Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.88 · now $15.88 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DBRG has typically landed between $12.29 and $19.06 — a range of −22.6% to +20.0% from the issuance price $15.88.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,249 overlapping 1 month windows · 2009-09-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where DBRG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $15.88 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.95 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.71–$17.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.29–$19.06
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −71.5% | −71.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −70.5% | −70.5% | +2.4% |
| 2020-02-20 | −70.3% | −71.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-15 | +89.7% | +0.0% | +104.2% |
| 2020-05-13 | +78.6% | −1.3% | +101.5% |
| 2020-05-14 | +69.4% | −9.1% | +85.6% |
4,249 overlapping windows · 2009-09-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Curtin Nancy Ann | director | Other acquisition | 86 | 133,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Rasheed Shaka | director | Other acquisition | 43 | 66,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Brown James Keith | director | Other acquisition | 35 | 53,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Teh Tracey | officer | Award / grant | 25,494 | 85,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Diefenderfer Jeannie | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 86,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McCray Gregory James | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 68,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | WINTROB JAY S | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 19,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Goldschein Geoffrey | officer | Award / grant | 60,548 | 155,001 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Stewart Liam | officer | Award / grant | 101,976 | 309,373 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jenkins Benjamin J. | officer | Award / grant | 101,976 | 271,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | REISS DALE ANNE | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 92,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ganzi Marc C | director | Award / grant | 229,764 | 3,137,061 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mayrhofer Thomas B | officer | Award / grant | 127,470 | 283,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Tolley David | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 58,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Curtin Nancy Ann | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 132,983 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Brown James Keith | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 52,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Curtin Nancy Ann | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 132,983 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Brown James Keith | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 52,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Rasheed Shaka | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 66,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Rasheed Shaka | director | Award / grant | 11,190 | 66,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ganzi Marc C | director | Conversion | 2,358,601 | 2,907,297 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ganzi Marc C | director | Conversion | 2,358,601 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ganzi Marc C | director | Conversion | 2,358,601 | 2,907,297 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ganzi Marc C | director | Conversion | 2,358,601 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Curtin Nancy Ann | director | Other acquisition | 79 | 121,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Rasheed Shaka | director | Other acquisition | 36 | 54,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Brown James Keith | director | Other acquisition | 27 | 41,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Ganzi Marc C | director | Withheld for tax | 40,330 | 548,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Stewart Liam | officer | Withheld for tax | 27,273 | 207,397 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Jenkins Benjamin J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,656 | 169,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Mayrhofer Thomas B | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,009 | 156,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Goldschein Geoffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,261 | 94,453 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Teh Tracey | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,967 | 60,009 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-15 | Curtin Nancy Ann | director | Other acquisition | 80 | 121,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-15 | Rasheed Shaka | director | Other acquisition | 36 | 54,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-15 | Brown James Keith | director | Other acquisition | 28 | 41,768 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Mayrhofer Thomas B | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,074 | 171,071 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | WINTROB JAY S | director | Award / grant | 8,075 | 8,075 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Curtin Nancy Ann | director | Other acquisition | 91 | 121,634 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Rasheed Shaka | director | Other acquisition | 42 | 54,917 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.