DNA · TickerCove

DNAGinkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.06 · now $7.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DNA has typically landed between $4.38 and $10.01 — a range of −38.0% to +41.8% from the issuance price $7.06.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,327 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$7.06 · 15% of range

$5.48 low$16.14 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−4.8%

typical move · IQR 33.7%

−38.0%worst (p90)+41.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

1 open-market sale

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DNA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $7.06 (+0.0%)
typical $6.72 (-4.8%)
middle 50% $5.53–$7.91
90% range $4.38–$10.01

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,327 windows spanning 2021-04-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-05-24	−57.0%	−57.0%	+0.0%
2021-12-17	−54.9%	−54.9%	+1.3%
2024-08-01	−54.8%	−54.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2025-06-02	+77.6%	+0.0%	+77.6%
2025-06-03	+70.1%	−3.3%	+70.1%
2025-06-23	+65.8%	+0.0%	+65.8%

1,327 overlapping windows · 2021-04-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+0.6%

n=5

Feb

20%

−17.4%

n=5

Mar

−16.7%

n=5

Apr

40%

+1.6%

n=5

May

50%

−0.6%

n=6

Jun

67%

+4.5%

n=6

Jul

67%

+10.6%

n=6

Aug

17%

−14.0%

n=6

Sep

83%

+8.4%

n=6

Oct

20%

−7.0%

n=5

Nov

20%

−12.3%

n=5

Dec

40%

−2.3%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-24	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	330 @ $6.98	$2K	−0.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	51,851	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-17	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	752 @ $7.90	$6K	−1.4% of holding	−14.1%	not yet — horizon still open	51,438	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-22	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	307 @ $8.33	$3K	−0.6% of holding	+17.1%	not yet — horizon still open	50,704	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-17	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	324 @ $7.95	$3K	−0.6% of holding	−12.2%	not yet — horizon still open	50,268	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-13	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	33,171 @ $6.41	$213K	−40.0% of holding	+17.3%	not yet — horizon still open	49,849	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-10	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Sale	124,727 @ $6.43	$802K	−22.2% of holding	+25.6%	not yet — horizon still open	436,422	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-10	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Sale	124,727 @ $6.43	$802K	−22.2% of holding	+25.6%	not yet — horizon still open	436,422	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-09	Kelly Jason R	director	Sale	109,767 @ $6.40	$702K	−25.8% of holding	+30.4%	not yet — horizon still open	316,483	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-09	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Sale	13,116 @ $6.40	$84K	−3.7% of holding	+30.4%	not yet — horizon still open	338,568	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-09	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Sale	13,116 @ $6.40	$84K	−3.7% of holding	+30.4%	not yet — horizon still open	338,568	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-08	Kelly Jason R	director	Sale	97,015 @ $6.93	$672K	−18.5% of holding	+41.8%	not yet — horizon still open	426,250	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-08	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Sale	13,155 @ $6.93	$91K	−3.6% of holding	+41.8%	not yet — horizon still open	351,684	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-08	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Sale	13,155 @ $6.93	$91K	−3.6% of holding	+41.8%	not yet — horizon still open	351,684	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	708 @ $6.74	$5K	−7.2% of holding	+10.5%	not yet — horizon still open	9,099	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-20	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	972 @ $8.92	$9K	−10.5% of holding	+6.3%	−24.2%	8,321	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	736 @ $8.89	$7K	−8.9% of holding	+8.5%	−10.9%	7,488	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-17	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	1,312 @ $13.65	$18K	−16.3% of holding	−41.5%	−44.6%	6,738	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-01	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	5,609 @ $15.00	$84K	−50.5% of holding	−19.8%	−51.6%	5,503	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09	HENRY CHRISTIAN O	director	Sale	10,000 @ $11.06	$111K	−29.1% of holding	+45.7%	−41.1%	24,310	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-08	HENRY CHRISTIAN O	director	Sale	10,000 @ $10.92	$109K	−22.6% of holding	+29.0%	−48.3%	34,310	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	310 @ $12.40	$4K	−2.7% of holding	−4.7%	−36.5%	11,112	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-17	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	1,084 @ $9.84	$11K	−9.2% of holding	+32.6%	−12.7%	10,679	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-21	Dmytruk Mark E.	officer	Sale	706 @ $7.58	$5K	−1.5% of holding	+12.0%	−7.4%	46,226	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	346 @ $7.58	$3K	−3.6% of holding	+12.0%	−7.4%	9,216	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-21	Dmytruk Mark E.	officer	Sale	1,244 @ $7.28	$9K	−2.7% of holding	−6.5%	+54.3%	45,453	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	997 @ $7.28	$7K	−10.2% of holding	−6.5%	+54.3%	8,819	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04	Dmytruk Mark E.	officer	Sale	790 @ $7.72	$6K	−2.2% of holding	−24.8%	+27.3%	34,652	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04	Coen Steven P.	officer	Sale	395 @ $7.72	$3K	−4.7% of holding	−24.8%	+27.3%	8,012	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

272 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	52,181	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	5,296	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	2,975	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	52,025	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	52,181	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	5,296	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	52,025	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	2,975	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	5,296	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	52,181	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	52,025	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	2,975	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	5,296	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	52,181	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	587	52,025	Form 4
2026-08-21	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	156	2,975	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	39,038	39,038	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	35,736	35,736	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	117,135	117,135	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	117,135	117,135	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	35,736	35,736	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	35,736	35,736	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	117,135	117,135	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	39,038	39,038	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	127,423	127,423	Form 4
2026-07-28	Kelly Jason R	director	Award / grant	74,258	74,258	Form 4
2026-07-28	Kelly Jason R	director	Award / grant	309,467	309,467	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	127,423	127,423	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	127,423	127,423	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	117,135	117,135	Form 4
2026-07-28	Kelly Jason R	director	Award / grant	74,258	74,258	Form 4
2026-07-28	Kelly Jason R	director	Award / grant	309,467	309,467	Form 4
2026-07-28	Canton Barry	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	39,038	39,038	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	39,038	39,038	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	127,423	127,423	Form 4
2026-07-28	Shetty Reshma P.	director	Award / grant	35,736	35,736	Form 4
2026-07-16	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	312	52,190	Form 4
2026-07-16	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	1,174	5,883	Form 4
2026-07-16	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	312	3,131	Form 4
2026-07-16	Coen Steven P.	officer	Option exercise	1,174	51,878	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i