DRHDiamondRock Hospitality CompanyReal Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motelas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.27 · now $12.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DRH has typically landed between $10.77 and $13.96 — a range of −12.2% to +13.8% from the issuance price $12.27.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DRH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.77worst · -12.2%$13.96best · +13.8%
  • now $12.27 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.37 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.8–$12.94
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.77–$13.96
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−79.3%−79.3%+2.0%
2020-02-14−67.5%−67.5%+1.7%
2020-02-13−63.0%−63.0%+1.2%
3 best
2020-03-18+121.6%+0.0%+152.4%
2009-04-02+89.7%−2.3%+89.7%
2009-04-06+88.6%−5.0%+88.6%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−1.0%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Mar
65%
+1.1%
n=20
Apr
65%
+5.2%
n=20
May
45%
−0.7%
n=20
Jun
45%
−2.5%
n=20
Jul
45%
−0.6%
n=20
Aug
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
45%
+0.7%
n=20
Nov
70%
+3.8%
n=20
Dec
80%
+4.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$13$72026-07-14: 1 insider purchase, $1K — Lepori Stephanie2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $238K — Merrill Kathleen2026-05-13: 1 insider sale, $209K — Hartmeier Michael A.2026-04-14: 1 insider purchase, $1K — Lepori Stephanie2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $40K — Spierto Steve2026-01-14: 2 insider purchases, $2K — Lepori Stephanie …2025-10-14: 1 insider purchase, $1K — Lepori Stephanie2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $1K2026-01: 2 open-market purchases, $2K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $40K2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $1K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $209K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $238K2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $1K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Lepori Stephanie — Purchase on 2026-07-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Merrill Kathleen — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hartmeier Michael A. — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed same daydirector Lepori Stephanie — Purchase on 2026-04-14, filed 92 days after the tradeofficer Spierto Steve — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lepori Stephanie — Purchase on 2026-01-14, filed 182 days after the tradedirector Lepori Stephanie — Purchase on 2026-01-14, filed 182 days after the tradedirector Lepori Stephanie — Purchase on 2025-10-14, filed 274 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-14Lepori StephaniedirectorPurchase111 @ $12.08$1K+0.4% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open25,831Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12Merrill KathleendirectorSale20,000 @ $11.88$238K−19.2% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open84,335Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-13Hartmeier Michael A.directorSale20,000 @ $10.46$209K−17.3% of holding+13.9%not yet — horizon still open95,354Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-14Lepori StephaniedirectorPurchase131 @ $10.17$1K+0.5% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open25,720Form 4 · filed 92 days after the trade
2026-03-03Spierto SteveofficerSale4,000 @ $9.93$40K−4.9% of holding−0.9%+11.0%77,977Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-14Lepori StephaniedirectorPurchase124 @ $9.16$1K+0.5% of holding+8.3%+30.3%25,588Form 4 · filed 182 days after the trade
2026-01-14Lepori StephaniedirectorPurchase64 @ $9.45$604+0.3% of holding+8.3%+30.3%25,464Form 4 · filed 182 days after the trade
2025-10-14Lepori StephaniedirectorPurchase154 @ $7.51$1K+0.6% of holding+14.6%+30.3%25,400Form 4 · filed 274 days after the trade
2025-03-11Donnelly JeffreydirectorPurchase10,000 @ $7.98$80K+1.5% of holding−5.9%−9.8%672,894Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

43 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-04Lepori StephaniedirectorAward / grant10,75325,246Form 4
2026-05-04Hartmeier Michael A.directorAward / grant10,753115,354Form 4
2026-05-04Zalotrawala TabassumdirectorAward / grant10,75371,055Form 4
2026-05-04Merrill KathleendirectorAward / grant10,753104,335Form 4
2026-05-04SHAW WILLIAM JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant10,753122,082Form 4
2026-05-04WARDINSKI BRUCE DdirectorAward / grant10,753148,226Form 4
2026-05-04Chi TimothydirectorAward / grant10,753132,812Form 4
2026-03-03Fischer AnikaofficerAward / grant24,29158,364Form 4
2026-03-03Spierto SteveofficerAward / grant35,42581,977Form 4
2026-03-03Donnelly JeffreydirectorAward / grant149,798798,243Form 4
2026-03-03Leonard Justin L.officerAward / grant89,069302,956Form 4
2026-03-03Quinn Briony R.officerAward / grant54,656352,396Form 4
2026-03-02Donnelly JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax24,747648,445Form 4
2026-03-02Quinn Briony R.officerWithheld for tax6,483297,740Form 4
2026-02-27Donnelly JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax70,426602,468Form 4
2026-02-27Leonard Justin L.officerWithheld for tax15,858154,647Form 4
2026-02-27Quinn Briony R.officerWithheld for tax11,096304,223Form 4
2026-02-27Spierto SteveofficerWithheld for tax5,38046,552Form 4
2026-02-27Fischer AnikaofficerWithheld for tax2,17734,073Form 4
2026-02-27Leonard Justin L.officerAward / grant59,240213,887Form 4
2026-02-27Donnelly JeffreydirectorAward / grant70,724673,192Form 4
2025-08-01Fischer AnikaofficerWithheld for tax2,10736,250Form 4
2025-07-18Leonard Justin L.officerWithheld for tax21,429170,505Form 4
2025-07-18Leonard Justin L.officerAward / grant44,393191,934Form 4
2025-05-05Lepori StephaniedirectorAward / grant14,49314,493Form 4
2025-05-05MCCARTEN WILLIAM WdirectorAward / grant14,493444,604Form 4
2025-05-05Merrill KathleendirectorAward / grant14,49393,582Form 4
2025-05-05Hartmeier Michael A.directorAward / grant14,493104,601Form 4
2025-05-05SHAW WILLIAM JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant14,493111,329Form 4
2025-05-05Chi TimothydirectorAward / grant14,493122,059Form 4
2025-05-05Zalotrawala TabassumdirectorAward / grant14,49360,302Form 4
2025-05-05WARDINSKI BRUCE DdirectorAward / grant14,493137,473Form 4
2025-03-03Donnelly JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax12,187492,785Form 4
2025-03-03Quinn Briony R.officerWithheld for tax3,195261,856Form 4
2025-03-03Quinn Briony R.officerAward / grant53,463315,319Form 4
2025-03-03Donnelly JeffreydirectorAward / grant170,109662,894Form 4
2025-03-03Spierto SteveofficerAward / grant36,45251,932Form 4
2025-03-03Fischer AnikaofficerAward / grant19,44138,357Form 4
2025-03-03Leonard Justin L.officerAward / grant97,205147,541Form 4
2025-02-27Donnelly JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax43,695477,748Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.