Issued 2026-09-16 at $102.49 · now $102.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DNTH has typically landed between $70.73 and $148.34 — a range of −31.0% to +44.7% from the issuance price $102.49.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,049 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-06-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($102.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DNTH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $102.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $102.49 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $102.96 (+0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $90.9–$115.02
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $70.73–$148.34
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,049 windows spanning 2018-06-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-11-18 | −74.7% | −74.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-11-21 | −72.3% | −72.3% | +1.5% |
| 2022-11-22 | −69.1% | −69.3% | +12.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2019-02-04 | +146.7% | +0.0% | +146.7% |
| 2023-12-19 | +137.0% | +0.0% | +137.0% |
| 2019-02-05 | +129.6% | +0.0% | +129.7% |
2,049 overlapping windows · 2018-06-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
75%
+17.5%
n=8
Feb
63%
+22.5%
n=8
Mar
50%
+4.9%
n=8
Apr
38%
−5.0%
n=8
May
63%
−4.2%
n=8
Jun
75%
+2.1%
n=8
Jul
67%
+3.8%
n=9
Aug
44%
−1.2%
n=9
Sep
33%
+4.7%
n=9
Oct
25%
−9.4%
n=8
Nov
50%
+4.3%
n=8
Dec
25%
−15.9%
n=8
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 13,309 @ $106.74 | $1.4M | −76.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 7,215 @ $106.25 | $767K | −29.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,309 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $105.19 | $273K | −9.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 24,524 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 2,778 @ $117.55 | $327K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Veness Adam M | officer | Sale | 16,167 @ $110.38 | $1.8M | −100.0% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Sale | 2,800 @ $108.38 | $303K | −44.4% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $109.30 | $197K | −51.4% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,700 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Sale | 1,450 @ $107.58 | $156K | −18.7% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,300 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $110.64 | $111K | −58.8% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 700 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 831 @ $108.95 | $91K | −42.2% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,139 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 737 @ $108.17 | $80K | −27.2% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,970 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Sale | 700 @ $111.41 | $78K | −100.0% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 470 @ $111.05 | $52K | −54.2% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 397 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 397 @ $111.77 | $44K | −100.0% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 272 @ $109.96 | $30K | −23.9% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 867 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Sale | 70 @ $107.11 | $7K | −2.5% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,707 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 104,091 @ $107.96 | $11.2M | −54.4% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,102 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 23,907 @ $108.05 | $2.6M | −10.8% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 197,001 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 21,909 @ $108.72 | $2.4M | −25.1% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,292 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 10,384 @ $107.49 | $1.1M | −4.5% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 220,908 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Veness Adam M | officer | Sale | 3,217 @ $110.61 | $356K | −83.9% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 616 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 2,536 @ $110.02 | $279K | −1.3% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 192,092 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 2,373 @ $109.10 | $259K | −1.2% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 194,628 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 800 @ $110.76 | $89K | −0.4% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 191,292 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-07 | Veness Adam M | officer | Sale | 616 @ $111.18 | $68K | −100.0% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 15,329 @ $101.24 | $1.6M | −73.4% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,566 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 10,354 @ $100.22 | $1.0M | −33.1% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,895 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 5,566 @ $101.97 | $568K | −100.0% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Veness Adam M | officer | Sale | 16,771 @ $80.34 | $1.3M | −55.9% of holding | +22.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,229 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Veness Adam M | officer | Sale | 13,229 @ $81.38 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | +22.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 16,943 @ $90.72 | $1.5M | −67.5% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,159 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 5,428 @ $89.72 | $487K | −17.8% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,102 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 4,159 @ $91.37 | $380K | −51.0% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Soteropoulos Paula | director | Sale | 599 @ $85.47 | $51K | −100.0% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 8,224 @ $89.84 | $739K | −100.0% of holding | −13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 59,800 @ $83.90 | $5.0M | −69.1% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,701 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 21,825 @ $78.86 | $1.7M | −19.3% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,152 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 19,469 @ $84.57 | $1.6M | −72.9% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,232 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 7,232 @ $85.54 | $619K | −100.0% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 2,366 @ $82.84 | $196K | −2.7% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,501 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 1,485 @ $80.25 | $119K | −1.6% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,667 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 1,390 @ $78.33 | $109K | −1.2% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 112,977 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 800 @ $81.36 | $65K | −0.9% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,867 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Soteropoulos Paula | director | Sale | 599 @ $80.11 | $48K | −100.0% of holding | −5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Soteropoulos Paula | director | Sale | 27,594 @ $78.05 | $2.2M | −100.0% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 65,517 @ $81.74 | $5.4M | −82.5% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 13,896 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 43,505 @ $80.69 | $3.5M | −35.4% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 79,413 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 33,830 @ $81.48 | $2.8M | −100.0% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | CARR EDWARD | officer | Sale | 23,465 @ $81.75 | $1.9M | −84.3% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 4,365 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | CARR EDWARD | officer | Sale | 15,852 @ $80.71 | $1.3M | −36.3% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 27,830 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 12,796 @ $82.60 | $1.1M | −92.1% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 1,100 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | CARR EDWARD | officer | Sale | 3,865 @ $82.66 | $319K | −88.5% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 900 @ $85.53 | $77K | −100.0% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | CARR EDWARD | officer | Sale | 300 @ $85.53 | $26K | −100.0% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | CARR EDWARD | officer | Sale | 200 @ $83.38 | $17K | −40.0% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 300 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Garcia Marino | director | Sale | 200 @ $83.38 | $17K | −18.2% of holding | +8.8% | +16.9% | 900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $45.18 | $904K | −100.0% of holding | −20.4% | +73.0% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 109,031 @ $38.14 | $4.2M | −96.5% of holding | +0.3% | +99.9% | 4,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-13 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 42,765 @ $37.04 | $1.6M | −65.4% of holding | +16.8% | +125.0% | 22,576 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Sale | 26,166 @ $35.80 | $937K | −28.6% of holding | +16.8% | +125.0% | 65,341 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
109 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 9,375 | 27,124 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 6,249 | 17,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 11,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 6,249 | 41,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 9,375 | 87,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 56,776 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Read Simon | director | Option exercise | 2,778 | 2,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Read Simon | director | Option exercise | 2,778 | 19,445 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 73,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 16,167 | 16,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Option exercise | 6,500 | 7,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Option exercise | 2,777 | 2,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 1,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Option exercise | 6,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | McGeorge Anne | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 16,167 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Read Simon | director | Option exercise | 2,777 | 22,223 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Option exercise | 126,000 | 231,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 105,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 3,833 | 3,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Option exercise | 126,000 | 160,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 3,833 | 76,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Garcia Marino | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 286,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Option exercise | 31,249 | 31,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Savitz Ryan | officer | Option exercise | 31,249 | 68,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Veness Adam M | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 9,375 | 30,530 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 6,249 | 21,155 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 6,908 | 14,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 3,998 | 7,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 3,998 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 6,908 | 64,276 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 6,249 | 47,925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Randhawa Simrat | officer | Option exercise | 9,375 | 96,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | McGeorge Anne | director | Award / grant | 6,090 | 6,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | KANGO SUJAY | director | Award / grant | 6,090 | 6,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Lawton Alison Frances | director | Award / grant | 6,090 | 6,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Violin Jonathan | director | Award / grant | 6,090 | 6,090 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.