DBIDesigner Brands Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Footwear & Accessoriesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.04 · now $6.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DBI has typically landed between $4.44 and $7.85 — a range of −26.4% to +30.0% from the issuance price $6.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where DBI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.44worst · -26.4%$7.85best · +30.0%
  • now $6.04 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.94 (-1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.28–$6.61
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.44–$7.85
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−77.8%−77.8%+11.0%
2020-03-04−73.3%−78.2%+0.0%
2020-02-14−73.2%−73.2%+4.0%
3 best
2025-11-18+130.6%−3.0%+151.0%
2025-11-20+128.7%+0.0%+158.7%
2025-11-13+128.6%−11.6%+128.6%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−0.9%
n=20
Feb
55%
+3.2%
n=20
Mar
35%
−4.8%
n=20
Apr
55%
+3.5%
n=20
May
45%
−1.6%
n=20
Jun
40%
−3.8%
n=20
Jul
65%
+6.0%
n=20
Aug
55%
+3.9%
n=20
Sep
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Oct
35%
−3.1%
n=20
Nov
70%
+8.9%
n=20
Dec
45%
+1.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$9$32026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $113K — Haley Mark2026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $11K — Haley Mark2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $243K — Turner Mary2025-12-26: 1 insider sale, $105K — LAU JOANNA T2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Ferree Deborah L2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $226K — SONNENBERG HARVEY L2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $54K — Haley Mark2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $280K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $243K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $124K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Haley Mark — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Haley Mark — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Turner Mary — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LAU JOANNA T — Sale on 2025-12-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Ferree Deborah L — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SONNENBERG HARVEY L — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Haley Mark — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Haley MarkofficerSale17,698 @ $6.37$113K−100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-11Haley MarkofficerSale1,800 @ $6.01$11K−9.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open17,698Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-10Turner MaryofficerSale34,708 @ $7.00$243K−98.3% of holding−26.3%not yet — horizon still open601Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-26LAU JOANNA TdirectorSale13,105 @ $8.00$105K−13.4% of holding−17.1%−32.5%84,754Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-11Ferree Deborah LdirectorSale142,277 @ $8.06$1.1M−31.7% of holding−3.8%−24.7%306,690Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11SONNENBERG HARVEY LdirectorSale50,000 @ $4.52$226K−66.2% of holding−28.4%+24.3%25,548Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Haley MarkofficerSale11,218 @ $4.80$54K−100.0% of holding−32.3%+23.1%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-08Turner MaryofficerSale24,543 @ $2.94$72K−60.8% of holding+10.6%−0.8%15,839Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-04Stone House Capital Management, LLCotherPurchase15,000 @ $0.34$5Kownership Δ n/a−11.7%−12.6%15,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-28Fund 1 Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale220,000 @ $5.38$1.2M−10.5% of holding−20.5%−50.4%1,883,405Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-28Fund 1 Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerSale30,000 @ $5.47$164K−1.6% of holding−20.5%−50.4%1,853,405Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-13Stone House Capital Management, LLCotherPurchase10,851 @ $5.28$57K+0.2% of holding−6.8%−54.0%5,500,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-10Stone House Capital Management, LLCotherPurchase489,149 @ $5.65$2.8M+9.8% of holding−13.5%−58.1%5,489,149Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-10Stone House Capital Management, LLCotherPurchase250,000 @ $5.63$1.4M+5.3% of holding−7.8%−61.6%5,000,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

250 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-01Davis LauraofficerWithheld for tax34,547100,151Form 4
2026-08-01Davis LauraofficerOption exercise101,9350Form 4
2026-08-01Davis LauraofficerOption exercise12,56624,403Form 4
2026-08-01Davis LauraofficerOption exercise114,501134,698Form 4
2026-07-31Schottenstein Joseph A.directorAward / grant3,725322,105Form 4
2026-07-08Atkinson John W.directorAward / grant1,091122,184Form 4
2026-07-08SONNENBERG HARVEY LdirectorAward / grant23952,314Form 4
2026-07-08SONNENBERG HARVEY LdirectorAward / grant60768,204Form 4
2026-07-08EISENMAN ELAINE JdirectorAward / grant2,551285,837Form 4
2026-07-08LAU JOANNA TdirectorAward / grant1,413158,224Form 4
2026-07-08TANENBAUM ALLAN JdirectorAward / grant2,811315,218Form 4
2026-07-08Zaiac JoannedirectorAward / grant1,358152,106Form 4
2026-07-08Ferree Deborah LdirectorAward / grant8,22149,249Form 4
2026-07-08HOWE DOUGLAS M.directorAward / grant20,527114,904Form 4
2026-07-08SCHOTTENSTEIN JAY LdirectorAward / grant15,16584,277Form 4
2026-07-08Toal SheamusofficerAward / grant9451,729Form 4
2026-07-08Haley MarkofficerAward / grant1,4878,151Form 4
2026-07-08O'Donnell AndreaofficerAward / grant3,88522,780Form 4
2026-07-08Turner MaryofficerAward / grant9306,487Form 4
2026-07-08Schottenstein Joseph A.directorAward / grant239318,380Form 4
2026-07-08Cobb PeterdirectorAward / grant1,967220,307Form 4
2026-07-08Paul Richard A.directorAward / grant239145,867Form 4
2026-07-08Davis LauraofficerAward / grant4,75036,969Form 4
2026-06-17Cobb PeterdirectorAward / grant26,527218,340Form 4
2026-06-17Atkinson John W.directorAward / grant26,527121,093Form 4
2026-06-17TANENBAUM ALLAN JdirectorAward / grant26,527312,407Form 4
2026-06-17Schottenstein Joseph A.directorAward / grant26,527318,141Form 4
2026-06-17EISENMAN ELAINE JdirectorAward / grant26,527283,286Form 4
2026-06-17LAU JOANNA TdirectorAward / grant26,527156,811Form 4
2026-06-17Zaiac JoannedirectorAward / grant26,527150,748Form 4
2026-06-17SONNENBERG HARVEY LdirectorAward / grant26,52752,075Form 4
2026-06-17Paul Richard A.directorAward / grant26,527145,628Form 4
2026-05-01Schottenstein Joseph A.directorAward / grant2,972291,614Form 4
2026-04-10Ferree Deborah LdirectorAward / grant5,11941,028Form 4
2026-04-10HOWE DOUGLAS M.directorAward / grant12,14594,377Form 4
2026-04-10SONNENBERG HARVEY LdirectorAward / grant50567,597Form 4
2026-04-10TANENBAUM ALLAN JdirectorAward / grant2,137285,880Form 4
2026-04-10Zaiac JoannedirectorAward / grant928124,221Form 4
2026-04-10Haley MarkofficerAward / grant9436,664Form 4
2026-04-10O'Donnell AndreaofficerAward / grant1,29018,895Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.