DINOHF Sinclair CorporationEnergy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $113.97 · now $113.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DINO has typically landed between $97.10 and $138.04 — a range of −14.8% to +21.1% from the issuance price $113.97.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($113.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DINO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $113.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$97.1worst · -14.8%$138.04best · +21.1%
  • now $113.97 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $115.78 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $107.51–$124.06
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $97.1–$138.04
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−56.6%−56.6%+0.0%
2020-02-11−55.9%−55.9%+0.8%
2008-09-26−52.2%−52.2%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+62.2%+0.0%+84.8%
2020-11-06+56.5%+0.0%+65.1%
2020-11-04+54.8%−6.2%+54.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
+4.4%
n=20
Feb
40%
+1.4%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Apr
30%
+1.1%
n=20
May
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Jul
75%
+4.9%
n=20
Aug
60%
+3.4%
n=20
Sep
55%
−0.5%
n=20
Oct
65%
+1.5%
n=20
Nov
50%
+1.5%
n=20
Dec
60%
−0.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$114$422026-08-11: 1 insider purchase, $1.3M — MYERS FRANKLIN2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $756K — Kunneman Dale2026-06-16: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Hardy Rhoman J2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $46K — Fernandez Manuel J2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $166K — Joyce Matthew2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $52K — Garg Vivek2026-05-18: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — MYERS FRANKLIN2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $691K — Pompa Valerie2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $17K — Garg Vivek2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $468K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $17K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $908K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $46K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $1.3M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $756K↑ buys↓ salesdirector MYERS FRANKLIN — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed same dayofficer Kunneman Dale — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hardy Rhoman J — Purchase on 2026-06-16, filed same daydirector Fernandez Manuel J — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Joyce Matthew — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed same dayofficer Garg Vivek — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MYERS FRANKLIN — Purchase on 2026-05-18, filed same dayofficer Pompa Valerie — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Garg Vivek — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11MYERS FRANKLINdirectorPurchase15,000 @ $85.30$1.3M+8.3% of holding+27.6%not yet — horizon still open194,841Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-05Kunneman DaleofficerSale8,936 @ $84.58$756K−17.4% of holding+28.3%not yet — horizon still open42,561Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Hardy Rhoman JdirectorPurchase1,508 @ $66.32$100K+11.1% of holding+33.7%not yet — horizon still open15,037Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-02Fernandez Manuel JdirectorSale635 @ $73.09$46K−3.7% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open16,543Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Joyce MatthewofficerSale2,384 @ $69.73$166K−13.9% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open14,797Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-19Garg VivekofficerSale717 @ $71.89$52K−5.9% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open11,475Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18MYERS FRANKLINdirectorPurchase15,000 @ $69.11$1.0M+9.3% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open177,053Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15Pompa ValerieofficerSale10,000 @ $69.05$691K−18.8% of holding−6.4%not yet — horizon still open43,098Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-05Garg VivekofficerSale314 @ $53.28$17K−8.0% of holding−5.9%+29.8%3,609Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01Pompa ValerieofficerSale11,000 @ $42.53$468K−21.7% of holding+21.3%+12.4%39,591Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-04Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase635 @ $31.48$20K+4.7% of holding+9.5%+56.9%14,235Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26MYERS FRANKLINdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $35.66$178K+3.4% of holding+2.4%+42.0%154,065Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-19Atanasov Atanas HofficerPurchase5,000 @ $33.77$169K+6.8% of holding+5.0%+20.8%78,927Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-16Knocke R CraigdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $36.15$181K+19.7% of holding+3.2%+22.3%30,410Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-13Atanasov Atanas HofficerPurchase2,000 @ $37.46$75K+2.8% of holding−0.1%+14.6%73,927Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-12Atanasov Atanas HofficerPurchase7,000 @ $37.96$266K+10.8% of holding−1.1%+13.0%71,927Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant1,121195,962Form 4
2026-08-02REH Advisors Inc.directorDisposition2,375,0008,881,662Form 4
2026-07-17MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant1,210179,841Form 4
2026-06-17MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant1,578178,631Form 4
2026-05-18REH Advisors Inc.directorDisposition1,455,18011,256,662Form 4
2026-05-18MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant1,500162,053Form 4
2026-05-18ECHOLS LELDON EdirectorGift3,7722,943Form 4
2026-04-17MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant1,747160,553Form 4
2026-03-25MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant1,798158,806Form 4
2026-03-02Garg VivekofficerAward / grant6,97012,192Form 4
2025-12-01Go TimothydirectorWithheld for tax26,277122,881Form 4
2025-12-01Go TimothydirectorWithheld for tax14,868149,158Form 4
2025-12-01Atanasov Atanas HofficerWithheld for tax8,91698,936Form 4
2025-12-01Pompa ValerieofficerWithheld for tax5,88053,098Form 4
2025-12-01Nitcher Eric LofficerWithheld for tax4,88544,592Form 4
2025-12-01Ledbetter StevenofficerWithheld for tax3,77943,187Form 4
2025-12-01Atanasov Atanas HofficerWithheld for tax3,142107,852Form 4
2025-12-01Pompa ValerieofficerWithheld for tax1,25758,978Form 4
2025-12-01Garg VivekofficerWithheld for tax6915,222Form 4
2025-12-01Pompa ValerieofficerAward / grant3,19360,235Form 4
2025-12-01Atanasov Atanas HofficerAward / grant7,983110,994Form 4
2025-12-01Go TimothydirectorAward / grant37,783164,026Form 4
2025-11-18REH Advisors Inc.directorDisposition437,23812,711,842Form 4
2025-11-12Matthews Ross BdirectorAward / grant2,94314,584Form 4
2025-11-12Ainsworth Anne-MariedirectorAward / grant2,94330,951Form 4
2025-11-12ECHOLS LELDON EdirectorAward / grant2,9436,715Form 4
2025-11-12Hardy Rhoman JdirectorAward / grant2,94313,529Form 4
2025-11-12Johns Jeanne M.directorAward / grant2,9438,735Form 4
2025-11-12Catalano Anna CdirectorAward / grant2,94330,951Form 4
2025-11-12Knocke R CraigdirectorAward / grant2,94333,353Form 4
2025-11-12Kostelnik Robert J.directorAward / grant2,94359,598Form 4
2025-11-12MYERS FRANKLINdirectorAward / grant2,943157,008Form 4
2025-11-12Fernandez Manuel JdirectorAward / grant2,94317,178Form 4
2025-11-11Garg VivekofficerAward / grant2,3045,913Form 4
2025-11-11Atanasov Atanas HofficerAward / grant24,084103,011Form 4
2025-11-11Go TimothydirectorAward / grant56,616189,653Form 4
2025-11-11Nitcher Eric LofficerAward / grant15,90649,477Form 4
2025-11-11Ledbetter StevenofficerAward / grant14,17846,966Form 4
2025-11-11Pompa ValerieofficerAward / grant17,45157,042Form 4
2025-11-03REH Advisors Inc.directorDisposition960,06113,149,080Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.