Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.58 · now $11.58 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DXC has typically landed between $9.47 and $13.37 — a range of −18.3% to +15.4% from the issuance price $11.58.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.58) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DXC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.58 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.58 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.43 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.73–$12.13
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.47–$13.37
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −68.7% | −68.7% | +2.1% |
| 2020-02-14 | −67.5% | −67.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −64.6% | −64.6% | +0.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +67.9% | +0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | +56.2% | +0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2016-05-09 | +56.1% | +0.0% | +56.1% |
4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | FERNANDEZ RAUL J | director | Purchase | 28,050 @ $8.89 | $250K | +3.4% of holding | +1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 844,051 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | FERNANDEZ RAUL J | director | Purchase | 1 @ $9.00 | $8 | +0.0% of holding | +1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 844,052 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-02 | FERNANDEZ RAUL J | director | Purchase | 16,446 @ $15.24 | $251K | +2.1% of holding | −16.8% | −40.2% | 816,001 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 2,100 @ $15.15 | $32K | −2.3% of holding | −3.1% | −52.3% | 89,005 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 200 @ $15.16 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −3.1% | −52.3% | 88,605 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 200 @ $15.16 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −3.1% | −52.3% | 88,805 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 2,499 @ $14.52 | $36K | −2.7% of holding | −11.0% | −20.0% | 91,106 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 1 @ $14.52 | $15 | −0.0% of holding | −11.0% | −20.0% | 91,105 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Gonzalez Anthony | director | Sale | 5,800 @ $13.78 | $80K | −12.4% of holding | −1.0% | −12.6% | 40,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Gonzalez Anthony | director | Sale | 4,348 @ $13.78 | $60K | −10.7% of holding | −1.0% | −12.6% | 36,452 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Gonzalez Anthony | director | Sale | 2,146 @ $13.79 | $30K | −5.9% of holding | −1.0% | −12.6% | 34,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Gonzalez Anthony | director | Sale | 6 @ $13.79 | $83 | −0.0% of holding | −1.0% | −12.6% | 36,446 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 2,200 @ $15.94 | $35K | −2.3% of holding | −13.8% | −20.3% | 93,605 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Sale | 300 @ $15.93 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | −13.8% | −20.3% | 95,805 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
92 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gray Daniel J | officer | Award / grant | 100,310 | 131,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Venkataraman Ramanathan | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,247 | 230,688 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Washington Akihiko | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 79,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Gonzalez Anthony | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 56,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | ROGERS DAWN | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 79,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | BARNES DAVID A | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 86,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | WOODS ROBERT F | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 109,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mayfield Pinkie Dent | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 64,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Teffner Carrie W. | director | Award / grant | 21,800 | 72,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Herzog David L | director | Award / grant | 30,900 | 147,301 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Del Bene Robert F | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,943 | 290,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Del Bene Robert F | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,939 | 299,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 21,596 | 394,562 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,270 | 416,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Drumgoole Christopher | director | Withheld for tax | 7,450 | 655,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,416 | 425,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,537 | 126,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Ragone Jennifer | officer | Withheld for tax | 718 | 174,961 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | FERNANDEZ RAUL J | director | Withheld for tax | 28,937 | 775,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Del Bene Robert F | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,379 | 307,702 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Drumgoole Christopher | director | Withheld for tax | 15,795 | 662,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,849 | 429,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | FAWCETT MATTHEW K | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,388 | 260,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,237 | 128,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Ragone Jennifer | officer | Withheld for tax | 870 | 175,679 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | FERNANDEZ RAUL J | director | Withheld for tax | 39,223 | 804,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Del Bene Robert F | officer | Withheld for tax | 35,727 | 362,255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Del Bene Robert F | officer | Withheld for tax | 34,174 | 328,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Drumgoole Christopher | director | Withheld for tax | 33,524 | 697,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,870 | 450,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Drumgoole Christopher | director | Withheld for tax | 19,228 | 678,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | FAWCETT MATTHEW K | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,664 | 268,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,406 | 438,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,917 | 133,141 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Ragone Jennifer | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,482 | 176,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Ragone Jennifer | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,228 | 183,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,383 | 130,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Voci Christopher Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 41,516 | 140,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Venkataraman Ramanathan | officer | Award / grant | 158,155 | 244,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | August Raymond Alexander | officer | Award / grant | 98,023 | 469,969 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2025-05-06 | 2025-04-29 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-12-09 | 2023-11-07 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-12-09 | 2023-11-07 | $250–500K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-10-18 | 2023-09-06 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-10-18 | 2023-09-06 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-10-18 | 2023-09-05 | $50–100K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-10-18 | 2023-09-01 | $50–100K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-10-18 | 2023-09-05 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-10-18 | 2023-09-01 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2023-10-06 | 2023-09-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-07-11 | 2023-06-29 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-06-22 | 2023-05-12 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2023-06-22 | 2023-05-12 | $50–100K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2022-09-19 | 2022-08-08 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.