Issued 2026-09-16 at $124.99 · now $124.99 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DTM has typically landed between $114.20 and $139.94 — a range of −8.6% to +12.0% from the issuance price $124.99.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,296 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($124.99) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DTM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $124.99 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $124.99 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $127.93 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $122.57–$133.29
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $114.2–$139.94
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-06-03 | −17.3% | −18.7% | +1.5% |
| 2022-06-02 | −17.1% | −19.3% | +0.7% |
| 2022-06-07 | −16.2% | −19.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-23 | +24.3% | +0.0% | +24.3% |
| 2024-10-24 | +23.4% | −0.6% | +23.4% |
| 2024-10-28 | +22.1% | +0.0% | +24.2% |
1,296 overlapping windows · 2021-06-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Pickle Elaine M | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $132.61 | $199K | +34.8% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,808 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Purchase | 145 @ $133.78 | $19K | +0.2% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,877 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Purchase | 150 @ $147.73 | $22K | +0.2% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,732 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-26 | Tumminello Peter I | director | Sale | 2,002 @ $135.79 | $272K | −15.0% of holding | +6.1% | −16.3% | 11,386 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Purchase | 185 @ $136.33 | $25K | +0.2% of holding | +7.2% | −13.3% | 89,583 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-11 | Cox Melissa | officer | Sale | 4,755 @ $104.47 | $497K | −47.9% of holding | +0.1% | +17.6% | 5,171 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Purchase | 150 @ $104.38 | $16K | +0.2% of holding | −2.3% | +15.3% | 64,380 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-09 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Purchase | 65 @ $100.15 | $7K | +0.1% of holding | −3.7% | −5.2% | 64,230 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-10 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $86.92 | $87K | +2.7% of holding | +14.1% | +6.1% | 38,653 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ellis Wendy | officer | Sale | 10,554 @ $93.28 | $984K | −62.1% of holding | +9.5% | +1.7% | 6,435 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Ellis Wendy | officer | Sale | 8,300 @ $92.69 | $769K | −32.8% of holding | +9.5% | +1.7% | 16,989 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Purchase | 170 @ $96.69 | $16K | +0.3% of holding | +8.2% | +1.0% | 64,165 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-16 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $112.27 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | −12.9% | −16.5% | 37,653 | Form 4 · filed 55 days after the trade |
| 2024-10-17 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $85.63 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | +16.3% | +21.5% | 37,653 | Form 4 · filed 146 days after the trade |
| 2024-07-16 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $69.91 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | +7.6% | +50.1% | 37,653 | Form 4 · filed 239 days after the trade |
| 2024-04-17 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $60.80 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | +0.8% | +24.2% | 37,653 | Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade |
| 2024-01-18 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $51.61 | $3 | +0.0% of holding | −3.0% | +24.7% | 36,653 | Form 4 · filed 419 days after the trade |
| 2023-10-19 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $52.49 | $3 | +0.0% of holding | −4.1% | −1.5% | 36,653 | Form 4 · filed 510 days after the trade |
| 2023-07-19 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $48.74 | $3 | +0.0% of holding | +2.6% | +0.4% | 36,301 | Form 4 · filed 602 days after the trade |
| 2023-04-19 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $44.38 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | −1.8% | +13.5% | 17,551 | Form 4 · filed 693 days after the trade |
| 2023-01-19 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $48.40 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | −7.5% | −15.9% | 17,551 | Form 4 · filed 783 days after the trade |
| 2022-10-19 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $50.21 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | −2.9% | −23.1% | 17,551 | Form 4 · filed 875 days after the trade |
| 2022-07-19 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $44.54 | $4 | +0.0% of holding | +5.6% | +7.3% | 924 | Form 4 · filed 967 days after the trade |
| 2022-04-20 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 0 @ $51.63 | $3 | +0.0% of holding | +6.7% | +14.2% | 924 | Form 4 · filed 1057 days after the trade |
| 2022-01-20 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 6 @ $43.15 | $260 | +0.7% of holding | +3.7% | +16.3% | 924 | Form 4 · filed 1147 days after the trade |
| 2021-10-15 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Purchase | 6 @ $42.75 | $257 | +1.2% of holding | −6.5% | +18.7% | 518 | Form 4 · filed 1244 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
141 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Archon Angela N | director | Option exercise | 1,145 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Archon Angela N | director | Option exercise | 1,178 | 6,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Archon Angela N | director | Option exercise | 1,178 | 6,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Archon Angela N | director | Award / grant | 1,093 | 1,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Pickle Elaine M | director | Award / grant | 1,093 | 1,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Tumminello Peter I | director | Award / grant | 1,093 | 1,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | SKAGGS ROBERT C JR | director | Award / grant | 1,093 | 1,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Wilson Dwayne Andree | director | Award / grant | 1,093 | 1,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Baker Stephen W | director | Award / grant | 1,093 | 1,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,109 | 89,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Option exercise | 13,209 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Option exercise | 16,109 | 105,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 412 | 1,657 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Option exercise | 965 | 965 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Option exercise | 1,033 | 2,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Option exercise | 1,033 | 2,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Award / grant | 5,287 | 5,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Zona Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 5,853 | 5,853 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cox Melissa | officer | Award / grant | 1,452 | 1,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Award / grant | 161 | 161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Slater David | director | Award / grant | 16,285 | 16,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Ellis Wendy | officer | Award / grant | 4,453 | 4,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Slater David | director | Withheld for tax | 63,190 | 262,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Zona Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,814 | 96,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,919 | 89,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Ellis Wendy | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,324 | 26,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Cox Melissa | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,240 | 12,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 640 | 1,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Zona Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 36,731 | 112,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Ellis Wendy | officer | Award / grant | 21,597 | 37,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Award / grant | 35,628 | 105,317 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Cox Melissa | officer | Award / grant | 11,019 | 17,373 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Slater David | director | Award / grant | 135,165 | 326,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Slater David | director | Withheld for tax | 12,382 | 190,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Zona Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,808 | 76,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Jewell Jeffrey A | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,326 | 69,689 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Ellis Wendy | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,267 | 15,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cox Melissa | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,179 | 6,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Finland Joseph Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 145 | 176 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.