DFIN · TickerCove

DFINDonnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.91 · now $48.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DFIN has typically landed between $40.61 and $58.08 — a range of −17.0% to +18.8% from the issuance price $48.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,486 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$48.91 · 65% of range

$36.74 low$55.53 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 13.3%

−17.0%worst (p90)+18.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DFIN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $48.91 (+0.0%)
typical $49.12 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $45.87–$52.38
90% range $40.61–$58.08

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,486 windows spanning 2016-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−52.0%	−52.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-25	−51.0%	−51.0%	+9.4%
2020-03-03	−48.7%	−53.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-07	+76.0%	+0.0%	+76.0%
2020-04-03	+67.0%	+0.0%	+69.8%
2020-04-08	+65.3%	+0.0%	+65.3%

2,486 overlapping windows · 2016-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

70%

+2.4%

n=10

Feb

20%

−3.1%

n=10

Mar

30%

−6.6%

n=10

Apr

90%

+8.5%

n=10

May

50%

−2.6%

n=10

Jun

80%

+4.9%

n=10

Jul

80%

+5.5%

n=10

Aug

70%

+3.7%

n=10

Sep

60%

+2.1%

n=10

Oct

20%

−5.9%

n=10

Nov

60%

+4.4%

n=10

Dec

70%

+1.6%

n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Sale	16,450 @ $48.77	$802K	−27.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	44,353	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-09-02	BINZ JOSEPH LEO	director	Purchase	5,780 @ $47.75	$276K	+30.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	24,704	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01	BINZ JOSEPH LEO	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $48.52	$485K	+112.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	18,924	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01	BINZ JOSEPH LEO	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $47.75	$239K	+127.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	8,924	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-19	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	9,787 @ $50.00	$489K	−1.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	611,315	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	213 @ $50.00	$11K	−0.0% of holding	+0.1%	not yet — horizon still open	621,102	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	Johnson Eric J	officer	Sale	20,280 @ $50.16	$1.0M	−14.8% of holding	+0.7%	−12.6%	116,814	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Sale	7,684 @ $52.03	$400K	−11.2% of holding	−5.8%	−21.9%	60,803	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Sale	4,237 @ $52.29	$222K	−7.2% of holding	−7.6%	−19.5%	54,578	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-26	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	10,000 @ $50.36	$504K	−1.7% of holding	−0.2%	−16.0%	568,181	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-27	Aguilar Luis A	director	Sale	7,421 @ $56.71	$421K	−12.2% of holding	−12.1%	−19.1%	53,343	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	12,867 @ $55.20	$710K	−2.2% of holding	−5.3%	−35.7%	585,314	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-14	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	6,333 @ $56.07	$355K	−1.1% of holding	−5.3%	−35.7%	578,981	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-14	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	800 @ $56.91	$46K	−0.1% of holding	−5.3%	−35.7%	578,181	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-10	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $56.54	$565K	−14.5% of holding	+8.1%	−34.0%	58,815	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-23	Clay Craig	officer	Sale	11,022 @ $54.03	$596K	−7.1% of holding	+8.5%	−27.7%	143,448	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-21	Johnson Eric J	officer	Sale	14,475 @ $54.63	$791K	−10.6% of holding	+8.1%	−31.5%	122,092	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20	Johnson Eric J	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $54.63	$273K	−3.5% of holding	+8.2%	−31.1%	136,567	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-16	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	13,700 @ $55.11	$755K	−2.3% of holding	+7.0%	−30.2%	578,181	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	24,599 @ $55.02	$1.4M	−4.1% of holding	+5.2%	−30.3%	578,181	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-15	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	10,401 @ $54.49	$567K	−1.7% of holding	+5.2%	−30.3%	602,780	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-07	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Sale	4,703 @ $52.09	$245K	−6.4% of holding	+0.9%	−33.3%	68,815	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24	Leib Daniel	director	Sale	25,000 @ $50.14	$1.3M	−4.6% of holding	−5.0%	+4.4%	515,191	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21	GREENFIELD GARY G	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $48.89	$49K	+2.4% of holding	−1.9%	+7.8%	43,128	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-17	Gardella David A	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $62.68	$188K	−1.5% of holding	+4.9%	−3.7%	197,406	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

