DINDine Brands Global, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Restaurantsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.48 · now $27.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DIN has typically landed between $22.90 and $32.33 — a range of −16.7% to +17.7% from the issuance price $27.48.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DIN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$22.9worst · -16.7%$32.33best · +17.7%
  • now $27.48 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.88 (-2.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.98–$28.78
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.9–$32.33
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−81.9%−81.9%+4.1%
2020-02-20−81.4%−82.6%+0.0%
2020-02-19−80.6%−82.2%+2.2%
3 best
2009-03-30+171.1%+0.0%+171.1%
2009-03-31+170.3%+0.0%+170.3%
2009-04-01+162.8%+0.0%+162.8%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+4.2%
n=20
Feb
60%
+5.2%
n=20
Mar
30%
−1.3%
n=20
Apr
45%
+10.2%
n=20
May
50%
−1.7%
n=20
Jun
40%
−1.8%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.5%
n=20
Aug
25%
−3.6%
n=20
Sep
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Oct
50%
+3.9%
n=20
Nov
75%
+2.9%
n=20
Dec
55%
−2.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$38$202026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $52K — Hyter Michael2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $28K — PASQUALE DOUGLAS M2026-03-12: 2 insider purchases, $57K — PASQUALE DOUGLAS M …2026-03-10: 1 insider purchase, $29K — PASQUALE DOUGLAS M2026-03-09: 1 insider purchase, $15K — PASQUALE DOUGLAS M2026-03-03: 1 insider purchase, $44K — PASQUALE DOUGLAS M2026-03-02: 2 insider purchases, $45K — PASQUALE DOUGLAS M …2025-12-05: 1 insider purchase, $22K — Poulter Martha2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $99K — DAHL RICHARD J2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Berk Howard M2025-08-21: 1 insider purchase, $49K — Chang Vance YuWen2025-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Peyton John W.2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $149K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $199K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $22K2026-03: 8 open-market purchases, $218K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $52K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Hyter Michael — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradedirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed same daydirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed same daydirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PASQUALE DOUGLAS M — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Poulter Martha — Purchase on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector DAHL RICHARD J — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Berk Howard M — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed same dayofficer Chang Vance YuWen — Purchase on 2025-08-21, filed same daydirector Peyton John W. — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-08Hyter MichaeldirectorSale1,800 @ $28.88$52K−16.2% of holding+11.1%not yet — horizon still open9,315Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $27.75$28K+3.2% of holding−9.3%−10.3%32,469Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $28.50$29K+3.3% of holding−11.5%−13.5%31,469Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-12PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $28.00$28K+3.4% of holding−11.5%−13.5%30,469Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-10PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $29.00$29K+3.5% of holding−8.0%−11.8%29,469Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase500 @ $30.00$15K+2.2% of holding−12.6%−12.3%23,522Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase1,500 @ $29.50$44K+7.0% of holding−8.4%−6.1%23,022Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $30.00$30K+4.9% of holding−7.8%−1.7%21,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorPurchase500 @ $30.12$15K+2.5% of holding−7.8%−1.7%20,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-05Poulter MarthadirectorPurchase650 @ $33.16$22K+10.1% of holding+7.7%−12.6%7,074Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21DAHL RICHARD JdirectorPurchase3,600 @ $27.47$99Kownership Δ n/a+12.0%−3.8%3,600Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-07Berk Howard MdirectorPurchase4,082 @ $24.50$100K+10.8% of holding+37.6%+9.8%41,947Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-21Chang Vance YuWenofficerPurchase2,340 @ $21.10$49K+4.5% of holding+7.4%+40.7%54,130Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-19Peyton John W.directorPurchase4,523 @ $22.11$100K+2.4% of holding+9.0%+51.9%189,563Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

169 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-10Tomovich LiliandirectorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-07-10Silva EnriquedirectorAward / grant173,297Form 4
2026-07-10Berk Howard MdirectorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-07-10Clark AmandadirectorAward / grant173,297Form 4
2026-07-10Hyter MichaeldirectorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-07-10PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-07-10Poulter MarthadirectorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-07-10Ryan Matthew T.directorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-07-10Starrs ArtiedirectorAward / grant193,636Form 4
2026-05-27DAHL RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise3,6163,616Form 4
2026-05-27DAHL RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise3,6160Form 4
2026-04-10Silva EnriquedirectorAward / grant243,280Form 4
2026-04-10Tomovich LiliandirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10Berk Howard MdirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10Ryan Matthew T.directorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10Clark AmandadirectorAward / grant243,280Form 4
2026-04-10DAHL RICHARD JdirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10Hyter MichaeldirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10Poulter MarthadirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-04-10Starrs ArtiedirectorAward / grant263,616Form 4
2026-03-06Peyton John W.directorWithheld for tax11,103228,624Form 4
2026-03-06Poulter MarthadirectorOption exercise4,94712,021Form 4
2026-03-06DAHL RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise4,9474,947Form 4
2026-03-06Berk Howard MdirectorOption exercise4,94746,894Form 4
2026-03-06Ryan Matthew T.directorOption exercise4,9477,270Form 4
2026-03-06Starrs ArtiedirectorOption exercise4,9479,042Form 4
2026-03-06Tomovich LiliandirectorOption exercise4,94715,978Form 4
2026-03-06Hyter MichaeldirectorOption exercise4,94711,115Form 4
2026-03-06PASQUALE DOUGLAS MdirectorOption exercise4,9474,947Form 4
2026-03-06Peyton John W.directorWithheld for tax3,266225,358Form 4
2026-03-06Son Christine K.officerWithheld for tax2,76459,115Form 4
2026-03-06Chang Vance YuWenofficerWithheld for tax2,30359,258Form 4
2026-03-06Kim Lawrence Y.officerWithheld for tax2,30359,211Form 4
2026-03-06Chang Vance YuWenofficerWithheld for tax1,38261,561Form 4
2026-03-06Son Christine K.officerWithheld for tax1,15261,879Form 4
2026-03-06Starrs ArtiedirectorOption exercise4,9473,590Form 4
2026-03-06DAHL RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise4,9473,590Form 4
2026-03-06Ryan Matthew T.directorOption exercise4,9473,590Form 4
2026-03-06Berk Howard MdirectorOption exercise4,9473,590Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.