DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Capital Marketsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.15 · now $2.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DOMH has typically landed between $1.60 and $2.81 — a range of −25.6% to +30.6% from the issuance price $2.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,982 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-262026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DOMH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.6worst · -25.6%$2.81best · +30.6%
  • now $2.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.03 (-5.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.78$2.27
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.6$2.81
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,982 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-11−69.2%−74.2%+0.0%
2020-02-26−67.4%−67.4%+17.0%
2020-03-10−67.2%−72.0%+8.7%
3 best
2025-01-13+1048.1%−1.0%+1048.1%
2025-01-15+996.1%+0.0%+1026.4%
2025-01-14+894.5%+0.0%+1059.2%

4,982 overlapping windows · 2006-09-262026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+14.5%
n=20
Feb
40%
+4.1%
n=20
Mar
50%
−3.2%
n=20
Apr
35%
+1.0%
n=20
May
35%
−2.1%
n=20
Jun
35%
+2.5%
n=20
Jul
20%
−1.6%
n=20
Aug
40%
+1.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Oct
15%
−10.7%
n=20
Nov
35%
−5.9%
n=20
Dec
35%
−6.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$22026-09-11: 2 insider purchases, $216K — Hayes Anthony, Wool Kyle Michael2026-09-10: 2 insider purchases, $202K — Hayes Anthony, Wool Kyle Michael2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $173K — Devall Christopher Franklin2025-12-08: 2 insider purchases, $186K — Wool Kyle Michael, Hayes Anthony2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $534K — Devall Christopher Franklin2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $169K — Devall Christopher Franklin2025-12-03: 1 insider sale, $169K — Devall Christopher Franklin2025-09-23: 2 insider sales, $0 — Blattner Gregory James …2025-12: 2 open-market purchases, $186K2025-12: 4 open-market sales, $1.0M2026-09: 4 open-market purchases, $418K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Hayes Anthony — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Wool Kyle Michael — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Hayes Anthony — Purchase on 2026-09-10, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Wool Kyle Michael — Purchase on 2026-09-10, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Devall Christopher Franklin — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wool Kyle Michael — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hayes Anthony — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Devall Christopher Franklin — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed same dayofficer Devall Christopher Franklin — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Devall Christopher Franklin — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Blattner Gregory James — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Blattner Gregory James — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase50,000 @ $2.16$108K+1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,600,873Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-11Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase50,000 @ $2.16$108K+1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,311,828Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase50,000 @ $2.02$101K+1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,550,873Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase50,000 @ $2.02$101K+1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,261,828Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-08Devall Christopher FranklinofficerSale45,000 @ $3.85$173K−23.6% of holding+26.2%−9.8%145,702Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase25,000 @ $3.87$97K−1.0% of holding+26.2%−9.8%2,453,817Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase23,000 @ $3.87$89K−1.3% of holding+26.2%−9.8%1,750,873Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-05Devall Christopher FranklinofficerSale140,000 @ $3.82$534K−42.3% of holding+20.8%−8.7%190,702Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-04Devall Christopher FranklinofficerSale40,000 @ $4.21$169K−10.8% of holding+10.5%−18.6%330,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03Devall Christopher FranklinofficerSale40,000 @ $4.22$169K−9.7% of holding+21.4%−22.3%370,702Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorSale14,409−39.1% of holding−24.7%−52.1%22,411Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorSale14,409−39.1% of holding−24.7%−52.1%22,411Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-12Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184+15.1% of holding−19.8%−10.5%2,200,769Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-12Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184+15.1% of holding−19.8%−10.5%2,200,769Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-12Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184+15.1% of holding−19.8%−10.5%2,200,769Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-10Haug KyledirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Haug KyledirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-02-10Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorPurchase14,409+116.1% of holding+77.5%+103.6%26,820Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10LEDWICK TIM SdirectorPurchase8,645ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%8,645Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10LEDWICK TIM SdirectorPurchase8,645+67.4% of holding+77.5%+103.6%21,471Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10LEDWICK