DKLDelek Logistics Partners, LPEnergy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $56.26 · now $56.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DKL has typically landed between $48.57 and $64.45 — a range of −13.7% to +14.6% from the issuance price $56.26.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,466 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-11-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($56.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DKL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $56.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$48.57worst · -13.7%$64.45best · +14.6%
  • now $56.26 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $57.3 (+1.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $54.24–$60.36
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $48.57–$64.45
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,466 windows spanning 2012-11-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−81.4%−81.4%+0.1%
2020-02-21−76.9%−81.2%+0.0%
2020-02-14−76.7%−76.7%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-21+168.0%+0.0%+168.0%
2020-04-20+144.0%−4.1%+144.0%
2020-04-01+143.9%+0.0%+143.9%

3,466 overlapping windows · 2012-11-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
86%
+6.0%
n=14
Feb
57%
+0.9%
n=14
Mar
43%
−4.2%
n=14
Apr
57%
+10.4%
n=14
May
64%
+5.0%
n=14
Jun
50%
−0.3%
n=14
Jul
57%
+3.7%
n=14
Aug
50%
+2.5%
n=14
Sep
64%
−1.2%
n=14
Oct
54%
+0.1%
n=13
Nov
54%
+2.5%
n=13
Dec
50%
−0.1%
n=14

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$60$392026-08-13: 5 insider purchases, $750K — Yemin Ezra Uzi, Hobbs Mark Wayne, Soreq Avigal, Wright Robert G. …2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $13K — Spiegel Reuven2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $13K — Spiegel Reuven2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $12K — Spiegel Reuven2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $11K — Spiegel Reuven2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $11K — Spiegel Reuven2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $11K — Spiegel Reuven2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $11K — Spiegel Reuven2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $49K — Brown Charles J III2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $60K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $11K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $11K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $11K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $11K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $12K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $13K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $13K2026-08: 5 open-market purchases, $750K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Yemin Ezra Uzi — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hobbs Mark Wayne — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Soreq Avigal — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Wright Robert G. — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spiegel Reuven — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Brown Charles J III — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13Yemin Ezra UzidirectorPurchase6,000 @ $50.00$300K+3.7% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open168,217Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-13Hobbs Mark WayneofficerPurchase4,000 @ $50.00$200K+19.9% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open24,125Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-13Soreq AvigaldirectorPurchase2,500 @ $50.00$125K+3.0% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open84,782Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-13Wright Robert G.officerPurchase1,500 @ $50.00$75K+23.1% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open7,994Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-13Spiegel ReuvendirectorPurchase1,000 @ $50.00$50K+3.5% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open29,549Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $53.20$13K−1.1% of holding−1.5%−3.8%22,490Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $52.38$13K−1.1% of holding+2.6%+5.9%22,740Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $46.99$12K−1.1% of holding+10.5%+9.6%22,990Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-04Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $45.86$11K−1.0% of holding−3.3%+7.5%24,212Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-05Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $45.00$11K−1.0% of holding+2.9%+11.5%24,462Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-06Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $45.00$11K−1.0% of holding−2.0%+12.5%24,712Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $45.00$11K−1.0% of holding−4.8%+20.8%24,962Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-20Brown Charles J IIIdirectorSale1,134 @ $42.91$49K−5.9% of holding+0.2%+23.8%17,971Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale250 @ $45.00$11K−0.9% of holding−1.7%+10.2%26,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Spiegel ReuvendirectorSale500 @ $45.00$23K−1.9% of holding−2.4%+7.5%26,434Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2024-12-16Yemin Ezra UzidirectorPurchase3,750 @ $39.95$150K+2.4% of holding+14.5%+14.8%162,217Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-16Soreq AvigaldirectorPurchase375 @ $39.68$15K+0.8% of holding+14.5%+14.8%45,537Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Soreq AvigaldirectorWithheld for tax3,03881,744Form 4
2026-09-10Spiegel ReuvendirectorWithheld for tax74328,806Form 4
2026-09-10Hobbs Mark WayneofficerWithheld for tax65923,466Form 4
2026-09-10Wright Robert G.officerWithheld for tax2297,765Form 4
2026-06-10Green FrederecdirectorAward / grant2,47683,514Form 4
2026-06-10Yemin Ezra UzidirectorAward / grant2,47653,701Form 4
2026-06-10Brown Charles J IIIdirectorAward / grant2,47620,447Form 4
2026-06-10Brillon Sherri AnnedirectorAward / grant2,47616,962Form 4
2026-06-10HADDOCK RON WdirectorAward / grant2,47628,312Form 4
2026-06-10GADD ERIC DdirectorAward / grant2,47636,406Form 4
2026-06-10Kelly Gennifer F.directorAward / grant2,47617,776Form 4
2026-06-10Soreq AvigaldirectorWithheld for tax1,64682,282Form 4
2026-06-10Spiegel ReuvendirectorWithheld for tax1,48528,549Form 4
2026-06-10McWatters Denise ClarkofficerWithheld for tax1,27714,550Form 4
2026-06-10Hobbs Mark WayneofficerWithheld for tax35020,125Form 4
2026-06-10Wright Robert G.officerWithheld for tax746,494Form 4
2026-04-01Delek US Holdings, Inc.directorDisposition359,37233,508,831Form 4
2026-04-01Delek US Holdings, Inc.directorDisposition359,37233,508,831Form 4
2026-04-01Delek US Holdings, Inc.directorDisposition359,37233,508,831Form 4
2026-04-01Delek US Holdings, Inc.directorDisposition359,37233,508,831Form 4
2026-03-10Soreq AvigaldirectorWithheld for tax2,20183,928Form 4
2026-03-10McWatters Denise ClarkofficerWithheld for tax1,43915,827Form 4
2026-03-10Wright Robert G.officerWithheld for tax8316,568Form 4
2026-03-10Israel JosephofficerWithheld for tax57523,782Form 4
2026-03-10Hobbs Mark WayneofficerWithheld for tax46120,475Form 4
2026-03-10Soreq AvigaldirectorAward / grant21,21886,129Form 4
2026-03-10Hobbs Mark WayneofficerAward / grant4,71520,936Form 4
2026-03-10Wright Robert G.officerAward / grant2,3575,477Form 4
2026-03-10Wright Robert G.officerAward / grant1,9227,399Form 4
2026-03-10Spiegel ReuvendirectorAward / grant7,54430,034Form 4
2026-03-10Israel JosephofficerAward / grant5,65824,357Form 4
2026-03-09Israel JosephofficerWithheld for tax16818,699Form 4
2025-12-10Soreq AvigaldirectorWithheld for tax2,20164,911Form 4
2025-12-10McWatters Denise ClarkofficerWithheld for tax98717,266Form 4
2025-12-10Spiegel ReuvendirectorWithheld for tax97223,240Form 4
2025-12-10Israel JosephofficerWithheld for tax57518,867Form 4
2025-12-10Wright Robert G.officerWithheld for tax4993,120Form 4
2025-12-10Hobbs Mark WayneofficerWithheld for tax46116,221Form 4
2025-12-09Israel JosephofficerWithheld for tax16819,274Form 4
2025-09-10Soreq AvigaldirectorWithheld for tax3,11267,112Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.