15K
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-06-082026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-01$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-07-092025-06-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-02$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.