DDDuPont de Nemours, Inc.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $127.57 · now $127.57 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DD has typically landed between $113.12 and $143.70 — a range of −11.3% to +12.6% from the issuance price $127.57.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($127.57) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $127.57 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$113.12worst · -11.3%$143.7best · +12.6%
  • now $127.57 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $128.94 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $122.39–$135.48
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $113.12–$143.7
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-01-22−48.6%−48.6%+0.0%
2009-01-28−46.8%−46.8%+0.0%
2020-02-21−45.4%−45.4%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-31+89.8%+0.0%+89.8%
2009-04-01+78.1%+0.0%+81.6%
2009-04-08+72.5%+0.0%+72.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$18.6B
market cap
$-0.18
EPS (TTM)
—
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$6.8B
'20'25
Net income−$779M
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr-11.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr-5.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.23
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $127.57$45.95$133.62
  • DCF (intrinsic)$55.42
  • Analyst target · range $52.00–$60.00$57.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$127.57

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
−1.5%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Mar
58%
+0.2%
n=19
Apr
53%
+7.4%
n=19
May
63%
+0.3%
n=19
Jun
42%
−2.1%
n=19
Jul
63%
+3.7%
n=19
Aug
53%
−1.0%
n=19
Sep
37%
−0.7%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.6%
n=18
Nov
61%
+3.3%
n=18
Dec
50%
+1.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$153$892026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $13K — Koch Lori2025-11-28: 2 insider sales, $595K — Koch Lori, Hoover Erik T.2025-09-15: 2 insider sales, $3.3M — Larrabee Steven P. …2025-09-05: 1 insider sale, $468K — Larrabee Steven P.2025-09-04: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — Larrabee Steven P.2025-09: 4 open-market sales, $5.7M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $595K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $13K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Koch Lori — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed same daydirector Koch Lori — Sale on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hoover Erik T. — Sale on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Larrabee Steven P. — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Larrabee Steven P. — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Larrabee Steven P. — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Larrabee Steven P. — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-02Koch LoridirectorSale261 @ $48.82$13K−100.0% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-28Koch LoridirectorSale9,011 @ $39.46$356K−3.0% of holding+1.5%+11.6%288,326Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-28Hoover Erik T.officerSale6,005 @ $39.79$239K−5.1% of holding+1.5%+11.6%112,101Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-15Larrabee Steven P.officerSale39,208 @ $77.19$3.0M−47.9% of holding+0.1%+40.4%42,585Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15Larrabee Steven P.officerSale4,000 @ $76.98$308K−9.4% of holding+0.1%+40.4%38,585Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-05Larrabee Steven P.officerSale6,000 @ $78.00$468K−12.3% of holding−0.3%+34.8%42,585Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-04Larrabee Steven P.officerSale25,000 @ $76.50$1.9M−34.0% of holding−0.0%+37.3%48,585Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

159 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28CUTLER ALEXANDER MdirectorAward / grant36525,155Form 4
2026-08-28Lowery Frederick M.directorAward / grant28313,862Form 4
2026-08-28Macpherson Donald GdirectorAward / grant2372,196Form 4
2026-08-17BREEN EDWARD DdirectorGift34,48591,493Form 4
2026-08-06Ferreira BethofficerWithheld for tax3746,560Form 4
2026-08-06Barber Madeleine GofficerWithheld for tax1011,793Form 4
2026-05-31Koch LoridirectorWithheld for tax4,673345,172Form 4
2026-05-31Franzen Antonella BdirectorWithheld for tax1,55868,809Form 4
2026-05-29CUTLER ALEXANDER MdirectorAward / grant1,03381,794Form 4
2026-05-29Lowery Frederick M.directorAward / grant80040,205Form 4
2026-05-29Macpherson Donald GdirectorAward / grant6715,868Form 4
2026-05-21Lowery Frederick M.directorAward / grant4,03039,405Form 4
2026-05-21BREEN EDWARD DdirectorAward / grant4,030278,008Form 4
2026-05-21Brady Amy G.directorAward / grant4,03023,781Form 4
2026-05-21CHANDY RUBY RdirectorAward / grant4,03025,444Form 4
2026-05-21CUTLER ALEXANDER MdirectorAward / grant4,03080,762Form 4
2026-05-21du Pont Eleuthere IdirectorAward / grant4,03042,371Form 4
2026-05-21LICO JAMES AdirectorAward / grant4,03010,839Form 4
2026-05-21McMaken Kurt BdirectorAward / grant4,0308,258Form 4
2026-05-21Macpherson Donald GdirectorAward / grant4,0305,197Form 4
2026-05-04BREEN EDWARD DdirectorWithheld for tax11,538273,978Form 4
2026-05-04Koch LoridirectorWithheld for tax3,048349,845Form 4
2026-05-04Hoover Erik T.officerWithheld for tax1,526115,972Form 4
2026-05-04Raia ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax1,27085,911Form 4
2026-05-04Franzen Antonella BdirectorWithheld for tax24670,367Form 4
2026-02-27CUTLER ALEXANDER MdirectorAward / grant99976,609Form 4
2026-02-27Lowery Frederick M.directorAward / grant77435,290Form 4
2026-02-27Macpherson Donald GdirectorAward / grant2161,162Form 4
2026-02-21BREEN EDWARD DdirectorWithheld for tax8,710284,770Form 4
2026-02-21Koch LoridirectorWithheld for tax8,123351,850Form 4
2026-02-21Hoover Erik T.officerWithheld for tax2,583117,274Form 4
2026-02-21Raia ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax2,26186,992Form 4
2026-02-21Franzen Antonella BdirectorWithheld for tax1,63170,361Form 4
2026-02-21Bloemhard JeroenofficerWithheld for tax1,02824,770Form 4
2026-02-21Abbott Matthew SofficerWithheld for tax80512,446Form 4
2026-02-20Barber Madeleine GofficerAward / grant2,7785,618Form 4
2026-02-20Abbott Matthew SofficerAward / grant5,15813,251Form 4
2026-02-20Ferreira BethofficerAward / grant9,91920,569Form 4
2026-02-20Franzen Antonella BdirectorAward / grant19,83871,992Form 4
2026-02-20Raia ChristopherofficerAward / grant9,91989,253Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-12-152025-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-06-102025-05-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-09$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-04-112025-03-31$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-12-052024-11-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.