Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.31 · now $17.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DYN has typically landed between $12.16 and $24.74 — a range of −29.8% to +42.9% from the issuance price $17.31.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,473 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DYN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $17.31 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $17.35 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.56–$20.14
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.16–$24.74
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,473 windows spanning 2020-09-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-05-03 | −50.6% | −50.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-05-02 | −48.5% | −48.5% | +3.5% |
| 2022-04-25 | −46.5% | −46.5% | +0.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-06-14 | +103.8% | +0.0% | +103.8% |
| 2022-06-16 | +102.2% | +0.0% | +102.2% |
| 2022-06-21 | +101.2% | +0.0% | +101.2% |
1,473 overlapping windows · 2020-09-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
33%
−1.1%
n=6
Feb
33%
+1.3%
n=6
Mar
50%
−2.6%
n=6
Apr
33%
−0.3%
n=6
May
67%
+3.4%
n=6
Jun
67%
+7.4%
n=6
Jul
83%
+12.7%
n=6
Aug
50%
+5.8%
n=6
Sep
17%
−9.4%
n=6
Oct
33%
+3.2%
n=6
Nov
50%
+9.7%
n=6
Dec
33%
−4.5%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Cox John | director | Sale | 5,658 @ $18.88 | $107K | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 357,507 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Sale | 1,290 @ $18.88 | $24K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 162,564 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Sale | 185 @ $18.88 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 152,897 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-04 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Sale | 3,745 @ $24.35 | $91K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 163,854 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Sale | 900 @ $24.35 | $22K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 153,082 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 1,359,674 @ $25.00 | $34.0M | −35.8% of holding | −27.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,441,454 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 478,377 @ $25.00 | $12.0M | −45.7% of holding | −27.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 567,358 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 322,465 @ $25.00 | $8.1M | −42.9% of holding | −27.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 428,946 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 268,354 @ $26.20 | $7.0M | −6.6% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,801,128 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 94,415 @ $26.20 | $2.5M | −8.3% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,045,735 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 63,643 @ $26.20 | $1.7M | −7.8% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 751,411 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Cox John | director | Sale | 4,986 @ $26.28 | $131K | −1.4% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 363,165 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Lucera Erick | director | Sale | 1,797 @ $26.28 | $47K | −1.5% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 119,766 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Sale | 1,556 @ $26.28 | $41K | −0.9% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 167,599 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Sale | 226 @ $26.28 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,982 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 256,072 @ $25.50 | $6.5M | −6.7% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,592,184 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 5,388 @ $26.04 | $140K | −0.1% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,586,796 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 124,379 @ $23.17 | $2.9M | −2.9% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,099,069 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 62,543 @ $23.17 | $1.4M | −5.1% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,154,994 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 49,193 @ $23.17 | $1.1M | −5.6% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 826,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 29,587 @ $23.62 | $699K | −0.7% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,069,482 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 14,844 @ $23.62 | $351K | −1.3% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,140,150 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 11,665 @ $23.62 | $276K | −1.4% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 815,054 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $23.61 | $118K | −62.8% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,962 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 253,039 @ $22.79 | $5.8M | −5.7% of holding | +12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,223,448 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 127,182 @ $22.79 | $2.9M | −9.5% of holding | +12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,217,537 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 100,019 @ $22.79 | $2.3M | −10.2% of holding | +12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 875,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 102,969 @ $21.14 | $2.2M | −2.2% of holding | +16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,476,487 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 51,756 @ $21.14 | $1.1M | −3.7% of holding | +16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,344,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 40,702 @ $21.14 | $860K | −4.0% of holding | +16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 975,931 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 162,954 @ $21.28 | $3.5M | −3.4% of holding | +17.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,579,456 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 81,903 @ $21.28 | $1.7M | −5.5% of holding | +17.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,396,475 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 64,411 @ $21.28 | $1.4M | −6.0% of holding | +17.