Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.37 · now $12.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DSP has typically landed between $9.54 and $15.88 — a range of −22.9% to +28.3% from the issuance price $12.37.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,385 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DSP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $12.37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.49 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.35–$13.64
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.54–$15.88
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,385 windows spanning 2021-02-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-02-12 | −52.8% | −53.9% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-11 | −50.3% | −50.3% | +7.9% |
| 2021-06-25 | −49.5% | −49.5% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-23 | +71.2% | +0.0% | +71.2% |
| 2024-11-01 | +69.8% | +0.0% | +69.8% |
| 2024-11-04 | +68.3% | +0.0% | +68.3% |
1,385 overlapping windows · 2021-02-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+6.9%
n=5
Feb
40%
−5.7%
n=5
Mar
67%
−2.2%
n=6
Apr
33%
−8.6%
n=6
May
67%
+2.8%
n=6
Jun
50%
−2.3%
n=6
Jul
50%
−3.1%
n=6
Aug
33%
−3.9%
n=6
Sep
0%
−8.4%
n=6
Oct
60%
+1.8%
n=5
Nov
60%
+13.2%
n=5
Dec
80%
+5.4%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 26,020 @ $13.03 | $339K | −6.1% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 399,802 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 1,431 @ $13.68 | $20K | −0.4% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 398,371 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,912 @ $10.47 | $135K | −100.0% of holding | +15.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-23 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 4,304 @ $10.47 | $45K | −100.0% of holding | +15.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-23 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 4,304 @ $10.47 | $45K | −100.0% of holding | +15.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-23 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 2,814 @ $10.69 | $30K | −0.7% of holding | +15.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 425,822 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $11.03 | $166K | −53.7% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,912 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.03 | $55K | −53.7% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,304 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.03 | $55K | −53.7% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,304 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,588 @ $11.70 | $112K | −25.6% of holding | +4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 3,196 @ $11.70 | $37K | −25.6% of holding | +4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,304 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 3,196 @ $11.70 | $37K | −25.6% of holding | +4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,304 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 11,273 @ $12.69 | $143K | −2.6% of holding | −6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 428,636 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 9,149 @ $12.86 | $118K | −2.0% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 439,909 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 10,097 @ $12.78 | $129K | −2.2% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 449,058 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,500 @ $10.96 | $82K | −100.0% of holding | +4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $10.96 | $27K | −100.0% of holding | +4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $10.96 | $27K | −100.0% of holding | +4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-17 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $11.09 | $166K | −66.7% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.09 | $55K | −66.7% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.09 | $55K | −66.7% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $11.17 | $168K | −40.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.17 | $56K | −40.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.17 | $56K | −40.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 25,376 @ $11.10 | $282K | −5.2% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 459,155 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 9,125 @ $11.10 | $101K | −4.2% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 208,880 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 9,125 @ $11.10 | $101K | −3.0% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 293,880 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-09 | VALDES MAX O | director | Sale | 3,386 @ $11.97 | $41K | −10.3% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,449 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 14,670 @ $12.10 | $177K | −2.9% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 484,531 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-08 | VALDES MAX O | director | Sale | 3,300 @ $12.10 | $40K | −9.1% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,835 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 18,663 @ $12.24 | $228K | −3.6% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 499,201 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,500 @ $10.79 | $81K | −100.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $10.79 | $27K | −100.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $10.79 | $27K | −100.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-20 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $10.60 | $159K | −66.7% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.60 | $53K | −66.7% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.60 | $53K | −66.7% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $10.89 | $163K | −40.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.89 | $54K | −40.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.89 | $54K | −40.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 13,826 @ $11.29 | $156K | −2.6% of holding | +11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 521,335 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 3,471 @ $11.95 | $41K | −0.7% of holding | +11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 517,864 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 18,538 @ $11.85 | $220K | −3.3% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 535,161 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 12,782 @ $10.16 | $130K | −2.3% of holding | +4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 553,699 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 13,263 @ $10.74 | $142K | −2.3% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 566,481 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,389 @ $10.74 | $90K | −100.0% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 2,796 @ $10.74 | $30K | −100.0% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 2,796 @ $10.74 | $30K | −100.0% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,111 @ $10.91 | $154K | −62.7% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,389 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 13,283 @ $10.91 | $145K | −2.2% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 579,744 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 4,704 @ $10.91 | $51K | −62.7% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,796 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 4,704 @ $10.91 | $51K | −62.7% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,796 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $11.12 | $167K | −40.0% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.12 | $56K | −40.0% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $11.12 | $56K | −40.0% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 7,297 @ $11.31 | $83K | −1.2% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 593,027 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 10,131 @ $10.94 | $111K | −1.7% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 600,324 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Sale | 7,410 @ $11.27 | $84K | −1.2% of holding | −8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 610,455 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,760 @ $11.42 | $100K | −100.0% of holding | −11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-19 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Sale | 2,920 @ $11.42 | $33K | −100.0% of holding | −11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
141 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | MADDEN LARRY | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,016 | 374,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Disposition | 8,636 | 285,244 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Disposition | 8,636 | 200,244 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Award / grant | 10,720 | 39,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Abrahams Craig Justin | director | Award / grant | 28,389 | 28,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Disposition | 37,500 | 27,209,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Disposition | 12,500 | 9,069,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 37,500 | 27,209,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Disposition | 12,500 | 9,069,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 9,069,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 9,069,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 9,069,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Award / grant | 12,500 | 9,069,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Disposition | 37,500 | 27,246,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 37,500 | 37,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 37,500 | 27,246,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Disposition | 12,500 | 9,082,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Disposition | 12,500 | 9,082,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 9,082,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 9,082,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 9,082,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 9,082,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Gift | 52,096 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Award / grant | 52,096 | 52,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Gift | 52,096 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Award / grant | 52,096 | 52,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Yang Vivian | director | Award / grant | 15,948 | 109,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | VALDES MAX O | director | Award / grant | 15,948 | 37,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wilson Brett | director | Award / grant | 15,948 | 51,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Disposition | 12,500 | 9,094,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vanderhook Christopher | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vanderhook Timothy | director | Disposition | 12,500 | 9,094,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 37,500 | 27,284,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Capital V LLC | tenPercentOwner | Disposition | 37,500 | 27,284,326 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.