DNOW · TickerCove

DNOWDnow Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.60 · now $15.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DNOW has typically landed between $13.04 and $18.67 — a range of −16.4% to +19.7% from the issuance price $15.60.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,079 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-05-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$15.6 · 78% of range

$11.12 low$16.87 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 13.3%

−16.4%worst (p90)+19.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DNOW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $15.6 (+0.0%)
typical $15.81 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $14.77–$16.85
90% range $13.04–$18.67

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,079 windows spanning 2014-05-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−54.7%	−54.7%	+0.8%
2020-03-04	−46.2%	−52.0%	+0.0%
2020-03-05	−44.9%	−48.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2024-02-07	+53.1%	−0.9%	+54.3%
2024-02-13	+51.7%	+0.0%	+55.7%
2024-02-05	+50.9%	−1.3%	+50.9%

3,079 overlapping windows · 2014-05-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+3.9%

n=12

Feb

50%

+1.7%

n=12

Mar

58%

−1.8%

n=12

Apr

58%

+3.9%

n=12

May

42%

−0.3%

n=12

Jun

54%

+1.4%

n=13

Jul

62%

+1.2%

n=13

Aug

46%

−1.7%

n=13

Sep

23%

−4.8%

n=13

Oct

25%

−3.1%

n=12

Nov

50%

+4.8%

n=12

Dec

50%

−0.2%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	Cherechinsky David A	director	Sale	198,213 @ $16.73	$3.3M	−14.6% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	1,163,864	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Cherechinsky David A	director	Sale	57,929 @ $16.73	$969K	−4.7% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	1,163,864	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Sale	50,181 @ $16.79	$843K	−14.7% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	290,220	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Chang Raymond W	officer	Sale	43,621 @ $16.98	$741K	−10.8% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	360,388	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Sale	40,675 @ $16.79	$683K	−14.0% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	249,545	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Chang Raymond W	officer	Sale	32,617 @ $16.98	$554K	−8.3% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	360,388	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Sale	21,985 @ $16.79	$369K	−7.0% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	290,220	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19	Munson Kelly T.	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $17.47	$175K	−8.0% of holding	+1.5%	−18.9%	114,975	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	Cherechinsky David A	director	Option exercise	198,213	1,362,077	Form 4
2026-08-10	Cherechinsky David A	director	Option exercise	57,929	1,221,793	Form 4
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Option exercise	50,181	340,401	Form 4
2026-08-10	Chang Raymond W	officer	Option exercise	43,621	404,009	Form 4
2026-08-10	Chang Raymond W	officer	Option exercise	32,617	393,005	Form 4
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Option exercise	21,985	312,205	Form 4
2026-08-10	Cherechinsky David A	director	Option exercise	57,929	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	Chang Raymond W	officer	Option exercise	32,617	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	Cherechinsky David A	director	Option exercise	198,213	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Option exercise	21,985	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	Johnson Mark B	officer	Option exercise	50,181	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	Chang Raymond W	officer	Option exercise	43,621	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	ALARIO RICHARD J	director	Award / grant	17,122	294,169	Form 4
2026-05-20	COPPINGER PAUL M	director	Award / grant	12,122	78,846	Form 4
2026-05-20	Cobb Galen	director	Award / grant	12,122	122,594	Form 4
2026-05-20	David-Green Karen	director	Award / grant	12,122	43,956	Form 4
2026-05-20	JADIN RONALD L	director	Award / grant	12,122	66,341	Form 4
2026-05-20	Reed Sonya	director	Award / grant	12,122	70,360	Form 4
2026-05-20	Bonno Terry	director	Award / grant	12,122	124,994	Form 4
2026-05-20	Damiris George John	director	Award / grant	12,122	66,341	Form 4
2026-03-12	Anderson Gillian	officer	Withheld for tax	834	69,597	Form 4
2026-02-23	Johnson Mark B	officer	Award / grant	61,674	290,220	Form 4
2026-02-23	Anderson Gillian	officer	Award / grant	18,726	70,431	Form 4
2026-02-23	Cherechinsky David A	director	Award / grant	203,603	1,163,864	Form 4
2026-02-23	Munson Kelly T.	officer	Award / grant	28,823	172,085	Form 4
2026-02-23	Chang Raymond W	officer	Award / grant	40,242	360,388	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cherechinsky David A	director	Withheld for tax	52,558	905,680	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cherechinsky David A	director	Withheld for tax	35,414	960,261	Form 4
2026-02-20	Chang Raymond W	officer	Withheld for tax	12,533	307,411	Form 4
2026-02-20	Johnson Mark B	officer	Withheld for tax	12,264	215,811	Form 4
2026-02-20	Munson Kelly T.	officer	Withheld for tax	8,760	134,165	Form 4
2026-02-20	Johnson Mark B	officer	Withheld for tax	8,264	228,546	Form 4
2026-02-20	Chang Raymond W	officer	Withheld for tax	8,264	320,146	Form 4
2026-02-20	Munson Kelly T.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,903	143,262	Form 4
2026-02-20	Chang Raymond W	officer	Award / grant	20,999	328,410	Form 4
2026-02-20	Munson Kelly T.	officer	Award / grant	15,000	149,165	Form 4
2026-02-20	Johnson Mark B	officer	Award / grant	20,999	236,810	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cherechinsky David A	director	Award / grant	89,995	995,675	Form 4
2026-02-20	Munson Kelly T.	officer	Award / grant	15,000	149,165	Form 4
2026-02-20	Johnson Mark B	officer	Award / grant	20,999	236,810	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i