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,016,633 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 12,699 @ $21.10 | $268K | −0.3% of holding | +21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,742,410 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 6,382 @ $21.10 | $135K | −0.4% of holding | +21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,478,378 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 5,019 @ $21.10 | $106K | −0.5% of holding | +21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,081,044 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Lucera Erick | director | Sale | 2,362 @ $20.37 | $48K | −1.9% of holding | +21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 121,563 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 50,530 @ $21.02 | $1.1M | −1.1% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,755,109 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 25,397 @ $21.02 | $534K | −1.7% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,484,760 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 19,973 @ $21.02 | $420K | −1.8% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,086,063 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 77,855 @ $21.13 | $1.6M | −1.6% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,805,639 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 71,629 @ $21.04 | $1.5M | −1.8% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,849,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 39,131 @ $21.13 | $827K | −2.5% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,510,157 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 30,774 @ $21.13 | $650K | −2.7% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,106,036 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 1,657 @ $21.47 | $36K | −0.0% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,848,256 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 190,676 @ $20.57 | $3.9M | −4.6% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,921,542 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 46,901 @ $20.07 | $941K | −1.1% of holding | +20.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,112,218 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Kersten Dirk | director | Sale | 37,454 @ $20.14 | $754K | −0.9% of holding | +21.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,159,119 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Cox John | director | Sale | 2,683 @ $18.33 | $49K | −0.7% of holding | +32.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 368,151 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Sale | 887 @ $18.33 | $16K | −0.5% of holding | +32.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,155 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Sale | 145 @ $18.33 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +32.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,208 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Posner Brian S | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $16.94 | $34K | +8.9% of holding | +42.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Posner Brian S | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $17.48 | $44K | +12.5% of holding | +27.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Posner Brian S | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $18.21 | $36K | +11.1% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Posner Brian S | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $17.12 | $43K | +16.1% of holding | +18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cox John | director | Sale | 3,311 @ $18.36 | $61K | −0.9% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 370,834 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Sale | 1,564 @ $18.36 | $29K | −0.9% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 170,042 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Lucera Erick | director | Sale | 1,448 @ $18.36 | $27K | −1.2% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 123,925 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Sale | 228 @ $18.36 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,353 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Sale | 43,621 @ $18.18 | $793K | −0.9% of holding | −10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,883,494 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
46 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Greene Barry E | director | Award / grant | 57,463 | 57,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Lubner David Charles | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | HURWITZ EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Kersten Dirk | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Stehman-Breen Catherine | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Posner Brian S | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Incerti Carlo | director | Award / grant | 35,152 | 35,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lubner David Charles | director | Gift | 53,625 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 154,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cox John | director | Award / grant | 180,000 | 376,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cox John | director | Award / grant | 285,000 | 285,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lucera Erick | director | Award / grant | 65,000 | 131,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lucera Erick | director | Award / grant | 105,000 | 105,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 85,000 | 172,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 130,000 | 130,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Karnani Vikram | director | Award / grant | 59,665 | 59,665 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Posner Brian S | director | Award / grant | 70,000 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | officer | Award / grant | 51,255 | 51,255 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Cox John | director | Award / grant | 197,285 | 197,285 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-16 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 65,110 | 65,110 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Cox John | director | Gift | 10,000 | 222,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Cox John | director | Gift | 10,000 | 232,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Cox John | director | Gift | 10,000 | 212,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Cox John | director | Gift | 10,000 | 202,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Stehman-Breen Catherine | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | HURWITZ EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Incerti Carlo | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Kersten Dirk | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Lubner David Charles | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Lucera Erick | director | Award / grant | 214,500 | 214,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Lucera Erick | director | Award / grant | 66,100 | 66,100 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-27 | Rhodes Jason P | director | Award / grant | 1,111,111 | 1,958,427 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Cox John | director | Award / grant | 145,300 | 150,300 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 48,000 | 95,500 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Kerr Douglas | officer | Award / grant | 76,600 | 76,600 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Scalzo Richard William | officer | Award / grant | 32,700 | 128,533 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Scalzo Richard William | officer | Award / grant | 52,300 | 52,300 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.