DTEDTE Energy CompanyUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $130.70 · now $130.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DTE has typically landed between $121.09 and $141.44 — a range of −7.4% to +8.2% from the issuance price $130.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($130.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DTE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $130.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$121.09worst · -7.4%$141.44best · +8.2%
  • now $130.7 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $131.78 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $126.97–$136.59
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $121.09–$141.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−42.4%−42.4%+0.0%
2020-02-18−42.2%−42.2%+0.2%
2020-02-20−37.3%−41.9%+0.8%
3 best
2020-03-18+37.5%−0.2%+44.5%
2020-03-23+33.3%+0.0%+44.8%
2020-03-16+26.2%−7.5%+34.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$31.1B
market cap
$6.11
EPS (TTM)
24.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$15.8B
'20'25
Net income$1.5B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$1.0B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr11.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.16
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $130.70$-257.88$203.84
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-226.04
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$137.93
  • Analyst target · range $150.00–$172.00$158.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$130.70

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.7%
n=18
Feb
58%
−0.8%
n=19
Mar
79%
+3.1%
n=19
Apr
74%
+2.9%
n=19
May
47%
−0.0%
n=19
Jun
58%
+1.0%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.5%
n=19
Aug
63%
−0.1%
n=19
Sep
37%
−0.9%
n=19
Oct
67%
+1.1%
n=18
Nov
56%
+1.1%
n=18
Dec
67%
+1.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$154$1262026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $679K — Lauer Trevor F2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $144K — Muschong Lisa A.2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $225K — Muschong Lisa A.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $225K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $144K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $679K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Lauer Trevor F — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Muschong Lisa A. — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Muschong Lisa A. — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Lauer Trevor FofficerSale5,000 @ $135.71$679K−6.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open73,122Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14Muschong Lisa A.officerSale1,000 @ $143.72$144K−13.8% of holding+2.1%not yet — horizon still open6,233Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14Muschong Lisa A.officerSale1,600 @ $140.53$225K−27.8% of holding−4.2%−1.0%4,153Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24Chavez JoAnnofficerSale7,062 @ $132.40$935K−33.4% of holding+5.8%−2.0%14,067Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Paul Matthew T.officerSale3,801 @ $129.56$492K−35.4% of holding+13.6%+4.8%6,951Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Myrick Tracy JofficerSale1,014 @ $129.92$132K−22.8% of holding+13.6%+4.8%3,437Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

158 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01TORGOW GARYdirectorAward / grant2417,339Form 4
2026-07-01BRANDON DAVIDdirectorAward / grant24117,087Form 4
2026-05-08MCGOVERN GAIL JdirectorDisposition1,2190Form 4
2026-05-08MCGOVERN GAIL JdirectorOption exercise1,21953,179Form 4
2026-05-08MCGOVERN GAIL JdirectorOption exercise1,2191,219Form 4
2026-05-07TORGOW GARYdirectorAward / grant1,2307,136Form 4
2026-05-07Thomas David AdirectorAward / grant1,2303,977Form 4
2026-05-07MCGOVERN GAIL JdirectorAward / grant1,23054,398Form 4
2026-05-07SKAGGS ROBERT C JRdirectorAward / grant1,23014,109Form 4
2026-05-07MCCLURE CHARLES GdirectorAward / grant1,2303,977Form 4
2026-05-07Santos CassandradirectorAward / grant1,2302,449Form 4
2026-05-07Byers Deborah LdirectorAward / grant1,2303,977Form 4
2026-05-07Akins Nicholas KdirectorAward / grant1,2302,449Form 4
2026-05-07BRANDON DAVIDdirectorAward / grant1,2307,136Form 4
2026-05-07MURRAY MARK AdirectorAward / grant1,2303,977Form 4
2026-05-07Williams ValeriedirectorAward / grant1,2305,711Form 4
2026-05-04MURRAY MARK AdirectorDisposition1,4251,000Form 4
2026-05-04Thomas David AdirectorDisposition1,4252,068Form 4
2026-05-04MCCLURE CHARLES GdirectorDisposition1,4251,000Form 4
2026-05-04Williams ValeriedirectorDisposition17,012Form 4
2026-05-04MURRAY MARK AdirectorOption exercise1,4252,747Form 4
2026-05-04MCCLURE CHARLES GdirectorOption exercise1,4252,425Form 4
2026-05-04MCCLURE CHARLES GdirectorOption exercise1,4252,747Form 4
2026-05-04MURRAY MARK AdirectorOption exercise1,4252,425Form 4
2026-05-04Williams ValeriedirectorOption exercise1,4257,013Form 4
2026-05-04Williams ValeriedirectorOption exercise1,4254,481Form 4
2026-05-04Thomas David AdirectorOption exercise1,4253,493Form 4
2026-05-04Thomas David AdirectorOption exercise1,4252,747Form 4
2026-04-01TORGOW GARYdirectorAward / grant2467,044Form 4
2026-04-01BRANDON DAVIDdirectorAward / grant24616,716Form 4
2026-02-04Norcia GerardodirectorWithheld for tax13,609437,779Form 4
2026-02-04Ruud DavidofficerWithheld for tax3,39598,564Form 4
2026-02-04Lauer Trevor FofficerWithheld for tax2,09478,123Form 4
2026-02-04Harris Joi M.officerWithheld for tax1,02953,868Form 4
2026-02-04Richard Robert A.officerWithheld for tax1,02935,150Form 4
2026-02-04Paul Matthew T.officerWithheld for tax85310,116Form 4
2026-02-04Antishin Diane M.officerWithheld for tax36219,238Form 4
2026-02-04Muschong Lisa A.officerWithheld for tax3437,233Form 4
2026-02-04Myrick Tracy JofficerWithheld for tax2074,076Form 4
2026-02-04Lorenz Kathrine M.officerWithheld for tax1165,105Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2025-06-142025-05-20$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2025-04-202025-03-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
Jonathan JacksonHousesale2023-11-012023-09-26$15–50K
Pete SessionsHousesale2022-02-112022-01-19$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousesale2021-02-132021-01-05$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousepurchase2020-06-152020-05-13$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousesale2020-05-072020-04-02$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousepurchase2020-03-122020-02-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-03-092020-02-11$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-04-112019-03-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-02-122019-01-18$1–15K
David B. MckinleyHousesale2019-01-092018-12-17$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.