Issued 2026-09-25 at $178.61 · now $178.61 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, DLR has typically landed between $158.57 and $201.54 — a range of −11.2% to +12.8% from the issuance price $178.61.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($178.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DLR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $178.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $178.61 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $180.69 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $170.53–$190.84
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $158.57–$201.54
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −41.7% | −41.7% | +0.8% |
| 2008-09-25 | −36.7% | −36.7% | +3.7% |
| 2008-09-30 | −36.4% | −42.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +46.5% | −1.1% | +46.5% |
| 2008-11-21 | +44.6% | +0.0% | +54.6% |
| 2008-11-20 | +43.9% | +0.0% | +54.8% |
4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$-6.59
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$68.05
- Analyst target · range $197.00–$235.00$215.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-25$178.61
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Patterson Mark R | director | Sale | 200 @ $193.96 | $39K | −3.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,322 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Preusse Mary Hogan | director | Sale | 4,166 @ $157.42 | $656K | −100.0% of holding | −0.8% | +7.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-15 | Power Andrew | director | Sale | 53,269 @ $175.16 | $9.3M | −100.0% of holding | −2.3% | +2.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Power Andrew | director | Sale | 4,731 @ $175.10 | $828K | −100.0% of holding | −1.6% | +4.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Patterson Mark R | director | Sale | 175 @ $176.50 | $31K | −2.6% of holding | −7.1% | −23.2% | 6,522 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Mercier Matt | officer | Sale | 2,518 @ $187.40 | $472K | −100.0% of holding | −4.3% | −3.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-01 | MANDEVILLE JEAN F H P | director | Sale | 600 @ $150.26 | $90K | −6.2% of holding | −4.3% | −3.3% | 9,055 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-03-12 | MANDEVILLE JEAN F H P | director | Sale | 3,400 @ $145.50 | $495K | −28.8% of holding | −1.8% | +2.2% | 8,413 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
205 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Kornegay Christine Beseda | officer | Withheld for tax | 53 | 4,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Jamieson VeraLinn | director | Award / grant | 153 | 14,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Swanezy Susan | director | Award / grant | 153 | 5,010 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Jamieson VeraLinn | director | Award / grant | 153 | 14,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Swanezy Susan | director | Award / grant | 153 | 5,010 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Preusse Mary Hogan | director | Award / grant | 1,815 | 13,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Jamieson VeraLinn | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 14,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | KENNEDY KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 13,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Bolze Stephen R. | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 2,032 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Bolze Stephen R. | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 2,032 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | LAPERCH WILLIAM G | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 14,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Preusse Mary Hogan | director | Award / grant | 1,815 | 13,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Jamieson VeraLinn | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 14,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | MOHEBBI AFSHIN | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 15,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | KENNEDY KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 13,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | MOHEBBI AFSHIN | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 15,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | LAPERCH WILLIAM G | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 14,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Patterson Mark R | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 15,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Swanezy Susan | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 4,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Swanezy Susan | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 4,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | MANDEVILLE JEAN F H P | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 11,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Patterson Mark R | director | Award / grant | 1,289 | 15,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | MANDEVILLE JEAN F H P | director | Withheld for tax | 284 | 9,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kornegay Christine Beseda | officer | Withheld for tax | 53 | 4,351 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Swanezy Susan | director | Award / grant | 152 | 3,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Jamieson VeraLinn | director | Award / grant | 152 | 13,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Jamieson VeraLinn | director | Award / grant | 152 | 13,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Swanezy Susan | director | Award / grant | 152 | 3,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Kornegay Christine Beseda | officer | Award / grant | 626 | 4,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Kornegay Christine Beseda | officer | Withheld for tax | 84 | 3,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Lee Jeannie | director | Award / grant | 5,324 | 68,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Power Andrew | director | Award / grant | 25,750 | 515,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Power Andrew | director | Award / grant | 25,750 | 515,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Mercier Matt | officer | Award / grant | 2,964 | 84,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Mercier Matt | officer | Award / grant | 2,964 | 84,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Lee Jeannie | director | Award / grant | 5,324 | 68,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Lee Jeannie | director | Award / grant | 6,092 | 63,255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Power Andrew | director | Award / grant | 62,145 | 490,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Mercier Matt | officer | Award / grant | 9,139 | 81,626 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Lee Jeannie | director | Award / grant | 6,092 | 63,255 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-05 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-12-08 | 2025-11-03 | $1–15K |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | House | purchase | 2025-09-27 | 2025-09-11 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-06-10 | 2025-05-19 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-05-12 | 2025-04-23 | $1–15K |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | House | purchase | 2025-05-06 | 2025-05-05 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-04-10 | 2025-03-12 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.