Issued 2026-09-16 at $123.76 · now $123.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DOCN has typically landed between $91.08 and $164.16 — a range of −26.4% to +32.6% from the issuance price $123.76.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,356 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-03-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($123.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DOCN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $123.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $123.76 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $126.09 (+1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $111.23–$140.96
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $91.08–$164.16
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,356 windows spanning 2021-03-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-11-16 | −45.5% | −45.5% | +0.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | −43.4% | −43.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-18 | −43.0% | −44.5% | +0.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-14 | +116.7% | +0.0% | +123.2% |
| 2026-04-10 | +115.3% | −2.8% | +116.9% |
| 2026-04-15 | +103.8% | +0.0% | +111.0% |
1,356 overlapping windows · 2021-03-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+3.0%
n=5
Feb
100%
+5.9%
n=5
Mar
60%
+10.3%
n=5
Apr
33%
−9.5%
n=6
May
67%
+18.4%
n=6
Jun
67%
+2.5%
n=6
Jul
17%
−2.9%
n=6
Aug
67%
+0.2%
n=6
Sep
67%
+4.2%
n=6
Oct
40%
+5.4%
n=5
Nov
60%
+7.4%
n=5
Dec
40%
−2.7%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $105.73 | $1.1M | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 503,692 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Srinivasan Padmanabhan T | director | Sale | 5,697 @ $105.73 | $602K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 762,817 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Sale | 3,985 @ $105.73 | $421K | −6.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 58,399 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-17 | Srinivasan Padmanabhan T | director | Sale | 5,697 @ $129.11 | $736K | −0.7% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 783,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Sale | 4,456 @ $132.37 | $590K | −6.4% of holding | −6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,487 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Adelman Warren J | director | Sale | 4,200 @ $124.01 | $521K | −5.9% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,433 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $170.07 | $1.7M | −1.8% of holding | −23.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 538,414 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | JENSON WARREN | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $147.62 | $3.0M | −38.1% of holding | +13.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,497 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $152.50 | $3.8M | −4.2% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 573,272 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | director | Sale | 4,338 @ $156.38 | $678K | −15.1% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,323 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 3,278,988 @ $150.30 | $492.8M | −15.1% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,378,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 21,012 @ $150.30 | $3.2M | −14.9% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 119,587 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 43,444 @ $162.51 | $7.1M | −0.2% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,680,875 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 37,178 @ $159.12 | $5.9M | −0.2% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,775,039 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 32,097 @ $157.98 | $5.1M | −0.1% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,812,217 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 27,868 @ $161.16 | $4.5M | −0.1% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,724,319 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 22,852 @ $160.12 | $3.7M | −0.1% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,752,187 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 14,788 @ $157.18 | $2.3M | −0.1% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,844,314 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 2,920 @ $156.23 | $456K | −0.0% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,859,102 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 38,721 @ $148.67 | $5.8M | −0.2% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,021,115 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 34,242 @ $151.55 | $5.2M | −0.2% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,918,877 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 34,339 @ $150.84 | $5.2M | −0.2% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,953,119 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 33,657 @ $149.67 | $5.0M | −0.2% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,987,458 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 23,061 @ $152.80 | $3.5M | −0.1% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,895,816 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 15,599 @ $153.66 | $2.4M | −0.1% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,880,217 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 12,845 @ $147.80 | $1.9M | −0.1% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,059,836 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 11,811 @ $154.81 | $1.8M | −0.1% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,868,406 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 6,184 @ $155.67 | $963K | −0.0% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,862,222 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 100 @ $161.75 | $16K | −0.0% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,862,022 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 100 @ $156.33 | $16K | −0.0% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,862,122 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $55.40 | $1.1M | −3.5% of holding | +61.7% | +84.0% | 545,916 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Sale | 22,000 @ $54.77 | $1.2M | −26.0% of holding | +52.3% | +77.7% | 62,469 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 