DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.32 · now $4.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DIBS has typically landed between $3.35 and $5.29 — a range of −22.5% to +22.4% from the issuance price $4.32.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,302 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DIBS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.35worst · -22.5%$5.29best · +22.4%
  • now $4.32 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.22 (-2.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.84–$4.59
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.35–$5.29
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,302 windows spanning 2021-06-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2021-06-30−53.3%−53.3%+0.0%
2021-07-14−47.5%−47.5%+0.0%
2022-04-25−36.9%−38.5%+0.0%
3 best
2025-10-14+83.3%+0.0%+83.3%
2025-10-16+83.0%+0.0%+83.0%
2025-10-21+80.8%−1.0%+80.8%

1,302 overlapping windows · 2021-06-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+0.3%
n=5
Feb
40%
−3.2%
n=5
Mar
40%
−7.2%
n=5
Apr
0%
−9.9%
n=5
May
40%
−6.0%
n=5
Jun
40%
−0.1%
n=5
Jul
67%
−6.9%
n=6
Aug
83%
+4.1%
n=6
Sep
0%
−11.1%
n=6
Oct
80%
+19.0%
n=5
Nov
40%
+3.5%
n=5
Dec
40%
−2.6%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$32026-05-12: 3 insider purchases, $214K — ROSENBLATT DAVID S …2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $132 — Goins Melanie F2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $380 — Goins Melanie F2026-03-13: 1 insider sale, $39 — Goins Melanie F2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $198 — Goins Melanie F2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $14K — Goins Melanie F2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $67K — Goins Melanie F2025-12-08: 3 insider sales, $665K — ROSENBLATT DAVID S, Etergino Thomas J, Goins Melanie F2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $3.0M — ROSENBLATT DAVID S2025-09-08: 3 insider sales, $287K — ROSENBLATT DAVID S, Etergino Thomas J, Goins Melanie F2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $287K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $3.0M2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $665K2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $83K2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $214K↑ buys↓ salesdirector ROSENBLATT DAVID S — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROSENBLATT DAVID S — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROSENBLATT DAVID S — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed same dayofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed same dayofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROSENBLATT DAVID S — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Etergino Thomas J — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROSENBLATT DAVID S — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROSENBLATT DAVID S — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Etergino Thomas J — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Goins Melanie F — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-12ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorPurchase43,755 @ $4.51$197K+6.6% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open709,057Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorPurchase3,425 @ $4.49$15K+0.5% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open712,482Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorPurchase320 @ $4.35$1K+0.0% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open712,802Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17Goins Melanie FofficerSale24 @ $5.52$132−0.0% of holding+3.5%−34.3%221,518Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Goins Melanie FofficerSale69 @ $5.50$380−0.0% of holding+1.3%−31.2%221,542Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13Goins Melanie FofficerSale7 @ $5.50$39−0.0% of holding+3.2%−34.3%221,611Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-11Goins Melanie FofficerSale36 @ $5.50$198−0.0% of holding−0.2%−33.9%221,618Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-10Goins Melanie FofficerSale2,616 @ $5.52$14K−1.2% of holding+0.8%−30.4%221,654Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Goins Melanie FofficerSale12,248 @ $5.50$67K−5.2% of holding+0.6%−27.4%224,270Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorSale73,207 @ $5.96$436K−3.6% of holding−3.7%−38.6%1,976,786Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08Etergino Thomas JofficerSale27,066 @ $5.96$161K−9.2% of holding−3.7%−38.6%266,885Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08Goins Melanie FofficerSale11,296 @ $5.96$67K−5.0% of holding−3.7%−38.6%213,068Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorSale595,071 @ $5.09$3.0M−23.7% of holding+14.6%−20.5%1,917,493Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorSale73,207 @ $2.80$205K−3.8% of holding−10.9%+90.4%1,845,898Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerSale19,391 @ $2.80$54K−7.4% of holding−10.9%+90.4%240,937Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerSale9,744 @ $2.80$27K−4.8% of holding−10.9%+90.4%191,170Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

284 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorWithheld for tax96,2292,203,074Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerWithheld for tax17,599350,293Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerWithheld for tax8,970264,692Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise11,172111,719Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,500285,000Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise37,50075,000Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise12,125121,250Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,500475,000Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise11,525115,250Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise8,99017,980Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise10,04260,250Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise41,667416,667Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise11,17567,050Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise12,125345,545Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,210,136Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise11,175367,892Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise8,990252,095Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise10,042262,137Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise11,525273,662Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise37,5002,162,636Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,210,136Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,257,636Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise41,6672,299,303Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise37,5002,162,636Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,257,636Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise11,172356,717Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,257,636Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise41,6672,299,303Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,210,136Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise47,5002,257,636Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise41,6672,299,303Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise12,125345,545Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise11,172356,717Form 4
2026-09-08ROSENBLATT DAVID SdirectorOption exercise37,5002,162,636Form 4
2026-09-08Etergino Thomas JofficerOption exercise11,175367,892Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise8,990252,095Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise10,042262,137Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise11,525273,662Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise11,525273,662Form 4
2026-09-08Goins Melanie FofficerOption exercise10,042262,137Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.