DEI · TickerCove

DEIDouglas Emmett, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Officeas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.36 · now $10.36 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DEI has typically landed between $8.80 and $11.84 — a range of −15.1% to +14.3% from the issuance price $10.36.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,983 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-10-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.36) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$10.36 · 23% of range

$8.85 low$15.34 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.5%

typical move · IQR 11.7%

−15.1%worst (p90)+14.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DEI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.36 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $10.36 (+0.0%)
typical $10.2 (-1.5%)
middle 50% $9.59–$10.81
90% range $8.8–$11.84

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,983 windows spanning 2006-10-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−50.7%	−50.7%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−45.7%	−45.7%	+3.5%
2020-02-21	−44.8%	−44.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-12-01	+60.4%	+0.0%	+66.0%
2008-12-04	+55.7%	+0.0%	+55.7%
2009-07-09	+53.4%	−1.6%	+53.4%

4,983 overlapping windows · 2006-10-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−0.6%

n=20

Feb

55%

−1.7%

n=20

Mar

60%

+0.6%

n=20

Apr

70%

+3.6%

n=20

May

60%

−0.3%

n=20

Jun

45%

−0.9%

n=20

Jul

80%

+4.1%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.7%

n=20

Sep

40%

−1.3%

n=20

Oct

58%

−1.4%

n=19

Nov

55%

+0.4%

n=20

Dec

65%

+1.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-02-13	Kaplan Jordan L	director	Purchase	98,000 @ $10.18	$998K	+3.4% of holding	−1.7%	+5.2%	2,949,640	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-17	Aronson Michele L	officer	Purchase	34,626 @ $11.68	$404K	+461.7% of holding	−2.4%	−7.9%	42,126	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14	Aronson Michele L	officer	Purchase	7,500 @ $11.75	$88K	ownership Δ n/a	−4.1%	−10.4%	7,500	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

24 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2025-12-15	Aronson Michele L	officer	Award / grant	222,794	222,794	Form 4
2025-12-15	O HERN THOMAS E	director	Award / grant	20,780	20,780	Form 4
2025-12-15	Panzer Kenneth M	director	Award / grant	1,011,140	1,011,140	Form 4
2025-12-15	Wang Shirley	director	Award / grant	18,852	18,852	Form 4
2025-12-15	MCFERRAN VIRGINIA	director	Award / grant	20,138	20,138	Form 4
2025-12-15	CRUMMY KEVIN ANDREW	officer	Award / grant	124,251	124,251	Form 4
2025-12-15	Bider Leslie E	director	Award / grant	20,138	20,138	Form 4
2025-12-15	Kaplan Jordan L	director	Award / grant	1,011,140	1,011,140	Form 4
2025-12-15	Dominguez Dorene	director	Award / grant	18,852	18,852	Form 4
2025-12-15	SIMON WILLIAM E JR	director	Award / grant	18,852	18,852	Form 4
2025-12-15	SEYMOUR PETER	officer	Award / grant	214,225	214,225	Form 4
2024-12-12	Emmett Dan A	director	Award / grant	13,699	13,699	Form 4
2024-12-12	Leonard Ray C	director	Award / grant	11,162	11,162	Form 4
2024-12-12	Dominguez Dorene	director	Award / grant	11,162	11,162	Form 4
2024-12-12	Kaplan Jordan L	director	Award / grant	598,681	598,681	Form 4
2024-12-12	Panzer Kenneth M	director	Award / grant	598,681	598,681	Form 4
2024-12-12	SIMON WILLIAM E JR	director	Award / grant	11,162	11,162	Form 4
2024-12-12	Bider Leslie E	director	Award / grant	11,923	11,923	Form 4
2024-12-12	SEYMOUR PETER	officer	Award / grant	115,424	115,424	Form 4
2024-12-12	CRUMMY KEVIN ANDREW	officer	Award / grant	96,398	96,398	Form 4
2024-12-12	Aronson Michele L	officer	Award / grant	114,156	114,156	Form 4
2024-12-12	Wang Shirley	director	Award / grant	11,162	11,162	Form 4
2024-12-12	MCFERRAN VIRGINIA	director	Award / grant	11,923	11,923	Form 4
2024-12-12	O HERN THOMAS E	director	Award / grant	12,304	12,304	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i