13,010 @ $31.87 | $415K | −4.6% of holding | +16.6% | +61.6% | 269,465 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-18 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 3,461 @ $27.77 | $96K | −1.2% of holding | −0.8% | +44.8% | 294,546 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-09 | Butte Amy | director | Sale | 5,417 @ $29.06 | $157K | −14.9% of holding | −2.6% | +56.2% | 31,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 1,987,060 @ $28.60 | $56.8M | −93.4% of holding | −7.8% | +38.2% | 140,599 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Sale | 1,509,444 @ $28.60 | $43.2M | −6.4% of holding | −7.8% | +38.2% | 22,072,681 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 41,541 @ $29.49 | $1.2M | −12.1% of holding | −8.1% | +33.4% | 301,579 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-20 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 3,461 @ $30.20 | $105K | −0.9% of holding | −10.0% | +33.7% | 387,334 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-21 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 3,461 @ $26.86 | $93K | −0.9% of holding | +1.3% | +27.2% | 394,367 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-18 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 3,948 @ $36.63 | $145K | −1.1% of holding | −16.2% | −16.9% | 358,696 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Sale | 12,497 @ $40.00 | $500K | −2.2% of holding | −11.1% | −33.0% | 557,938 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-19 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 4,516 @ $46.08 | $208K | −1.2% of holding | −9.7% | −36.5% | 365,729 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-18 | D'Angelo Lawrence M. | officer | Sale | 10,551 @ $45.00 | $475K | −7.2% of holding | −14.8% | −39.1% | 135,840 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 4,289 @ $36.80 | $158K | −1.1% of holding | +14.3% | −28.4% | 372,762 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | Saha Bratin | officer | Sale | 3,468 @ $38.18 | $132K | −0.9% of holding | +6.2% | −23.8% | 379,795 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Sale | 12,498 @ $40.00 | $500K | −2.4% of holding | −9.2% | −26.8% | 517,498 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
93 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,151 | 513,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Srinivasan Padmanabhan T | director | Withheld for tax | 14,786 | 768,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,103 | 62,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Kumar Vinay S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 805 | 294,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Kumar Vinay S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,702 | 295,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Adelman Warren J | director | Award / grant | 142 | 71,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | JENSON WARREN | director | Award / grant | 116 | 33,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | director | Award / grant | 112 | 25,658 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Keffer Pueo | director | Award / grant | 93 | 40,658 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Arora Pratima | director | Award / grant | 93 | 89,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Arora Pratima | director | Award / grant | 1,223 | 89,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Keffer Pueo | director | Award / grant | 1,223 | 40,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | director | Award / grant | 1,223 | 25,546 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | JENSON WARREN | director | Award / grant | 1,223 | 33,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Adelman Warren J | director | Award / grant | 1,223 | 71,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,151 | 548,414 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Srinivasan Padmanabhan T | director | Withheld for tax | 14,785 | 788,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,005 | 69,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Kumar Vinay S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 498 | 312,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | JENSON WARREN | director | Option exercise | 20,000 | 52,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | JENSON WARREN | director | Option exercise | 20,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | other | Other acquisition | 23,688 | 21,657,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | director | Award / grant | 281 | 28,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Keffer Pueo | director | Award / grant | 234 | 39,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Award / grant | 52,356 | 598,272 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Kumar Vinay S. | officer | Award / grant | 32,722 | 312,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Award / grant | 9,349 | 71,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Srinivasan Padmanabhan T | director | Award / grant | 130,891 | 803,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Withheld for tax | 32,470 | 565,916 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Srinivasan Padmanabhan T | director | Withheld for tax | 9,237 | 672,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,032 | 84,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Award / grant | 67,223 | 598,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Barrett Cherie | officer | Award / grant | 5,704 | 87,501 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kumar Vinay S. | officer | Award / grant | 145,296 | 280,214 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kumar Vinay S. | officer | Award / grant | 134,918 | 134,918 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Adelman Warren J | director | Award / grant | 550 | 70,268 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | JENSON WARREN | director | Award / grant | 448 | 32,497 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | SCHNEIDER HILARY | director | Award / grant | 434 | 28,380 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Keffer Pueo | director | Award / grant | 362 | 39,108 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Steinfort Matt | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,579 | 531,163 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.