Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.04 · now $23.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DHT has typically landed between $20.02 and $27.66 — a range of −13.1% to +20.0% from the issuance price $23.04.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DHT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $23.04 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.48 (+1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.86–$25.1
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.02–$27.66
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-11 | −56.4% | −56.4% | +0.5% |
| 2008-09-10 | −53.0% | −53.0% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-09 | −48.2% | −48.2% | +0.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2012-01-12 | +66.9% | −5.6% | +66.9% |
| 2012-01-18 | +65.8% | −0.6% | +70.9% |
| 2012-01-26 | +60.1% | +0.0% | +72.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Eglin Jon Stephen | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $21.00 | $525K | −8.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 274,622 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Edvardsen Svenn Magne | officer | Sale | 341,007 @ $20.29 | $6.9M | −46.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 395,705 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Rossini Sophie | director | Sale | 33,000 @ $20.04 | $661K | −29.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 78,543 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Eglin Jon Stephen | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $20.35 | $509K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 299,622 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Halvorsen Laila Cecilie | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $20.00 | $1.0M | −23.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 161,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Eglin Jon Stephen | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $19.99 | $999K | −13.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 324,622 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Kramer Jeremy | director | Sale | 29,796 @ $18.65 | $556K | −29.5% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,332 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
27 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Pocas Zambelli Ana Lucia | director | Option exercise | 21,747 | 51,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Pocas Zambelli Ana Lucia | director | Award / grant | 1,747 | 21,747 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Pocas Zambelli Ana Lucia | director | Option exercise | 21,747 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Halvorsen Laila Cecilie | officer | Option exercise | 6,795 | 211,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Halvorsen Laila Cecilie | officer | Award / grant | 545 | 50,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Halvorsen Laila Cecilie | officer | Option exercise | 6,795 | 43,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Harfjeld Svein Moxnes | director | Option exercise | 32,620 | 1,187,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Harfjeld Svein Moxnes | director | Award / grant | 2,620 | 152,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Harfjeld Svein Moxnes | director | Option exercise | 32,620 | 120,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Edvardsen Svenn Magne | officer | Option exercise | 6,795 | 736,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Edvardsen Svenn Magne | officer | Award / grant | 545 | 50,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Edvardsen Svenn Magne | officer | Option exercise | 6,795 | 43,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Eglin Jon Stephen | officer | Option exercise | 6,795 | 43,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Eglin Jon Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 545 | 50,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Eglin Jon Stephen | officer | Option exercise | 6,795 | 374,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pocas Zambelli Ana Lucia | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 29,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pocas Zambelli Ana Lucia | director | Award / grant | 4,796 | 29,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pocas Zambelli Ana Lucia | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Rossini Sophie | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 111,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Rossini Sophie | director | Award / grant | 4,796 | 29,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Rossini Sophie | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kramer Jeremy | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kramer Jeremy | director | Award / grant | 4,796 | 29,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kramer Jeremy | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 101,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Lind Erik | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 162,294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Lind Erik | director | Award / grant | 4,796 | 29,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Lind Erik | director | Option exercise | 29,796 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.