Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.23 · now $3.23 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DWSN has typically landed between $2.42 and $4.49 — a range of −25.1% to +39.0% from the issuance price $3.23.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.23) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DWSN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.23 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.23 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.25 (+0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.93–$3.56
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.42–$4.49
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −64.2% | −64.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-30 | −58.6% | −58.6% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-01 | −57.7% | −57.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-04-09 | +155.4% | +0.0% | +155.4% |
| 2009-04-13 | +153.4% | +0.0% | +154.3% |
| 2009-04-08 | +136.2% | +0.0% | +136.2% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 150 | 108,650 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Wilks Farris | director | Other acquisition | 15,547,010 | — | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Wilks Farris | director | Other acquisition | 15,547,010 | — | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 108,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Clark William Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 151,850 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Clark William Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 550 | 1,850 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-20 | Clark William Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 500 | 1,300 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | Shaw Ian M. | officer | Award / grant | 5,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 1,050 | 8,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 1,000 | 7,450 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 1,000 | 6,450 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Shaw Ian M. | officer | Award / grant | 5,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 500 | 4,950 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 500 | 5,450 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-13 | Clark William Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 50 | 800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-06 | Clark William Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 600 | 750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Shaw Ian M. | officer | Award / grant | 3,500 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Krylov Sergei | director | Award / grant | 3,055 | 28,415 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 2,950 | 4,450 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Shaw Ian M. | officer | Award / grant | 3,645 | 6,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Krylov Sergei | director | Award / grant | 2,640 | 25,360 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 900 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Krylov Sergei | director | Award / grant | 3,555 | 22,720 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Shaw Ian M. | officer | Award / grant | 2,855 | 2,855 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Mays Ray L | officer | Award / grant | 600 | 600 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-28 | Clark William Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 150 | 150 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.