DYDycom Industries, Inc.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $287.38 · now $287.38 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DY has typically landed between $245.00 and $355.29 — a range of −14.7% to +23.6% from the issuance price $287.38.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-262026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($287.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $287.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$245worst · -14.7%$355.29best · +23.6%
  • now $287.38 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $297.28 (+3.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $274.53$320.03
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $245$355.29
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−69.6%−69.6%+2.4%
2020-02-19−66.9%−70.3%+0.0%
2020-02-20−64.4%−70.0%+0.4%
3 best
2020-03-18+110.5%+0.0%+121.8%
2020-03-12+85.1%−14.6%+89.0%
2009-03-06+81.7%−1.3%+81.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-262026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
−0.4%
n=20
Feb
45%
−3.7%
n=20
Mar
70%
+4.9%
n=20
Apr
55%
+6.8%
n=20
May
70%
+10.7%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.0%
n=20
Jul
60%
+1.3%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.9%
n=20
Sep
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Nov
50%
+3.3%
n=20
Dec
65%
+3.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$535$2452026-09-09: 1 insider purchase, $252K — Peyovich Daniel S2026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $201K — Fallon David Joseph2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Gertel Eitan2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $1.3M2026-09: 2 open-market purchases, $453K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Peyovich Daniel S — Purchase on 2026-09-09, filed same daydirector Fallon David Joseph — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed same daydirector Gertel Eitan — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Peyovich Daniel SofficerPurchase850 @ $296.76$252K+1.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open61,343Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01Fallon David JosephdirectorPurchase700 @ $286.92$201K+204.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,043Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-09Gertel EitandirectorSale3,645 @ $345.62$1.3M−18.6% of holding+21.4%+14.7%15,997Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-10Pruitt Peter T JrdirectorSale2,900 @ $175.08$508K−16.6% of holding+6.2%+34.2%14,533Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-18Fritzsche Jennifer MdirectorSale430 @ $173.11$74K−4.6% of holding+10.2%+37.4%8,873Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

82 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Lenz Michael C.directorAward / grant343343Form 4
2026-08-04Fallon David JosephdirectorAward / grant343343Form 4
2026-08-03Sykes Richard KdirectorAward / grant11421,983Form 4
2026-08-03GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorAward / grant48872Form 4
2026-08-03LeClair Stephen OdirectorAward / grant42797Form 4
2026-08-03Fritzsche Jennifer MdirectorAward / grant329,982Form 4
2026-08-03Skillern RaejeannedirectorAward / grant29489Form 4
2026-06-02Fritzsche Jennifer MdirectorGift1009,950Form 4
2026-05-28LeClair Stephen OdirectorAward / grant331755Form 4
2026-05-28Sykes Richard KdirectorAward / grant33121,727Form 4
2026-05-28Sykes Richard KdirectorAward / grant14221,869Form 4
2026-05-28Pruitt Peter T JrdirectorAward / grant33115,645Form 4
2026-05-28Fritzsche Jennifer MdirectorAward / grant33110,050Form 4
2026-05-28Sabater Carmen MdirectorAward / grant3316,804Form 4
2026-05-28Skillern RaejeannedirectorAward / grant331460Form 4
2026-05-28GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorAward / grant331824Form 4
2026-05-28Gertel EitandirectorAward / grant33116,328Form 4
2026-05-04Skillern RaejeannedirectorAward / grant41129Form 4
2026-05-04LeClair Stephen OdirectorAward / grant28424Form 4
2026-05-04GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorAward / grant28493Form 4
2026-05-04Fritzsche Jennifer MdirectorAward / grant259,719Form 4
2026-03-30Peyovich Daniel SofficerWithheld for tax7,86260,493Form 4
2026-03-30DeFerrari H AndrewofficerWithheld for tax6,176170,971Form 4
2026-03-30URNESS RYAN FofficerWithheld for tax4,44039,978Form 4
2026-03-30Ramshaw Jill LofficerWithheld for tax6375,560Form 4
2026-03-30Floyd Heather MofficerWithheld for tax3425,041Form 4
2026-03-30Peyovich Daniel SofficerAward / grant13,37068,355Form 4
2026-03-30Floyd Heather MofficerAward / grant8095,383Form 4
2026-03-30URNESS RYAN FofficerAward / grant6,04244,418Form 4
2026-03-30DeFerrari H AndrewofficerAward / grant9,313177,147Form 4
2026-03-30Wetherington Kevin MofficerAward / grant3,60420,242Form 4
2026-03-30Ramshaw Jill LofficerAward / grant1,1776,197Form 4
2026-03-24Floyd Heather MofficerAward / grant1,9184,574Form 4
2026-03-24Skillern RaejeannedirectorAward / grant8888Form 4
2026-03-24Peyovich Daniel SofficerAward / grant6,89954,985Form 4
2026-03-24Ramshaw Jill LofficerAward / grant1,1245,020Form 4
2026-03-24URNESS RYAN FofficerAward / grant1,69538,376Form 4
2026-03-24Wetherington Kevin MofficerAward / grant3,94216,638Form 4
2026-03-24DeFerrari H AndrewofficerAward / grant2,582167,834Form 4
2026-02-17Ramshaw Jill LofficerWithheld for tax1143,896Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.