DC · TickerCove

DCDakota Gold Corp.Basic Materials · Goldas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.68 · now $5.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DC has typically landed between $4.33 and $7.48 — a range of −23.8% to +31.8% from the issuance price $5.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,095 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-04-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$5.68 · 58% of range

$3.89 low$7 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.9%

typical move · IQR 20.5%

−23.8%worst (p90)+31.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $5.68 (+0.0%)
typical $5.73 (+0.9%)
middle 50% $5.15–$6.31
90% range $4.33–$7.48

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,095 windows spanning 2022-04-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-04-05	−42.5%	−42.5%	+0.0%
2022-04-12	−35.2%	−35.2%	+0.0%
2026-02-25	−34.0%	−34.0%	+3.0%
3 best
2025-11-20	+55.0%	+0.0%	+55.0%
2025-11-21	+54.9%	+0.0%	+54.9%
2026-07-16	+49.8%	+0.0%	+51.4%

1,095 overlapping windows · 2022-04-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

75%

+0.4%

n=4

Feb

75%

+8.4%

n=4

Mar

50%

+0.2%

n=4

Apr

75%

+2.9%

n=4

May

80%

+2.1%

n=5

Jun

40%

−5.6%

n=5

Jul

60%

+6.3%

n=5

Aug

40%

+4.3%

n=5

Sep

40%

−3.3%

n=5

Oct

50%

+1.8%

n=4

Nov

50%

+3.3%

n=4

Dec

25%

+0.6%

n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-09	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Sale	1,906 @ $6.03	$11K	−0.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	356,401	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Grafton Jennifer S	director	Sale	100,000 @ $6.12	$612K	−43.3% of holding	−1.6%	not yet — horizon still open	130,900	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-28	KENNER TODD J	director	Purchase	17,921 @ $5.60	$100K	ownership Δ n/a	−22.7%	not yet — horizon still open	17,921	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18	Grafton Jennifer S	director	Sale	15,511 @ $5.56	$86K	−9.7% of holding	−10.5%	not yet — horizon still open	144,560	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Sale	13,448 @ $5.61	$75K	−0.2% of holding	+2.6%	not yet — horizon still open	8,031,364	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Sale	21,207 @ $7.02	$149K	−8.4% of holding	−25.4%	−26.0%	231,526	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-27	Berry James McCoy	officer	Sale	12,388 @ $7.02	$87K	−3.2% of holding	−25.4%	−26.0%	371,748	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-23	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Sale	250,000 @ $6.88	$1.7M	−3.2% of holding	−4.4%	−38.1%	7,493,244	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-21	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Sale	55,000 @ $6.30	$346K	−23.5% of holding	−3.6%	−33.9%	179,491	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Sale	50,000 @ $4.66	$233K	−5.2% of holding	−14.0%	+18.7%	918,199	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-17	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Sale	50,000 @ $4.77	$239K	−4.9% of holding	−13.2%	+18.7%	968,199	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-16	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Sale	50,000 @ $5.34	$267K	−4.7% of holding	−25.8%	+8.4%	1,018,199	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-08	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Purchase	11,261 @ $0.00	$0	−5.2% of holding	+1.6%	+32.3%	204,115	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-04	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $2.50	$38K	ownership Δ n/a	+1.5%	+51.8%	—	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-04	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $2.50	$38K	ownership Δ n/a	+1.5%	+51.8%	—	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-03	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.60	$65K	ownership Δ n/a	+0.7%	+45.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-03	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.60	$65K	ownership Δ n/a	+0.7%	+45.3%	—	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-02	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.62	$65K	ownership Δ n/a	−0.8%	+53.1%	—	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-02	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.62	$65K	ownership Δ n/a	−0.8%	+53.1%	—	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

149 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-18	Henris John William	director	Award / grant	35,103	236,122	Form 4
2026-08-10	Grafton Jennifer S	director	Option exercise	100,000	230,900	Form 4
2026-08-10	Grafton Jennifer S	director	Option exercise	100,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-01	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Award / grant	49,560	358,307	Form 4
2026-08-01	Koenig Amy	director	Award / grant	33,040	319,307	Form 4
2026-06-01	Henris John William	director	Withheld for tax	12,100	201,019	Form 4
2026-06-01	Koenig Amy	director	Withheld for tax	8,080	286,267	Form 4
2026-06-01	SCHROEDER ALICE D.	director	Award / grant	17,362	362,732	Form 4
2026-06-01	Iverson Brian	director	Award / grant	17,362	18,362	Form 4
2026-06-01	KENNER TODD J	director	Award / grant	19,967	41,328	Form 4
2026-06-01	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Award / grant	21,703	984,038	Form 4
2026-06-01	Puil Kevin	director	Award / grant	17,362	160,399	Form 4
2026-06-01	Grafton Jennifer S	director	Award / grant	17,362	130,900	Form 4
2026-05-06	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Option exercise	275,000	1,193,199	Form 4
2026-05-06	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Withheld for tax	230,864	962,335	Form 4
2026-05-06	O'Rourke Stephen T.	director	Option exercise	275,000	0	Form 4
2026-04-20	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Option exercise	300,000	560,150	Form 4
2026-04-20	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Withheld for tax	232,573	327,577	Form 4
2026-04-20	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Withheld for tax	18,830	308,747	Form 4
2026-04-20	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Option exercise	300,000	0	Form 4
2026-04-13	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Option exercise	275,000	8,271,675	Form 4
2026-04-13	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Withheld for tax	226,863	8,044,812	Form 4
2026-04-13	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Option exercise	275,000	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Award / grant	32,189	32,189	Form 4
2026-04-01	Henris John William	director	Award / grant	45,601	45,601	Form 4
2026-04-01	Henris John William	director	Award / grant	63,119	213,119	Form 4
2026-04-01	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Award / grant	44,554	260,150	Form 4
2026-04-01	Koenig Amy	director	Award / grant	55,693	294,344	Form 4
2026-04-01	Koenig Amy	director	Award / grant	40,236	40,236	Form 4
2026-03-13	SCHROEDER ALICE D.	director	Exercise	9,018	345,370	Form 4
2026-03-13	SCHROEDER ALICE D.	director	Exercise	9,018	0	Form 4
2026-03-04	QUARTERMAIN ROBERT	director	Exercise	37,702	7,996,675	Form 4
2026-03-04	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Withheld for tax	15,930	215,596	Form 4
2026-03-04	Berry James McCoy	officer	Withheld for tax	8,874	436,306	Form 4
2026-03-04	Koenig Amy	director	Withheld for tax	4,443	238,651	Form 4
2026-03-01	Iverson Brian	director	Award / grant	100,000	100,000	Form 4
2026-02-27	Berry James McCoy	officer	Withheld for tax	226,568	445,180	Form 4
2026-02-27	Berry James McCoy	officer	Option exercise	300,000	671,748	Form 4
2026-02-27	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Option exercise	14,947	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	CAMPBELL SHAWN	officer	Option exercise	19,811	23,585	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i