DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.35 · now $20.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DOC has typically landed between $17.91 and $22.56 — a range of −12.0% to +10.9% from the issuance price $20.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DOC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$17.91worst · -12.0%$22.56best · +10.9%
  • now $20.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $20.38 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.37–$21.39
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.91–$22.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−46.3%−46.3%+0.0%
2020-02-19−45.5%−45.5%+1.3%
2020-02-18−44.1%−44.1%+0.0%
3 best
2008-12-01+59.8%+0.0%+59.8%
2008-11-20+59.5%+0.0%+73.8%
2008-11-21+50.9%+0.0%+62.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$15.4B
market cap
$0.32
EPS (TTM)
70.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$2.8B
'20'25
Net income$71M
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr2.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr1.0%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.39
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $20.35$8.12$40.67
  • DCF (intrinsic)$38.43
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$10.37
  • Analyst target · range $19.00–$24.00$22.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$20.35

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+0.7%
n=18
Feb
37%
−4.3%
n=19
Mar
58%
+2.1%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.4%
n=19
May
37%
+0.2%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.7%
n=19
Jul
74%
+5.3%
n=19
Aug
58%
+1.2%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.9%
n=19
Oct
50%
−0.9%
n=18
Nov
50%
−1.1%
n=18
Dec
50%
+3.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$152026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $214K — Bohn Scott R2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $50K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $214K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Bohn Scott R — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-12Bohn Scott RofficerSale10,989 @ $19.45$214K−59.0% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open7,636Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06Thomas John TdirectorPurchase1,450 @ $17.05$25K+0.2% of holding+7.5%−5.2%810,016Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Brinker Scott MdirectorPurchase1,490 @ $16.83$25K+0.7% of holding+3.5%−9.1%211,906Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-31Brinker Scott MdirectorPurchase2,930 @ $17.06$50K+1.4% of holding+4.5%−4.7%210,416Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-28Brinker Scott MdirectorPurchase2,873 @ $17.40$50K+1.4% of holding+0.9%−3.6%207,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28Thompson Tommy GdirectorPurchase5,777 @ $17.27$100K+4.2% of holding−4.6%−7.9%144,290Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-09Thompson Tommy GdirectorPurchase5,700 @ $17.36$99K+4.3% of holding−5.6%−14.1%138,513Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09Brinker Scott MdirectorPurchase2,750 @ $17.39$48K+1.4% of holding−5.6%−14.1%204,613Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-29Lias-Booker AvadirectorPurchase5,000 @ $17.83$89K+16.4% of holding−7.2%−19.7%35,561Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28Brinker Scott MdirectorPurchase11,337 @ $17.68$200K+6.0% of holding−8.0%−14.1%201,863Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28Sandstrom Katherine MdirectorPurchase11,288 @ $17.65$199K+25.1% of holding−8.0%−14.1%56,268Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28Lewis Sara GrootwassinkdirectorPurchase6,000 @ $17.66$106K+200.0% of holding−8.0%−14.1%9,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28Thomas John TdirectorPurchase4,200 @ $17.84$75K+0.5% of holding−8.0%−14.1%813,566Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELAdirectorPurchase1,420 @ $17.61$25K+710.0% of holding−8.0%−14.1%1,620Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELAdirectorPurchase1,418 @ $17.63$25K+55.7% of holding−8.0%−14.1%3,965Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-29Thomas John TdirectorAward / grant1,385830,053Form 4
2026-05-29Johnston Shawn GofficerAward / grant1,35842,336Form 4
2026-05-29Patadia Ankit B.officerAward / grant1,3589,047Form 4
2026-05-29Brinker Scott MdirectorAward / grant1,347214,802Form 4
2026-05-29Moses Kelvin OofficerAward / grant9371,692Form 4
2026-05-29Mabry Adam GofficerAward / grant6255,140Form 4
2026-05-29Brinker Scott MdirectorWithheld for tax114214,688Form 4
2026-05-29Patadia Ankit B.officerWithheld for tax948,953Form 4
2026-05-29Thomas John TdirectorWithheld for tax78829,975Form 4
2026-05-29Johnston Shawn GofficerWithheld for tax7642,260Form 4
2026-05-29Moses Kelvin OofficerWithheld for tax651,627Form 4
2026-05-29Mabry Adam GofficerWithheld for tax435,097Form 4
2026-05-14Brinker Scott MdirectorGift60,186124,281Form 4
2026-05-14Brinker Scott MdirectorGift60,186412,367Form 4
2026-05-06Cartwright Brian G.directorAward / grant9,74483,490Form 4
2026-05-06Connor James B.directorAward / grant9,74438,169Form 4
2026-05-06Weiss Richard A.directorAward / grant9,74479,469Form 4
2026-05-06Griffin R Kent JrdirectorAward / grant9,74490,195Form 4
2026-05-06Lewis Sara GrootwassinkdirectorAward / grant9,74456,488Form 4
2026-05-06Lias-Booker AvadirectorAward / grant9,74445,305Form 4
2026-05-06Sandstrom Katherine MdirectorAward / grant9,74476,669Form 4
2026-02-16Alonso Lisa AofficerWithheld for tax80822,271Form 4
2026-02-15Alonso Lisa AofficerWithheld for tax49523,079Form 4
2026-02-07Thomas John TdirectorWithheld for tax6,454828,668Form 4
2026-02-07Alonso Lisa AofficerWithheld for tax65723,574Form 4
2026-02-06Thomas John TdirectorAward / grant23,739835,122Form 4
2026-01-28Alonso Lisa AofficerWithheld for tax25224,231Form 4
2026-01-28Alonso Lisa AofficerAward / grant3,82824,483Form 4
2026-01-28Alonso Lisa AofficerAward / grant45620,655Form 4
2026-01-28Johnston Shawn GofficerAward / grant15,46215,462Form 4
2026-01-28Porter Tracy AofficerAward / grant11,25611,256Form 4
2026-01-28Porter Tracy AofficerAward / grant36,76536,765Form 4
2026-01-28Moses Kelvin OofficerAward / grant33,46233,462Form 4
2026-01-28Moses Kelvin OofficerAward / grant36,76536,765Form 4
2026-01-28Johnston Shawn GofficerAward / grant1,1981,198Form 4
2026-01-28Bohn Scott RofficerAward / grant2,3962,396Form 4
2026-01-28Bohn Scott RofficerAward / grant28,20028,200Form 4
2026-01-28Brinker Scott MdirectorAward / grant14,13314,133Form 4
2026-01-28Brinker Scott MdirectorAward / grant152,067152,067Form 4
2026-01-28Mabry Adam GofficerAward / grant2,1562,156Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-09-122025-08-04$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Christopher L. JacobsHousepurchase2023-01-202022-12-12$1–15K
Christopher L. JacobsHousesale2022-12-122022-11-08$1–15K
Christopher L. JacobsHousesale2022-09-092022-07-18$1–15K
Christopher L. JacobsHousepurchase2022-07-282022-06-21$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.