150 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Trzcinski Leah Marie	officer	Withheld for tax	1,234	19,529	Form 4
2026-07-01	BINZ JOSEPH LEO	director	Award / grant	3,924	3,924	Form 4
2026-07-01	BINZ JOSEPH LEO	director	Award / grant	3,924	3,924	Form 4
2026-05-13	Pattabhiram Chandar	director	Award / grant	4,265	20,430	Form 4
2026-05-13	MARTIN LOIS M	director	Award / grant	4,265	77,947	Form 4
2026-05-13	Aguilar Luis A	director	Award / grant	4,265	57,608	Form 4
2026-05-13	MARTIN LOIS M	director	Award / grant	4,265	77,947	Form 4
2026-05-13	GREENFIELD GARY G	director	Award / grant	4,265	51,644	Form 4
2026-05-13	Pattabhiram Chandar	director	Award / grant	4,265	20,430	Form 4
2026-05-13	Ellis Juliet S	director	Award / grant	4,265	64,734	Form 4
2026-05-13	CRANDALL RICHARD L	director	Award / grant	5,864	114,621	Form 4
2026-05-13	Aguilar Luis A	director	Award / grant	4,265	57,608	Form 4
2026-05-13	Sayed Ayman	director	Award / grant	4,265	8,516	Form 4
2026-05-13	Sayed Ayman	director	Award / grant	4,265	8,516	Form 4
2026-05-13	CRANDALL RICHARD L	director	Award / grant	5,864	114,621	Form 4
2026-05-13	Ellis Juliet S	director	Award / grant	4,265	64,734	Form 4
2026-05-13	GREENFIELD GARY G	director	Award / grant	4,265	51,644	Form 4
2026-03-04	Leib Daniel	director	Withheld for tax	4,600	621,315	Form 4
2026-03-04	Clay Craig	officer	Withheld for tax	2,097	158,460	Form 4
2026-03-04	Gardella David A	officer	Withheld for tax	1,840	245,046	Form 4
2026-03-04	Johnson Eric J	officer	Withheld for tax	1,393	137,094	Form 4
2026-03-04	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Withheld for tax	954	68,487	Form 4
2026-03-04	Trzcinski Leah Marie	officer	Withheld for tax	406	20,763	Form 4
2026-03-04	Turner Kami	officer	Withheld for tax	269	50,314	Form 4
2026-03-03	Leib Daniel	director	Award / grant	51,447	607,828	Form 4
2026-03-03	Leib Daniel	director	Withheld for tax	42,399	565,429	Form 4
2026-03-03	Clay Craig	officer	Award / grant	21,609	159,709	Form 4
2026-03-03	Gardella David A	officer	Award / grant	21,609	238,365	Form 4
2026-03-03	Clay Craig	officer	Withheld for tax	20,544	139,165	Form 4
2026-03-03	Gardella David A	officer	Withheld for tax	17,808	220,557	Form 4
2026-03-03	Johnson Eric J	officer	Award / grant	14,919	133,629	Form 4
2026-03-03	Johnson Eric J	officer	Withheld for tax	12,071	121,558	Form 4
2026-03-03	Leib Daniel	director	Withheld for tax	11,800	556,381	Form 4
2026-03-03	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Award / grant	10,292	62,518	Form 4
2026-03-03	Williams Robert Kirk	officer	Withheld for tax	7,533	54,985	Form 4
2026-03-03	Clay Craig	officer	Withheld for tax	5,348	138,100	Form 4
2026-03-03	Gardella David A	officer	Withheld for tax	4,827	216,756	Form 4
2026-03-03	Johnson Eric J	officer	Withheld for tax	3,382	118,710	Form 4
2026-03-03	Turner Kami	officer	Award / grant	3,344	50,538	Form 4
2026-03-03	Turner Kami	officer	Withheld for tax	2,795	47,743	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i