DKNG · TickerCove

DKNGDraftKings Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinosas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $24.33 · now $24.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DKNG has typically landed between $18.05 and $30.56 — a range of −25.8% to +25.6% from the issuance price $24.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,775 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-07-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($24.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$24.33 · 16% of range

$20.72 low$43.84 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.0%

typical move · IQR 21.0%

−25.8%worst (p90)+25.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DKNG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $24.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $24.33 (+0.0%)
typical $24.08 (-1.0%)
middle 50% $21.53–$26.63
90% range $18.05–$30.56

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,775 windows spanning 2019-07-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-10-02	−44.0%	−44.5%	+0.0%
2020-10-01	−42.7%	−42.7%	+3.2%
2021-11-03	−39.4%	−39.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-30	+124.6%	+0.0%	+124.6%
2020-05-01	+105.1%	+0.0%	+117.2%
2020-04-29	+104.6%	+0.0%	+104.6%

1,775 overlapping windows · 2019-07-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

71%

+9.6%

n=7

Feb

86%

+8.4%

n=7

Mar

29%

−9.6%

n=7

Apr

57%

+4.7%

n=7

May

57%

+13.6%

n=7

Jun

71%

+2.8%

n=7

Jul

57%

+3.6%

n=7

Aug

75%

+5.3%

n=8

Sep

38%

+4.1%

n=8

Oct

29%

−10.1%

n=7

Nov

57%

+12.7%

n=7

Dec

29%

−9.9%

n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	Moore Jocelyn	director	Sale	10,759 @ $24.05	$259K	−85.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,881	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Dodge R Stanton	director	Sale	54,311 @ $29.64	$1.6M	−8.8% of holding	−18.2%	not yet — horizon still open	564,447	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Dodge R Stanton	director	Sale	8,189 @ $29.97	$245K	−1.5% of holding	−18.2%	not yet — horizon still open	556,258	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20	Bradbury Erik	officer	Sale	862 @ $25.33	$22K	−2.2% of holding	+1.9%	not yet — horizon still open	38,168	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18	Levin Woodrow	director	Sale	34,234 @ $25.71	$880K	−53.4% of holding	+1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	29,820	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13	Moore Jocelyn	director	Sale	2,150 @ $25.60	$55K	−60.5% of holding	−16.4%	−19.4%	1,406	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-11	Liberman Paul	director	Sale	430,547 @ $25.16	$10.8M	−20.5% of holding	−13.8%	−19.9%	1,669,955	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-11	Liberman Paul	director	Sale	53,870 @ $25.16	$1.4M	−20.1% of holding	−13.8%	−19.9%	213,597	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Bradbury Erik	officer	Sale	1,529 @ $24.37	$37K	−3.7% of holding	−5.9%	−16.7%	39,522	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03	Bradbury Erik	officer	Sale	1,354 @ $24.77	$34K	−3.4% of holding	−5.9%	−16.7%	38,168	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

290 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Robins Jason	director	Gift	12,000	3,718,932	Form 4
2026-09-02	Kalish Matthew	director	Other acquisition	875,000	0	Form 4
2026-09-02	Kalish Matthew	director	Other acquisition	864,880	5,634,845	Form 4
2026-09-02	Kalish Matthew	director	Other acquisition	864,880	5,634,845	Form 4
2026-09-02	Kalish Matthew	director	Other acquisition	864,880	5,634,845	Form 4
2026-09-02	Kalish Matthew	director	Other acquisition	864,880	5,634,845	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Withheld for tax	28,360	3,730,932	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Withheld for tax	18,132	3,684,931	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Withheld for tax	16,053	144,578	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Withheld for tax	10,666	118,341	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Withheld for tax	9,632	193,558	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Withheld for tax	7,932	3,693,403	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Withheld for tax	6,773	3,700,638	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Withheld for tax	5,423	576,616	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Withheld for tax	4,826	564,120	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Withheld for tax	4,666	123,324	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Withheld for tax	3,845	127,430	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Withheld for tax	2,563	183,270	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Withheld for tax	2,187	569,644	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Withheld for tax	2,111	566,834	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,035	180,150	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Withheld for tax	646	577,445	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Withheld for tax	359	180,533	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Option exercise	7,951	79,507	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Option exercise	4,997	49,976	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Option exercise	12,395	173,528	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Option exercise	19,920	278,885	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Option exercise	742	4,450	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Option exercise	58,654	821,160	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Option exercise	2,140	4,281	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Option exercise	33,201	464,807	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Option exercise	9,649	57,897	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Option exercise	11,029	22,059	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Option exercise	14,008	140,084	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Option exercise	37,500	75,000	Form 4
2026-09-01	Liberman Paul	director	Option exercise	22,058	44,118	Form 4
2026-09-01	Robins Jason	director	Option exercise	16,404	98,425	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Option exercise	1,475	8,854	Form 4
2026-09-01	Dodge R Stanton	director	Option exercise	4,825	28,949	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ellingson Alan Wayne	officer	Option exercise	5,300	53,005	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i