TIM SdirectorPurchase8,645ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%8,645Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald J.directorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald J.directorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald J.directorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Haug KyledirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Haug KyledirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Haug KyledirectorPurchase14,409ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%14,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase288,184+42.0% of holding+77.5%+103.6%975,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Devall Christopher FranklinofficerPurchase28,818+96.0% of holding+77.5%+103.6%58,851Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Devall Christopher FranklinofficerPurchase28,818ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%28,818Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Devall Christopher FranklinofficerPurchase28,818ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%28,818Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald J.directorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald J.directorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Lieberman Ronald J.directorPurchase21,613ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%21,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase288,184+42.0% of holding+77.5%+103.6%975,007Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Devall Christopher FranklinofficerPurchase28,818+96.0% of holding+77.5%+103.6%58,851Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10LEDWICK TIM SdirectorPurchase8,645+67.4% of holding+77.5%+103.6%21,471Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10LEDWICK TIM SdirectorPurchase8,645ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%8,645Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10LEDWICK TIM SdirectorPurchase8,645ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%8,645Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Hayes AnthonydirectorPurchase288,184ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%288,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Devall Christopher FranklinofficerPurchase28,818ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%28,818Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Devall Christopher FranklinofficerPurchase28,818ownership Δ n/a+77.5%+103.6%28,818Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorPurchase14,409+116.1% of holding+77.5%+103.6%26,820Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

63 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-27Hayes AnthonydirectorGift250,0004,500,873Form 4
2026-07-27Hayes AnthonydirectorGift250,0004,500,873Form 4
2026-07-01Devall Christopher FranklinofficerAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Devall Christopher FranklinofficerAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Parsley Brian KeithdirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01LEDWICK TIM SdirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Haug KyledirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01LEDWICK TIM SdirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Haug KyledirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Parsley Brian KeithdirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-07-01Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-03-04Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant3,000,0004,750,873Form 4
2026-03-04Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorAward / grant3,000,0004,211,828Form 4
2026-03-04Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant3,000,0004,750,873Form 4
2026-03-04Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorAward / grant3,000,0004,211,828Form 4
2026-01-09LEDWICK TIM SdirectorAward / grant316,346347,817Form 4
2026-01-09Parsley Brian KeithdirectorAward / grant25,00025,000Form 4
2026-01-09Haug KyledirectorAward / grant25,00049,409Form 4
2026-01-09LEDWICK TIM SdirectorAward / grant316,346347,817Form 4
2026-01-09Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorAward / grant25,00047,411Form 4
2026-01-09Haug KyledirectorAward / grant25,00049,409Form 4
2026-01-09Parsley Brian KeithdirectorAward / grant25,00025,000Form 4
2026-01-09Blattner Gregory JamesdirectorAward / grant25,00047,411Form 4
2025-12-11Devall Christopher FranklinofficerAward / grant10,000155,702Form 4
2025-12-11Devall Christopher FranklinofficerAward / grant10,000155,702Form 4
2025-05-05Hayes AnthonydirectorGift15,0001,614,566Form 4
2025-05-05Hayes AnthonydirectorGift15,0001,614,566Form 4
2025-04-16Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorAward / grant5,000,0005,000,000Form 4
2025-04-16Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant5,000,0005,000,000Form 4
2025-04-16Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorAward / grant5,000,0005,000,000Form 4
2025-04-16Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant5,000,0005,000,000Form 4
2025-04-16Wool Kyle MichaeldirectorAward / grant5,000,0005,000,000Form 4
2025-03-24Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant154,5591,629,566Form 4
2025-03-24Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant154,5591,629,566Form 4
2025-02-18Lieberman Ronald J.directorAward / grant150,000181,613Form 4
2025-02-18Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorAward / grant150,000181,613Form 4
2025-02-18Hayes AnthonydirectorAward / grant500,0001,475,007Form 4
2025-02-18Lieberman Ronald J.directorAward / grant150,000181,613Form 4
2025-02-18Lieberman Ronald CraigdirectorAward / grant150,000181,613Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.