DCO · TickerCove

DCODucommun IncorporatedIndustrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $171.52 · now $171.52 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DCO has typically landed between $152.85 and $200.58 — a range of −10.9% to +16.9% from the issuance price $171.52.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($171.52) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$171.52 · 71% of range

$86.41 low$206.98 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.1%

typical move · IQR 12.3%

−10.9%worst (p90)+16.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $171.52 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $171.52 (+0.0%)
typical $175.15 (+2.1%)
middle 50% $164.63–$185.67
90% range $152.85–$200.58

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−64.2%	−70.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−60.1%	−60.1%	+37.0%
2020-02-24	−55.5%	−68.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-07	+59.2%	−5.8%	+59.2%
2016-11-03	+56.7%	+0.0%	+56.7%
2020-10-28	+54.9%	+0.0%	+54.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+1.2%

n=20

Feb

45%

−0.6%

n=20

Mar

65%

+1.4%

n=20

Apr

55%

+5.3%

n=20

May

50%

−2.0%

n=20

Jun

60%

+3.0%

n=20

Jul

65%

+4.2%

n=20

Aug

50%

+3.8%

n=20

Sep

50%

−1.6%

n=20

Oct

40%

−0.1%

n=20

Nov

55%

+3.8%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-18	Oswald Stephen G	director	Sale	2,500 @ $203.95	$510K	−0.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	383,864	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	Oswald Stephen G	director	Sale	5,766 @ $201.15	$1.2M	−1.5% of holding	−13.2%	not yet — horizon still open	385,875	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28	Gonzalez Laureen S.	officer	Sale	589 @ $151.99	$90K	−5.0% of holding	+22.7%	not yet — horizon still open	11,172	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20	Tata Rajiv A.	officer	Sale	1,612 @ $145.00	$234K	−4.6% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	33,171	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-20	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Sale	1,514 @ $145.00	$220K	−5.5% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	25,769	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Sale	5,682 @ $154.36	$877K	−8.4% of holding	+8.1%	not yet — horizon still open	62,034	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10	BALDRIDGE RICHARD A	director	Sale	10,440 @ $130.83	$1.4M	−34.2% of holding	+6.6%	+13.8%	20,100	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Sale	7,791 @ $131.90	$1.0M	−21.0% of holding	+6.6%	+13.8%	29,393	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-04	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Sale	14,709 @ $134.21	$2.0M	−28.3% of holding	−4.9%	+6.5%	37,184	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $92.86	$186K	−3.0% of holding	+16.7%	+69.4%	65,269	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Sale	1,594 @ $93.83	$150K	−2.3% of holding	−4.9%	+47.4%	67,269	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-05	DUCOMMUN ROBERT C	director	Sale	1,000 @ $69.50	$70K	−0.2% of holding	−3.0%	+9.6%	409,900	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

125 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Oswald Stephen G	director	Withheld for tax	6,111	386,364	Form 4
2026-08-17	Oswald Stephen G	director	Option exercise	10,000	392,475	Form 4
2026-08-17	Oswald Stephen G	director	Option exercise	10,000	7,500	Form 4
2026-08-12	Oswald Stephen G	director	Gift	2,244	383,631	Form 4
2026-08-11	Oswald Stephen G	director	Withheld for tax	9,234	391,641	Form 4
2026-08-11	Oswald Stephen G	director	Option exercise	15,000	400,875	Form 4
2026-08-11	Oswald Stephen G	director	Option exercise	15,000	17,500	Form 4
2026-06-11	Oswald Stephen G	director	Gift	1,920	385,875	Form 4
2026-05-28	Oswald Stephen G	director	Gift	2,034	387,795	Form 4
2026-05-27	BOEHLE DANIEL L.	director	Award / grant	1,200	4,311	Form 4
2026-05-27	Carter David B.	director	Award / grant	1,200	6,900	Form 4
2026-05-27	Caylor Mark A	director	Award / grant	1,200	1,200	Form 4
2026-05-27	Drazba Shirley	director	Award / grant	1,200	18,140	Form 4
2026-05-27	Korte Daniel G.	director	Award / grant	1,200	4,311	Form 4
2026-05-27	Kramer Sheila G.	director	Award / grant	1,200	11,700	Form 4
2026-05-27	Strycker Samara A	director	Award / grant	1,200	10,700	Form 4
2026-05-20	Oswald Stephen G	director	Disposition	16,314	389,829	Form 4
2026-05-20	Oswald Stephen G	director	Gift	3,700	406,143	Form 4
2026-05-15	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,728	27,338	Form 4
2026-05-15	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Option exercise	7,500	32,066	Form 4
2026-05-15	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Option exercise	7,500	0	Form 4
2026-05-14	Oswald Stephen G	director	Withheld for tax	2,185	412,064	Form 4
2026-05-14	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,239	25,825	Form 4
2026-05-14	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Withheld for tax	898	68,628	Form 4
2026-05-14	Tata Rajiv A.	officer	Withheld for tax	549	35,341	Form 4
2026-05-14	Gonzalez Laureen S.	officer	Withheld for tax	321	12,087	Form 4
2026-05-14	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Disposition	912	67,716	Form 4
2026-05-14	Tata Rajiv A.	officer	Disposition	558	34,783	Form 4
2026-05-14	Gonzalez Laureen S.	officer	Disposition	326	11,761	Form 4
2026-05-14	Oswald Stephen G	director	Disposition	2,221	409,843	Form 4
2026-05-14	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Disposition	912	67,716	Form 4
2026-05-14	Oswald Stephen G	director	Disposition	2,221	409,843	Form 4
2026-05-14	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Disposition	1,259	24,566	Form 4
2026-05-14	Gonzalez Laureen S.	officer	Disposition	326	11,761	Form 4
2026-05-14	Tata Rajiv A.	officer	Disposition	558	34,783	Form 4
2026-05-08	Oswald Stephen G	director	Withheld for tax	2,546	416,838	Form 4
2026-05-08	Mookerji Suman B.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,155	28,238	Form 4
2026-05-08	Redondo Jerry L	officer	Withheld for tax	748	70,285	Form 4
2026-05-08	Tata Rajiv A.	officer	Withheld for tax	616	36,515	Form 4
2026-05-08	Gonzalez Laureen S.	officer	Withheld for tax	312	12,725	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i