DLXDeluxe Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.65 · now $23.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DLX has typically landed between $20.14 and $27.82 — a range of −14.8% to +17.6% from the issuance price $23.65.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DLX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.14worst · -14.8%$27.82best · +17.6%
  • now $23.65 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.56 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.88–$25.23
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.14–$27.82
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−48.8%−48.8%+0.0%
2008-09-11−44.3%−44.3%+0.0%
2020-02-19−43.4%−48.1%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+80.4%−0.5%+87.3%
2009-03-05+73.9%−3.6%+73.9%
2008-11-21+72.1%+0.0%+88.2%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+4.9%
n=18
Feb
53%
−3.2%
n=19
Mar
53%
+0.6%
n=19
Apr
58%
+3.0%
n=19
May
37%
−2.1%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Jul
74%
+5.1%
n=19
Aug
53%
−1.3%
n=19
Sep
37%
−2.3%
n=19
Oct
44%
−0.9%
n=18
Nov
56%
+3.9%
n=18
Dec
61%
+5.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$32$172025-12-10: 1 insider purchase, $4K — Zint William C2025-09-10: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Zint William C2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $3K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $4K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Zint William C — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Zint William C — Purchase on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-12-10Zint William CofficerPurchase175 @ $21.44$4K+0.8% of holding+5.9%+2.5%22,427Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10Zint William CofficerPurchase175 @ $19.13$3K+0.8% of holding−5.6%+40.4%22,252Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Zint William CofficerPurchase175 @ $15.88$3K+0.8% of holding+1.6%+31.5%22,077Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12Zint William CofficerPurchase175 @ $15.95$3K+0.8% of holding−2.7%+12.9%21,902Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10McCarthy Barry CdirectorPurchase3,926 @ $16.45$65K+1.5% of holding−1.6%+5.8%272,851Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

295 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Brown Angela LdirectorAward / grant1,16826,227Form 4
2026-09-15Cummins Hugh S. IIIdirectorAward / grant1,16813,758Form 4
2026-09-15Yancy Telisa LdirectorAward / grant1,11558,652Form 4
2026-09-01Jones Kevin GrantofficerAward / grant54,75354,753Form 4
2026-08-20Collins Michelle TdirectorOption exercise6,2796,279Form 4
2026-08-20Collins Michelle TdirectorOption exercise6,2790Form 4
2026-06-15Brown Angela LdirectorAward / grant1,20525,059Form 4
2026-06-15Cummins Hugh S. IIIdirectorAward / grant1,20512,590Form 4
2026-06-15Yancy Telisa LdirectorAward / grant1,16857,537Form 4
2026-05-13Jeyaprakasam YogarajofficerWithheld for tax1,688101,581Form 4
2026-05-13Jeyaprakasam YogarajofficerOption exercise4,1630Form 4
2026-05-13Jeyaprakasam YogarajofficerOption exercise4,163102,975Form 4
2026-04-23Collins Michelle TdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23MCKISSACK CHERYL MAYBERRYdirectorOption exercise10,34979,447Form 4
2026-04-23MCKISSACK CHERYL MAYBERRYdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23Cummins Hugh S. IIIdirectorOption exercise10,34911,385Form 4
2026-04-23Cummins Hugh S. IIIdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23Cummins Hugh S. IIIdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23GARCIA PAUL RdirectorOption exercise10,34941,577Form 4
2026-04-23GARCIA PAUL RdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23GARCIA PAUL RdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23Yancy Telisa LdirectorOption exercise10,34956,369Form 4
2026-04-23Yancy Telisa LdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23Yancy Telisa LdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23REDDIN THOMASdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23REDDIN THOMASdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23REDDIN THOMASdirectorOption exercise10,34931,856Form 4
2026-04-23Schuessler Morgan MdirectorOption exercise10,34910,349Form 4
2026-04-23Schuessler Morgan MdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23Schuessler Morgan MdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23Stauch John LdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23Stauch John LdirectorOption exercise10,34977,650Form 4
2026-04-23Stauch John LdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-04-23Brown Angela LdirectorOption exercise10,34923,854Form 4
2026-04-23Brown Angela LdirectorAward / grant5,2865,286Form 4
2026-04-23Brown Angela LdirectorOption exercise10,3490Form 4
2026-03-13Brown Angela LdirectorAward / grant1,03613,505Form 4
2026-03-13Cummins Hugh S. IIIdirectorAward / grant1,0361,036Form 4
2026-03-13Yancy Telisa LdirectorOther acquisition044,984Form 4
2026-02-19McCarthy Barry CdirectorWithheld for tax25,252458,524Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2020-05-062020-03-30$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2020-05-062020-03-30$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2020-01-292019-12-12$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2020-01-292019-12-12$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2019-05-152019-05-06$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.