Issued 2026-09-25 at $6.63 · now $6.63 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, DRIO has typically landed between $4.52 and $9.08 — a range of −31.8% to +37.0% from the issuance price $6.63.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,634 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-03-04 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($6.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DRIO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $6.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.63 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.2 (-6.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.38–$7.02
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.52–$9.08
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-10-03 | −69.5% | −69.5% | +0.0% |
| 2023-10-04 | −69.2% | −69.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-10-18 | −63.0% | −63.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-07-17 | +205.2% | +0.0% | +205.2% |
| 2020-07-21 | +202.8% | +0.0% | +202.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | +190.6% | +0.0% | +197.1% |
2,634 overlapping windows · 2016-03-04 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Matheis Dennis | director | Purchase | 14,430 @ $6.93 | $100K | +50.5% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,026 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 40,000 @ $0.53 | $21K | +72.7% of holding | +35.5% | +17.9% | 95,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-07 | STERN ADAM K | director | Purchase | 100 @ $1000.00 | $100K | ownership Δ n/a | −20.1% | −21.0% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-12 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.91 | $5K | +10.0% of holding | −14.5% | −24.0% | 55,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-11 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.80 | $4K | +11.1% of holding | +24.9% | −16.1% | 50,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-09-10 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.84 | $4K | +12.5% of holding | +22.8% | −18.6% | 45,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-09 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.80 | $4K | +14.3% of holding | +24.7% | −22.1% | 40,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-09-06 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.84 | $4K | +16.7% of holding | +22.7% | −28.6% | 35,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-05 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.82 | $4K | +20.0% of holding | +36.7% | −24.1% | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-27 | Raphael Erez | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.88 | $4K | +0.3% of holding | +11.9% | −29.1% | 1,937,059 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-23 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.95 | $5K | +25.0% of holding | +1.0% | −31.6% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-22 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.94 | $5K | +33.3% of holding | −0.6% | −31.8% | 20,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-21 | Raphael Erez | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.95 | $5K | +0.3% of holding | +6.0% | −32.4% | 1,932,059 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-21 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.93 | $5K | +50.0% of holding | +6.0% | −32.4% | 15,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-20 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.94 | $5K | +100.0% of holding | +6.5% | −32.3% | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-20 | Raphael Erez | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.93 | $5K | +0.3% of holding | +6.5% | −32.3% | 1,927,059 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-19 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.92 | $5K | ownership Δ n/a | −6.0% | −35.6% | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-19 | Raphael Erez | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $0.90 | $5K | +0.3% of holding | −6.0% | −35.6% | 1,922,059 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-16 | Raphael Erez | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $0.90 | $3K | +0.2% of holding | −2.7% | −31.9% | 1,917,059 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-16 | Raphael Erez | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $0.89 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | −2.7% | −31.9% | 1,914,059 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
29 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | Franco-Yehuda Chen | officer | Award / grant | 5,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Raphael Erez | director | Award / grant | 60,000 | 156,853 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 34,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | MCGRATH DENNIS M | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 27,737 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Matheis Dennis | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 27,631 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | STERN ADAM K | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 29,717 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Karah Hila | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 30,965 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Shaked Yoav | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 32,810 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Leisure Lawrence B. | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-15 | Franco-Yehuda Chen | officer | Award / grant | 500,000 | 500,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-24 | KAPLAN JON H. | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 111,574 | Form 4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Matheis Dennis | director | Conversion | 50 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Matheis Dennis | director | Conversion | 965 | 28,596 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-05 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Award / grant | 500,000 | 500,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-05 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-05 | Nelson Steven Charles | officer | Award / grant | 1,200,000 | 1,350,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | Matheis Dennis | director | Award / grant | 70,000 | 152,620 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | Karah Hila | director | Award / grant | 70,000 | 219,290 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | MCGRATH DENNIS M | director | Award / grant | 80,000 | 154,744 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | Raphael Erez | director | Award / grant | 800,000 | 1,912,059 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | ANDERSON RICHARD ALAN | officer | Award / grant | 750,000 | 750,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | ANDERSON RICHARD ALAN | officer | Award / grant | 320,000 | 320,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | Ben-David Zvi | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 746,035 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | STERN ADAM K | director | Award / grant | 70,000 | 194,341 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | Shaked Yoav | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 256,193 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-06 | KAPLAN JON H. | director | Award / grant | 70,000 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-15 | STERN ADAM K | director | Award / grant | 250 | 250 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-15 | Ben-Kiki Tomer | officer | Award / grant | 717,947 | 717,947 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-15 | Ben-Kiki Tomer | officer | Award / grant | 300,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.