Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.95 · now $4.95 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DHX has typically landed between $3.81 and $6.36 — a range of −22.9% to +28.6% from the issuance price $4.95.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,801 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-07-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.95) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DHX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.95 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.95 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.96 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.45–$5.47
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.81–$6.36
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-02-11 | −49.8% | −49.8% | +7.5% |
| 2008-09-30 | −49.0% | −51.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-12 | −48.3% | −49.0% | +9.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2018-05-02 | +148.0% | +0.0% | +148.0% |
| 2018-05-03 | +136.2% | −1.6% | +144.1% |
| 2018-05-04 | +136.0% | +0.0% | +148.0% |
4,801 overlapping windows · 2007-07-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Schildt Alexander | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $3.53 | $106K | −18.3% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 133,848 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Swann Kathleen M. | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $3.83 | $77K | −9.4% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 193,154 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | MASSAQUOI JOSEPH G JR | director | Sale | 26,611 @ $3.09 | $82K | −16.2% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,653 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-12 | Swann Kathleen M. | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $2.96 | $30K | −7.8% of holding | −41.6% | −28.9% | 118,113 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | LESSER EVAN | officer | Sale | 700 @ $2.25 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +30.1% | +10.7% | 299,590 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | LESSER EVAN | officer | Sale | 2,300 @ $2.25 | $5K | −0.8% of holding | +35.9% | +24.6% | 300,290 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-07 | LESSER EVAN | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $2.00 | $6K | −1.0% of holding | +42.6% | +33.3% | 302,590 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | LESSER EVAN | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $1.77 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | +59.4% | +68.5% | 305,590 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-19 | LESSER EVAN | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $1.90 | $6K | −1.0% of holding | +20.0% | +33.5% | 307,090 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
93 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | ZEILE ART | director | Gift | 7,500 | 3,448,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Schildt Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,459 | 133,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Connolly Edward Jack | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,372 | 132,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Knapp Sarah Elizabeth | officer | Withheld for tax | 959 | 63,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Windley David | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 343,786 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Friedlich James | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 468,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Schipper Brian | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 479,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salomon Elizabeth B. | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 276,816 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | CARNECCHIA SCIPIO MAXIMUS | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 460,493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | MASSAQUOI JOSEPH G JR | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 171,255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Swann Kathleen M. | director | Award / grant | 33,602 | 226,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Andora Elizabeth | officer | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | ZEILE ART | director | Withheld for tax | 32,813 | 3,455,816 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | ZEILE ART | director | Withheld for tax | 21,824 | 3,488,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Bilash Pamela | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,276 | 547,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,059 | 675,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Bilash Pamela | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,504 | 556,145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,695 | 682,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | ZEILE ART | director | Withheld for tax | 36,459 | 3,314,486 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | ZEILE ART | director | Withheld for tax | 28,579 | 3,350,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,712 | 624,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,791 | 637,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Schippers Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,676 | 245,358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Schildt Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,599 | 132,493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Schippers Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,450 | 251,034 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Bilash Pamela | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,138 | 542,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Connolly Edward Jack | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,871 | 113,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Schildt Alexander | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,605 | 137,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Bilash Pamela | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,244 | 546,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Connolly Edward Jack | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,035 | 117,695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Bilash Pamela | officer | Award / grant | 19,597 | 561,649 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Schippers Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 27,435 | 272,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Award / grant | 62,709 | 687,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | ZEILE ART | director | Award / grant | 195,967 | 3,510,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Schildt Alexander | officer | Award / grant | 31,355 | 163,848 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Connolly Edward Jack | officer | Award / grant | 19,597 | 133,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | ZEILE ART | director | Withheld for tax | 55,464 | 3,179,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | ZEILE ART | director | Withheld for tax | 40,467 | 3,234,988 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,030 | 606,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Farnsworth Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,709 | 622,333 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.