DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.Industrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.09 · now $37.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DRS has typically landed between $31.46 and $44.58 — a range of −15.2% to +20.2% from the issuance price $37.09.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DRS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31.46worst · -15.2%$44.58best · +20.2%
  • now $37.09 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.03 (+2.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.53–$40.52
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.46–$44.58
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−63.7%−63.7%+0.0%
2015-07-28−56.3%−57.0%+0.0%
2015-07-29−52.9%−53.2%+0.0%
3 best
2014-08-07+177.1%−11.0%+177.1%
2014-08-11+170.7%−2.3%+204.1%
2014-08-12+170.0%+0.0%+211.2%

5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+4.8%
n=20
Feb
60%
+6.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
+2.9%
n=20
Apr
45%
+5.4%
n=20
May
65%
+0.5%
n=20
Jun
60%
+5.0%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.7%
n=20
Aug
45%
+2.7%
n=20
Sep
30%
+1.2%
n=20
Oct
50%
+3.2%
n=20
Nov
30%
−6.4%
n=20
Dec
40%
−1.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$50$322026-09-04: 1 insider sale, $277K — Dorfman Mark2026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $755K — Dippold Michael2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $177K — Rinsky Jason2026-07-07: 1 insider sale, $175K — Rinsky Jason2026-06-18: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Baylouny John2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $65K — Wallace Sally2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $387K — Dippold Michael2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $253K — Dorfman Mark2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $181K — Rinsky Jason2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $521K — Morrow Pamela2026-05-19: 1 insider purchase, $1.1M — Jeffery Reuben III2026-04-02: 3 insider sales, $1.9M — Wallace Sally, Dippold Michael, Dorfman Mark2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $1.2M — Dippold Michael, Dorfman Mark2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $68K — Casey George2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $542K — Morrow Pamela2026-01-05: 3 insider sales, $722K — Dippold Michael, Dorfman Mark, Wallace Sally2025-12-01: 2 insider sales, $308K — Dippold Michael, Dorfman Mark2025-10-15: 1 insider sale, $371K — Baylouny John2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $477K — Baylouny John2025-09-12: 4 insider sales, $1.3M — Dippold Michael, Dorfman Mark …2025-08-20: 2 insider sales, $650K — Baylouny John, SALZMAN ERIC2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $650K2025-09: 5 open-market sales, $1.8M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $371K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $308K2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $722K2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $1.1M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $521K2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $2.6M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $175K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $177K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $1.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2026-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rinsky Jason — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rinsky Jason — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Baylouny John — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Wallace Sally — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rinsky Jason — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Morrow Pamela — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jeffery Reuben III — Purchase on 2026-05-19, filed same dayofficer Wallace Sally — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Casey George — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Morrow Pamela — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Wallace Sally — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Baylouny John — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Baylouny John — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Dippold Michael — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Dorfman Mark — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Baylouny John — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SALZMAN ERIC — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Dorfman MarkofficerSale7,471 @ $37.01$277K−20.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open29,271Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-02Dippold MichaelofficerSale20,317 @ $37.18$755K−36.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open35,143Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04Rinsky JasonofficerSale3,864 @ $45.81$177K−14.1% of holding−17.4%not yet — horizon still open23,581Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Rinsky JasonofficerSale3,865 @ $45.37$175K−12.3% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open27,445Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-18Baylouny JohndirectorSale36,471 @ $45.67$1.7M−23.0% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open122,435Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11Wallace SallyofficerSale1,300 @ $50.00$65K−2.2% of holding−12.9%not yet — horizon still open57,053Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-08Dippold MichaelofficerSale8,318 @ $46.48$387K−13.0% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open55,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Dorfman MarkofficerSale5,536 @ $45.75$253K−13.1% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open36,742Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Rinsky JasonofficerSale3,865 @ $46.87$181K−11.0% of holding−0.4%not yet — horizon still open31,310Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Morrow PamelaofficerSale11,545 @ $45.13$521K−52.2% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open10,551Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Jeffery Reuben IIIdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $42.77$1.1Mownership Δ n/a+5.6%not yet — horizon still open25,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-02Wallace SallyofficerSale28,960 @ $46.35$1.3M−33.2% of holding−23.1%not yet — horizon still open58,353Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-02Dippold MichaelofficerSale7,071 @ $45.38$321K−10.0% of holding−23.1%not yet — horizon still open63,778Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-02Dorfman MarkofficerSale4,659 @ $45.38$211K−9.9% of holding−23.1%not yet — horizon still open42,278Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Dippold MichaelofficerSale16,330 @ $45.27$739K−38.0% of holding−2.7%−32.2%26,622Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Dorfman MarkofficerSale10,014 @ $45.27$453K−36.2% of holding−2.7%−32.2%17,666Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Casey GeorgedirectorSale1,500 @ $45.13$68K−4.9% of holding+2.8%−33.1%28,820Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Morrow PamelaofficerSale12,000 @ $45.20$542K−64.9% of holding+4.4%−29.4%6,494Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Dippold MichaelofficerSale10,588 @ $37.00$392K−19.8% of holding+3.8%+12.3%42,952Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Dorfman MarkofficerSale7,680 @ $37.00$284K−21.7% of holding+3.8%+12.3%27,680Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Wallace SallyofficerSale1,300 @ $35.17$46K−2.2% of holding+3.8%+12.3%58,353Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-01Dippold MichaelofficerSale5,294 @ $33.74$179K−9.0% of holding+2.0%+26.2%53,540Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Dorfman MarkofficerSale3,840 @ $33.74$130K−9.8% of holding+2.0%+26.2%35,360Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-15Baylouny JohndirectorSale8,481 @ $43.69$371K−7.4% of holding−15.1%+4.1%106,007Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-17Baylouny JohndirectorSale11,420 @ $41.78$477K−9.1% of holding−5.2%+9.3%114,488Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-12Dippold MichaelofficerSale12,907 @ $41.65$538K−18.0% of holding+2.7%+5.8%58,834Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Dorfman MarkofficerSale8,534 @ $41.65$355K−17.9% of holding+2.7%+5.8%39,200Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Dippold MichaelofficerSale6,453 @ $41.65$269K−8.3% of holding+2.7%+5.8%71,741Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Dorfman MarkofficerSale4,267 @ $41.65$178K−8.2% of holding+2.7%+5.8%47,734Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-20Baylouny JohndirectorSale11,375 @ $41.17$468K−8.3% of holding−3.4%−10.9%125,908Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-20SALZMAN ERICdirectorSale4,403 @ $41.17$181K−27.1% of holding−3.4%−10.9%11,820Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13Carey David WdirectorSale6,438 @ $45.94$296K−21.2% of holding−0.7%−39.7%23,882Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15Lynn William IIIdirectorSale45,000 @ $40.77$1.8M−12.2% of holding+4.7%−29.8%322,382Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-08Baylouny JohndirectorSale3,529 @ $31.96$113K−2.5% of holding+19.2%+8.9%137,283Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-02Morrow PamelaofficerSale2,150 @ $31.82$68K−10.4% of holding+23.5%+13.0%18,494Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-02Wallace SallyofficerSale1,498 @ $31.82$48K−2.4% of holding+23.5%+13.0%59,653Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18Lynn William IIIdirectorSale45,000 @ $32.70$1.5M−12.1% of holding+14.3%+7.7%328,404Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18Dippold MichaelofficerSale26,618 @ $32.70$870K−27.9% of holding+14.3%+7.7%68,802Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18Dorfman MarkofficerSale20,034 @ $32.69$655K−30.4% of holding+14.3%+7.7%45,786Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18Morrow PamelaofficerSale8,854 @ $32.84$291K−33.8% of holding+14.3%+7.7%17,335Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18Wallace SallyofficerSale8,353 @ $32.84$274K−13.2% of holding+14.3%+7.7%55,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Baylouny JohndirectorSale3,529 @ $30.55$108K−4.7% of holding+12.9%+14.5%71,276Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-12SALZMAN ERICdirectorSale3,477 @ $33.53$117K−26.2% of holding+2.8%+17.2%9,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11SALZMAN ERICdirectorSale3,477 @ $34.59$120K−20.8% of holding+0.2%+15.1%13,262Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10Baylouny JohndirectorSale3,529 @ $34.81$123K−4.5% of holding−2.8%+13.9%74,805Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-31Lynn William IIIdirectorSale45,000 @ $35.25$1.6M−19.2% of holding−10.8%+15.3%189,937Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-08Baylouny JohndirectorSale3,529 @ $31.90$113K−4.3% of holding+2.1%+38.2%78,334Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-11Baylouny JohndirectorSale8,235 @ $34.50$284K−9.1% of holding+2.1%+25.2%81,863Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

236 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Krieg Kenneth JdirectorGift3,70027,576Form 4
2026-06-30TOWNSEND FRANCES FdirectorOption exercise1,00635,888Form 4
2026-06-30TOWNSEND FRANCES FdirectorOption exercise1,0062,013Form 4
2026-06-04Krieg Kenneth JdirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04Krieg Kenneth JdirectorOption exercise3,55631,276Form 4
2026-06-04TOWNSEND FRANCES FdirectorOption exercise3,55634,882Form 4
2026-06-04Jeffery Reuben IIIdirectorOption exercise6490Form 4
2026-06-04TOWNSEND FRANCES FdirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04Jeffery Reuben IIIdirectorOption exercise64925,649Form 4
2026-06-04SALZMAN ERICdirectorOption exercise3,55615,376Form 4
2026-06-04SALZMAN ERICdirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04GALLAGHER MARY EdirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04GALLAGHER MARY EdirectorOption exercise3,55633,876Form 4
2026-06-04Casey GeorgedirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04Casey GeorgedirectorOption exercise3,55632,376Form 4
2026-06-04Brothers Louis R JrdirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04Brothers Louis R JrdirectorOption exercise3,55624,316Form 4
2026-06-04Baker GaildirectorOption exercise3,5560Form 4
2026-06-04Baker GaildirectorOption exercise3,55633,876Form 4
2026-05-14Jeffery Reuben IIIdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14SALZMAN ERICdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14TOWNSEND FRANCES FdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14Casey GeorgedirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14GALLAGHER MARY EdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14Brothers Louis R JrdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14Baker GaildirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-05-14Krieg Kenneth JdirectorAward / grant3,7333,733Form 4
2026-04-09Baylouny JohndirectorAward / grant21,80521,805Form 4
2026-04-09Wallace SallyofficerAward / grant7,3597,359Form 4
2026-04-09Dippold MichaelofficerAward / grant12,02012,020Form 4
2026-04-09Rinsky JasonofficerAward / grant5,8875,887Form 4
2026-04-09Dorfman MarkofficerAward / grant7,3597,359Form 4
2026-04-09Morrow PamelaofficerAward / grant4,0894,089Form 4
2026-04-01Baylouny JohndirectorWithheld for tax17,555129,133Form 4
2026-04-01Dippold MichaelofficerWithheld for tax13,85846,144Form 4
2026-04-01Baylouny JohndirectorWithheld for tax12,301144,106Form 4
2026-04-01Dippold MichaelofficerWithheld for tax10,09358,429Form 4
2026-04-01Dorfman MarkofficerWithheld for tax9,95631,077Form 4
2026-04-01Wallace SallyofficerWithheld for tax9,83971,881Form 4
2026-04-01Wallace SallyofficerWithheld for tax7,68479,861Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.