DV · TickerCove

DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.49 · now $13.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DV has typically landed between $10.50 and $15.97 — a range of −22.1% to +18.4% from the issuance price $13.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,337 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$13.49 · 99% of range

$8.61 low$13.52 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.5%

typical move · IQR 18.1%

−22.1%worst (p90)+18.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $13.49 (+0.0%)
typical $13.56 (+0.5%)
middle 50% $12.34–$14.78
90% range $10.5–$15.97

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,337 windows spanning 2021-04-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-04-09	−43.6%	−43.6%	+0.0%
2024-04-10	−43.4%	−43.6%	+0.0%
2024-04-11	−42.8%	−43.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2021-05-19	+41.4%	+0.0%	+41.4%
2023-05-05	+34.3%	+0.0%	+34.3%
2023-05-16	+31.9%	+0.0%	+31.9%

1,337 overlapping windows · 2021-04-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+3.5%

n=5

Feb

−12.3%

n=5

Mar

40%

+1.2%

n=5

Apr

20%

−3.5%

n=5

May

67%

−3.4%

n=6

Jun

100%

+9.3%

n=6

Jul

83%

+0.9%

n=6

Aug

67%

+2.8%

n=6

Sep

33%

−9.6%

n=6

Oct

60%

+3.7%

n=5

Nov

40%

−0.2%

n=5

Dec

60%

+1.1%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-02	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $10.31	$10K	−1.0% of holding	−4.4%	+15.5%	99,497	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $10.71	$11K	−1.0% of holding	−1.0%	+1.0%	100,497	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-02	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $11.49	$11K	−1.0% of holding	−10.7%	−4.7%	101,497	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-16	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	3,096 @ $10.81	$33K	−2.9% of holding	−8.3%	−18.4%	102,497	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $10.46	$10K	−1.1% of holding	+6.8%	−15.8%	93,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $11.30	$11K	−1.0% of holding	−3.6%	−8.6%	94,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-01	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $11.88	$12K	−1.0% of holding	−2.1%	−10.6%	95,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Sale	4,096 @ $12.99	$53K	−4.1% of holding	−16.7%	−23.3%	96,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

292 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Zagorski Mark	director	Withheld for tax	7,453	580,364	Form 4
2026-06-30	Zagorski Mark	director	Option exercise	13,476	121,280	Form 4
2026-06-30	Zagorski Mark	director	Option exercise	13,476	587,817	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zagorski Mark	director	Withheld for tax	12,675	557,402	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	9,754	92,913	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zagorski Mark	director	Withheld for tax	8,417	569,622	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Withheld for tax	8,297	163,379	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zagorski Mark	director	Withheld for tax	6,704	562,820	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	4,474	73,046	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zagorski Mark	director	Withheld for tax	4,315	574,341	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Withheld for tax	3,741	168,809	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Withheld for tax	2,980	165,786	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Withheld for tax	2,247	172,459	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Withheld for tax	1,678	170,644	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zagorski Mark	director	Withheld for tax	1,525	570,854	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	1,144	75,611	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	767	94,430	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Withheld for tax	594	169,288	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	413	95,160	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	304	73,584	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Withheld for tax	91	93,072	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	5,073	163,992	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	842	164,834	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	2,384	167,218	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	2,500	169,718	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	12,189	121,872	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	4,041	24,240	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	5,073	50,730	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	842	1,686	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	2,384	14,301	Form 4
2026-06-15	Grimmig Andrew E	officer	Option exercise	2,500	5,000	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Option exercise	9,376	77,520	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Option exercise	842	73,888	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mougis Steven John	officer	Option exercise	3,171	76,755	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Option exercise	3,034	172,322	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Option exercise	4,062	174,706	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Option exercise	15,002	149,996	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Option exercise	5,387	32,323	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Option exercise	6,764	67,640	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allais Nicola T	officer	Option exercise	1,073	2,145	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i