DTDynatrace, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $55.19 · now $55.19 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DT has typically landed between $45.84 and $64.49 — a range of −16.9% to +16.9% from the issuance price $55.19.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,770 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-08-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($55.19) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $55.19 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$45.84worst · -16.9%$64.49best · +16.9%
  • now $55.19 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.33 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $51.49–$59.18
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.84–$64.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,770 windows spanning 2019-08-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−46.2%−46.2%+0.4%
2020-02-14−46.0%−46.4%+0.0%
2020-02-18−44.5%−44.9%+0.7%
3 best
2019-10-29+45.1%+0.0%+45.1%
2020-04-21+44.1%+0.0%+44.1%
2020-04-03+41.9%+0.0%+46.2%

1,770 overlapping windows · 2019-08-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
57%
+1.3%
n=7
Feb
43%
−0.7%
n=7
Mar
29%
−6.4%
n=7
Apr
29%
+1.4%
n=7
May
71%
+11.5%
n=7
Jun
86%
+3.9%
n=7
Jul
57%
+1.2%
n=7
Aug
71%
+5.4%
n=7
Sep
38%
−4.0%
n=8
Oct
71%
+0.3%
n=7
Nov
71%
+6.4%
n=7
Dec
29%
+0.0%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$55$322026-09-05: 2 insider sales, $5K — Greifeneder Bernd …2026-06-05: 4 insider sales, $10K — Greifeneder Bernd …2025-09: 6 open-market sales, $528K2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $3.4M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $1.5M2025-12: 5 open-market sales, $355K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $107K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $3K2026-06: 4 open-market sales, $10K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $5K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Greifeneder Bernd — Sale on 2026-09-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Greifeneder Bernd — Sale on 2026-09-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Greifeneder Bernd — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Greifeneder Bernd — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Greifeneder Bernd — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Greifeneder Bernd — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerSale58 @ $51.90$3K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,034Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerSale41 @ $51.90$2K−1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,075Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Greifeneder BerndofficerSale162 @ $42.19$7K−7.6% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,976Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Greifeneder BerndofficerSale59 @ $42.19$2K−3.2% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,814Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Greifeneder BerndofficerSale16 @ $42.19$675−0.9% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,747Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Greifeneder BerndofficerSale10 @ $42.19$422−0.6% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,756Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

294 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Benson James MofficerWithheld for tax8,574194,213Form 4
2026-09-15Benson James MofficerOption exercise17,73217,732Form 4
2026-09-15Benson James MofficerOption exercise17,732202,787Form 4
2026-09-15Benson James MofficerOption exercise17,732202,787Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorWithheld for tax7,538261,496Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorWithheld for tax6,894268,150Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorWithheld for tax5,880254,220Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorWithheld for tax4,716272,702Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerWithheld for tax3,20160,753Form 4
2026-09-05McMahon Stephen AofficerWithheld for tax3,14124,693Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerWithheld for tax2,388180,771Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerWithheld for tax2,383183,315Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerWithheld for tax2,272951,985Form 4
2026-09-05McMahon Stephen AofficerWithheld for tax2,14926,526Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerWithheld for tax2,078953,684Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerWithheld for tax2,07064,419Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerWithheld for tax2,05766,467Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerWithheld for tax1,874178,221Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerWithheld for tax1,771950,127Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerWithheld for tax1,630185,055Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerWithheld for tax1,61462,359Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerWithheld for tax1,422954,846Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerWithheld for tax1,40767,868Form 4
2026-09-05Yates Daniel S.officerWithheld for tax35036,112Form 4
2026-09-05Yates Daniel S.officerWithheld for tax33036,459Form 4
2026-09-05Yates Daniel S.officerWithheld for tax27135,744Form 4
2026-09-05Yates Daniel S.officerWithheld for tax22636,696Form 4
2026-09-05Yates Daniel S.officerOption exercise7182,155Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorOption exercise11,55534,663Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerOption exercise4,13012,390Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerOption exercise4,92740,843Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerOption exercise4,93814,814Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerOption exercise2,58414,294Form 4
2026-09-05Benson James MofficerOption exercise3,85111,554Form 4
2026-09-05Zugelder DanofficerOption exercise6,38819,162Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerOption exercise4,13012,390Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorOption exercise14,81444,443Form 4
2026-09-05MCCONNELL RICK MdirectorOption exercise13,54894,834Form 4
2026-09-05Yates Daniel S.officerOption exercise6774,742Form 4
2026-09-05Greifeneder BerndofficerOption exercise3,77726,439Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.