Issued 2026-09-16 at $124.96 · now $124.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DORM has typically landed between $108.73 and $144.91 — a range of −13.0% to +16.0% from the issuance price $124.96.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($124.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DORM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $124.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $124.96 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $125.46 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $118.1–$132.82
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $108.73–$144.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-10 | −50.3% | −50.3% | +2.7% |
| 2009-02-09 | −43.3% | −43.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −41.3% | −51.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-07-14 | +90.8% | +0.0% | +90.8% |
| 2009-03-11 | +84.8% | +0.0% | +84.8% |
| 2008-07-08 | +75.1% | −5.4% | +75.1% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
30%
−3.0%
n=20
Feb
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Mar
75%
+3.2%
n=20
Apr
40%
+1.8%
n=20
May
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Jun
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Jul
60%
+5.3%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Sep
55%
+1.7%
n=20
Oct
40%
−0.4%
n=20
Nov
85%
+5.9%
n=20
Dec
60%
+0.8%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 734 @ $135.21 | $99K | −3.7% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,339 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Sale | 1,974 @ $145.23 | $287K | −22.3% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,897 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Sale | 1,557 @ $144.72 | $225K | −22.6% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,340 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 394 @ $103.21 | $41K | −1.9% of holding | +4.0% | +8.5% | 20,308 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 318 @ $102.19 | $32K | −1.5% of holding | +4.0% | +8.5% | 20,702 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 235 @ $104.03 | $24K | −1.2% of holding | +4.0% | +8.5% | 20,073 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 573 @ $123.70 | $71K | −3.1% of holding | −0.4% | +2.5% | 18,042 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 186 @ $124.22 | $23K | −1.0% of holding | −0.4% | +2.5% | 17,856 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 53 @ $122.69 | $7K | −0.3% of holding | −0.4% | +2.5% | 18,615 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | McKnight John | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $128.80 | $258K | −18.0% of holding | −3.1% | −12.4% | 9,112 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | McKnight John | officer | Sale | 3,987 @ $130.59 | $521K | −24.9% of holding | −6.3% | −16.1% | 12,023 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | McKnight John | officer | Sale | 911 @ $131.19 | $120K | −7.6% of holding | −6.3% | −16.1% | 11,112 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Hession David | officer | Sale | 6,515 @ $135.42 | $882K | −43.4% of holding | −3.7% | −17.6% | 8,497 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Hession David | officer | Sale | 3,120 @ $134.14 | $419K | −17.2% of holding | −3.7% | −17.6% | 15,012 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Hession David | officer | Sale | 2,858 @ $136.33 | $390K | −33.6% of holding | −3.7% | −17.6% | 5,639 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Sale | 1,453 @ $162.81 | $237K | −23.8% of holding | −15.4% | −38.1% | 4,659 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 1,213 @ $150.00 | $182K | −6.4% of holding | +7.0% | −19.2% | 17,861 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-28 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 818 @ $122.21 | $100K | −4.1% of holding | +32.8% | −8.1% | 19,074 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-28 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 2 @ $121.60 | $243 | −0.0% of holding | +32.8% | −8.1% | 19,892 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | GAVIN JOHN J | director | Sale | 2,900 @ $131.19 | $380K | −26.3% of holding | −7.0% | −13.9% | 8,132 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 321 @ $129.06 | $41K | −1.6% of holding | +1.5% | +13.5% | 20,315 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 197 @ $131.78 | $26K | −1.0% of holding | +1.5% | +13.5% | 19,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 140 @ $129.85 | $18K | −0.7% of holding | +1.5% | +13.5% | 20,175 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | Long Donna M. | officer | Sale | 84 @ $133.05 | $11K | −0.4% of holding | +1.5% | +13.5% | 19,894 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-02 | DARBY JEFFERY | officer | Sale | 1,534 @ $131.46 | $202K | −8.9% of holding | −2.7% | +13.9% | 15,756 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 8,096 @ $134.95 | $1.1M | −1.1% of holding | +2.1% | −13.8% | 760,426 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 3,938 @ $133.99 | $528K | −0.5% of holding | +2.1% | −13.8% | 768,522 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 634 @ $133.13 | $84K | −0.1% of holding | +2.1% | −13.8% | 772,460 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 5,883 @ $131.49 | $774K | −0.8% of holding | +0.6% | −14.5% | 775,735 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,641 @ $132.47 | $350K | −0.3% of holding | +0.6% | −14.5% | 773,094 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 3,526 @ $131.59 | $464K | −0.4% of holding | −0.9% | −15.2% | 785,162 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,112 @ $133.38 | $282K | −0.3% of holding | −0.9% | −15.2% | 781,618 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 1,432 @ $132.36 | $190K | −0.2% of holding | −0.9% | −15.2% | 783,730 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 3,508 @ $132.78 | $466K | −0.4% of holding | −5.4% | −14.4% | 791,055 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 3,363 @ $131.96 | $444K | −0.4% of holding | −5.4% | −14.4% | 794,563 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,367 @ $133.73 | $317K | −0.3% of holding | −5.4% | −14.4% | 788,688 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-24 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 11,464 @ $132.40 | $1.5M | −1.4% of holding | −3.3% | −13.5% | 798,340 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-24 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 4,535 @ $131.05 | $594K | −0.6% of holding | −3.3% | −13.5% | 809,804 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-24 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 414 @ $132.94 | $55K | −0.1% of holding | −3.3% | −13.5% | 797,926 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-23 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,633 @ $130.56 | $344K | −0.3% of holding | −3.0% | −11.0% | 814,339 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-22 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,633 @ $130.02 | $342K | −0.3% of holding | −3.8% | −11.7% | 816,972 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,632 @ $130.63 | $344K | −0.3% of holding | −4.0% | −11.2% | 820,515 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 910 @ $131.34 | $120K | −0.1% of holding | −4.0% | −11.2% | 819,605 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,775 @ $131.22 | $364K | −0.3% of holding | −5.2% | −11.6% | 823,147 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 1,685 @ $129.24 | $218K | −0.2% of holding | −5.9% | −13.8% | 826,870 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 948 @ $130.11 | $123K | −0.1% of holding | −5.9% | −13.8% | 825,922 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-15 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,486 @ $128.59 | $320K | −0.3% of holding | −4.4% | −12.2% | 828,555 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 1,481 @ $125.70 | $186K | −0.2% of holding | −4.9% | −11.4% | 831,041 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 388 @ $123.98 | $48K | −0.0% of holding | −4.9% | −11.4% | 832,522 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 617 @ $123.23 | $76K | −0.1% of holding | −2.4% | −9.5% | 832,910 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 285 @ $123.50 | $35K | −0.0% of holding | −0.7% | −8.7% | 833,527 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 2,633 @ $132.52 | $349K | −0.3% of holding | −0.6% | −9.2% | 833,812 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 130 @ $135.00 | $18K | −0.0% of holding | −3.7% | −8.2% | 864,675 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 1,389 @ $134.55 | $187K | −0.2% of holding | −3.2% | −7.2% | 864,889 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 1,393 @ $133.82 | $186K | −0.2% of holding | −3.2% | −7.2% | 866,278 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 84 @ $135.87 | $11K | −0.0% of holding | −3.2% | −7.2% | 864,805 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 6,719 @ $136.72 | $919K | −0.8% of holding | −4.2% | −8.9% | 869,437 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Sale | 1,766 @ $137.26 | $242K | −0.2% of holding | −4.2% | −8.9% | 867,671 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | McKnight John | officer | Sale | 2,280 @ $139.10 | $317K | −18.6% of holding | −4.4% | −8.4% | 9,947 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | McKnight John | officer | Sale | 2,042 @ $139.13 | $284K | −13.5% of holding | −4.4% | −8.4% | 13,097 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
166 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Braun Joseph P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,159 | 21,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Braun Joseph P. | officer | Option exercise | 4,708 | 25,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Braun Joseph P. | officer | Option exercise | 4,708 | 2,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Withheld for tax | 11,923 | 103,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Option exercise | 11,697 | 115,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Option exercise | 4,749 | 103,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Option exercise | 4,749 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Option exercise | 11,697 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pacheco Kathleen | officer | Withheld for tax | 201 | 4,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Option exercise | 1,974 | 7,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Option exercise | 1,557 | 8,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Option exercise | 1,974 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Option exercise | 1,557 | 520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pacheco Kathleen | officer | Withheld for tax | 116 | 4,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 76 | 5,278 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bachmann Lisa M | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 8,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | BERMAN STEVEN L | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 761,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Stakias G. Michael | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 16,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Romano Kelly A | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 12,172 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | GAVIN JOHN J | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 10,546 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thomas James Darrell | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 7,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RILEY RICHARD T | director | Award / grant | 1,344 | 30,312 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Award / grant | 215 | 5,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Bachmann Lisa M | director | Withheld for tax | 33 | 6,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | RILEY RICHARD T | director | Withheld for tax | 33 | 28,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Romano Kelly A | director | Withheld for tax | 33 | 10,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Thomas James Darrell | director | Withheld for tax | 33 | 6,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,724 | 99,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Leff Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 539 | 17,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Braun Joseph P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 538 | 20,424 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Long Donna M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 531 | 21,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Luftig Eric | officer | Withheld for tax | 306 | 12,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 107 | 5,139 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Olsen Kevin M. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,072 | 101,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Braun Joseph P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 304 | 20,962 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Luftig Eric | officer | Withheld for tax | 277 | 12,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leff Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 235 | 18,309 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Long Donna M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 221 | 21,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Pacheco Kathleen | officer | Withheld for tax | 142 | 4,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Bowen Gregory C. | officer | Withheld for tax | 76 | 5,246 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.